Austin vs Seattle Sounders
Austin secures solid win over Seattle
A confident display sees Austin claim a 3-1 victory with late goals sealing the deal.
Austin took an early lead through Ilie Sánchez before Seattle's P. Rothrock levelled the scores in the first half. However, Austin pulled away with two late goals from M. Uzuni and C. Ramirez to secure a 3-1 win. Fipster's prediction of an Austin victory was on the money, though the margin was more comfortable than expected.
Analysis
Austin and Seattle Sounders face off in what promises to be a closely contested MLS regular season match. With Austin showing some home scoring form and Seattle boasting a sturdy defence on the road, expect a tactical battle with fine margins.
Austin currently sit 14th in the league with 14 points from 15 games, while Seattle Sounders are comfortably placed 6th with 24 points from 13 games. Seattle's superior goal difference and points-per-game highlight their stronger season form, but Austin's home performances have been more promising lately.
Austin have found the net in four of their last five home games, signalling a decent attacking rhythm at home. Seattle, on the other hand, concede just 0.57 goals per away game, showcasing their defensive resilience. However, Seattle are missing four key players, including important midfield and attacking options, which could blunt their threat. Austin's defensive vulnerabilities at home might offer Seattle chances, but the home side's attacking momentum and the absence of some Seattle stars tilt the balance slightly in Austin's favour.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a narrow home win for Austin, with a 1-0 scoreline both at halftime and fulltime. The expected total cards count is four, suggesting a competitive but controlled match. Myrto Uzuni is the standout candidate to score, given his consistent home form and goal-scoring record. Seattle's creative duo, Albert Rusnák and Jordan Morris, will look to unlock Austin's defence, but the home side's momentum and squad availability give them the edge.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Austin's Home Scoring Momentum
Austin has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, showing strong attacking form at home
Seattle's Defensive Solidity Away
Seattle concedes only 0.57 goals per away game, indicating strong defensive setup on road
Seattle Missing Key Players
Seattle has 4 confirmed outs including key midfielder and attacker, weakening their lineup
Austin's Defensive Vulnerability at Home
Austin conceded in 4 of last 5 home games, which Seattle could exploit despite injuries
Creativity from Rusnák and Morris
Seattle's Rusnák and Morris provide key creative outlets with assists and chance creation
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a tight game where Austin's home scoring momentum and Seattle's injury concerns could prove decisive. A 1-0 win for Austin seems the most probable outcome, with the match likely decided by a single moment of quality or a defensive lapse.
- Austin are ranked 14th with 14 points from 15 games (W3 D5 L7).
- Seattle Sounders are ranked 6th with 24 points from 13 games (W7 D3 L3).
- Seattle have a significantly better goal difference (18 goals) than Austin.
- Seattle average 1.85 points per game compared to Austin's 0.93.
- Austin have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- Seattle concede only 0.57 goals per away game.
- Seattle are missing four key players, weakening their lineup.
- The modal predicted scoreline is 1-0 in favour of Austin.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Austin
Away — Seattle Sounders
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Sánchez
Assist: Šabović
Rothrock
Ragen
Yellow Card
Šabović
Yellow Card
Šabović
Musovski
Rosales
Hines-Ike
Kingston
Brunell
Vázquez
Torres
Uzuni
Assist: Torres
Uzuni
Yellow Card
Tolo
Ramirez
Ragen
Yellow Card
Ragen
Red Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | +21 | 34 | |
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 26 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 24 | |
| 9 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | -5 | 24 | |
| 13 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | -5 | 21 | |
| 14 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -14 | 17 | |
| 15 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | -28 | 14 |
Match Statistics
Austin
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1B. StuverG
- 4B. Hines-IkeD
- 5O. SvatokD
- 6Ilie SánchezM
- 9B. VázquezF
- 10M. UzuniF
- 11F. TorresF
- 14B. ŠabovićM
- 17J. GallagherM
- 29Guilherme BiroD
- 30J. RosalesM
Substitutes
- 7J. NelsonF
- 12D. LasG
- 20N. DubersarskyM
- 21C. RamirezF
- 23Ž. KolmaničD
- 33O. WolffM
- 35M. ĐorđevićD
- 38Ervin TorresM
- 77P. PłachetaM
Seattle Sounders
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5N. ToloD
- 9J. FerreiraM
- 11A. RusnákM
- 14P. RothrockM
- 19D. MusovskiF
- 25J. RagenD
- 26A. ThomasG
- 31H. DotsonM
- 37S. BrunellM
- 39S. HawkinsD
- 45P. KingstonD
Substitutes
- 17P. ArriolaF
- 24S. FreiG
- 28Y. GómezD
- 35A. LopezD
- 50M. AnchorG
- 85K. Kossa-RienziM
- 90S. GomezM
- 95O. De RosarioF
Austin
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilie Sánchez(C) | M | 94 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Myrto Uzuni | F | 94 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Facundo Torres | F | 83 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Brandon Vázquez | F | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Besard Sabović | M | 62 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Oleksandr Svatok | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Gallagher | M | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Brad Stuver | G | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | D | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Rosales | M | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Žan Kolmanič | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Nelson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damian Las | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Dubersarsky | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | 11 | 7.9 | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Christian Ramirez | F | 11 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Owen Wolff | M | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Przemysław Płacheta | M | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mateja Đorđević | D | 31 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Seattle Sounders
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús Ferreira | M | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Nouhou Tolo(C) | D | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hassani Dotson | M | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Daniel Musovski | F | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peter Kingston | D | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jackson Ragen | D | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Thomas | G | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stuart Hawkins | D | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Albert Rusnák | M | 94 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Paul Rothrock | M | 94 | 6.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/5 |
| Snyder Brunell | M | 67 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yeimar Gómez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefan Frei | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Anchor | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastian Gomez | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antino Lopez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Arriola | F | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Osaze De Rosario | F | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kalani Kossa-Rienzi | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |






