Austin vs Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers silence Austin with a clinical double
A. Lassiter's early strike set the tone for a confident Timbers victory.
Portland Timbers secured a 2-0 win over Austin in Major League Soccer, with A. Lassiter opening the scoring in the third minute and K. Velde sealing the result after the break. Despite Fipster's low-confidence prediction favouring a narrow home win, the Timbers' composed performance defied expectations and left Austin scoreless.
Outcome probability
Austin and Portland Timbers are set for a lively MLS regular season match that promises goals and drama. Both teams have shown flashes of attacking prowess, making this a fixture to watch closely.
Match factors
Austin's attacking trio in form
Uzuni and Ramirez show strong recent scoring form, likely to exploit Portland's defense
Portland's creative midfield edge
David Pereira da Costa leads assists with 8, key to Portland's attacking chances
Uzuni's hot streak boosts Austin
3 goals in last 5 matches signals strong momentum for Austin's main scorer
Antony's doubtful status limits Portland's attack
Antony's knee injury status caps his scoring and assist probability
Austin's home scoring consistency
Austin averages 1.38 goals at home, supporting predicted 3 goals in this match
The context
Austin currently sit 14th in the league with 34 points from 33 games, while Portland Timbers are slightly better placed at 12th with 40 points from 32 matches. Historically, Portland have a slight edge in their head-to-head record, having won six of their 12 meetings compared to Austin's four, with two draws.
Key insights
M. Uzuni
Austin
Uzuni's recent hot streak with 3 goals in the last 5 games makes him a key threat for Austin.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 23 apps, 0.39 avg goals/game
K. Velde
Portland Timbers
Velde leads Portland's attack with 10 goals and strong recent form, crucial for their scoring chances.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals in 30 apps, 0.33 avg goals/game
David Pereira da Costa
Portland Timbers
As Portland's leading assister with 8 assists, Pereira da Costa is vital in creating opportunities.
Major League Soccer 26/278 assists in 27 apps, 0.30 avg assists/game
Analysis
The first half is expected to be balanced, with a predicted 1-1 halftime scoreline reflecting the competitive nature of this fixture. Austin's attacking duo, M. Uzuni and C. Ramirez, have been in good form recently, combining for several goals and providing a real threat. Portland's key man, K. Velde, leads their scoring charts and will be crucial in their attempts to break down Austin's defence. Creative midfielder David Pereira da Costa is also a significant playmaker for Portland, leading their assists tally. However, Portland face a potential setback with Antony doubtful due to a knee issue, which could limit their attacking options.
Key facts
- 1.Austin are 14th in the league with 34 points from 33 games (W8 D10 L15).
- 2.Portland Timbers are 12th with 40 points from 32 games (W11 D7 L14).
- 3.In 12 head-to-head meetings, Austin have won 4, Portland Timbers 6, with 2 draws.
- 4.Austin average 1.38 goals per home game this season.
- 5.M. Uzuni has scored 9 goals in 23 appearances, with 3 goals in the last 5 games.
- 6.K. Velde is Portland's top scorer with 10 goals in 30 appearances.
- 7.David Pereira da Costa leads Portland with 8 assists this season.
Prediction
Despite the close contest, Austin are predicted to edge this one 3-2. The home side's ability to score consistently at home, averaging 1.38 goals per game, combined with the recent form of their attacking players, gives them the slight advantage. Expect a thrilling encounter with goals at both ends before Austin clinch the win.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Austin
Away — Portland Timbers
The verdict
This match promises to be an entertaining affair with both teams eager to secure vital points. Austin's attacking momentum and home scoring consistency should just about see them through in a tight 3-2 victory over Portland Timbers.
Prediction generated 2 Nov 2026, 04:57 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lassiter
Assist: Janssen
Izoita
Burton
Yellow Card
Svatok
Velde
Assist: Smith
Burton
Desler
Smith
Janssen
Lassiter
Alastuey
Velde
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | +40 | 64 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 44 |
| 8 |  Portland Timbers | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | -1 | 43 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | -1 | 43 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | -5 | 38 |
| 14 |  Austin | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | -21 | 34 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | -42 | 23 |
Match Statistics
Austin
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1B. StuverG
- 3M. DeslerM
- 5O. SvatokD
- 6Ilie SánchezD
- 9B. VázquezF
- 17J. GallagherM
- 21C. RamirezF
- 24Jorge AlastueyM
- 29Guilherme BiroD
- 32M. BurtonF
- 38Ervin TorresM
Substitutes
- 2R. ThomasD
- 4B. Hines-IkeD
- 10M. UzuniF
- 11F. TorresF
- 12D. LasG
- 14B. ŠabovićM
- 30J. RosalesM
- 35M. ĐorđevićD
- 77P. PłachetaM
Portland Timbers
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2J. WatermanD
- 7A. LassiterF
- 10David Pereira da CostaM
- 12R. HernándezD
- 14V. JanssenF
- 20F. SurmanD
- 23Ian SmithD
- 30J. CaicedoM
- 41J. PantemisG
- 73Eric IzoitaM
- 99K. VeldeF
Substitutes
- 4K. MillerD
- 15E. MillerD
- 17C. BassettM
- 21D. CharáM
- 22O. FernandezF
- 26H. SulteG
- 27J. ForyM
- 28A. AravenaF
- 80J. OrtizM
Austin
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Alastuey | M | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Ilie Sánchez | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Uzuni | F | 19 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| O. Svatok | D | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gallagher | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| B. Vázquez | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/3 |
| M. Burton | F | 71 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| M. Desler | M | 71 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| P. Płacheta | M | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| B. Hines-Ike | D | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. Ramirez | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Šabović | M | 6 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Stuver | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Las | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Đorđević | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Thomas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Torres | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Rosales | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Portland Timbers
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pantemis | G | 90 | 9.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Velde | F | 89 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3/9 |
| A. Lassiter | F | 82 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Ian Smith | D | 77 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Waterman | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Hernández | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Surman | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Bassett | M | 44 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Caicedo | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| V. Janssen | F | 77 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Eric Izoita | M | 46 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Chará | M | 1 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Fory | M | 13 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Pereira da Costa | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Fernandez | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Aravena | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| H. Sulte | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Miller | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Miller | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ortiz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Austin vs Portland Timbers?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Austin to win against Portland Timbers.
- What score did Fipster predict for Austin vs Portland Timbers?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Austin 3–2 Portland Timbers.
- What were the win probabilities for Austin vs Portland Timbers?
- Fipster's model gave Austin a 40% chance of winning, Portland Timbers a 30% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 40% confidence — a low-confidence call.