Austin vs Nashville SC
Nashville SC dismantle Austin with clinical display
A commanding 4-1 victory sees Nashville SC cruise past Austin despite predictions.
Nashville SC put on a dominant show in Major League Soccer, cruising to a 4-1 win over Austin. R. Baker-Whiting opened the scoring before the break, and E. Saad, S. Mohammed, and H. Mukhtar added further goals after the break, overwhelming Austin's lone reply from B. Vázquez. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, turning the fixture into a convincing away triumph.
Outcome probability
Austin and Nashville SC face off in a regular season clash where both sides will be eager to add valuable points to their campaigns. With Austin sitting 12th in the league, this match offers a chance to climb the table, while Nashville SC will look to continue their recent scoring momentum.
Match factors
Austin's Christian Ramirez in strong home scoring form
Ramirez has scored 4 goals in last 5 games at home, boosting Austin's attack potential
Nashville's prolific striker Samuel Surridge leads scoring charts
Surridge has 15 goals in 18 games, showing high scoring efficiency and threat
Austin missing key attacker Myrto Uzuni due to international duty
Uzuni's absence reduces Austin's attacking options and goal threat
Nashville's strong recent form with 4 consecutive scoring games
Nashville has scored in 4 of last 5 matches, indicating offensive momentum
Facundo Torres key creative force for Austin with 6 assists
Torres leads Austin's assists and links well with Ramirez for goal chances
The context
Austin currently holds 30 points from 26 games, placing them 12th in the league standings. Nashville SC, meanwhile, have been finding the net consistently, scoring in four of their last five matches. This fixture is part of the regular season's 28th round, with both teams aiming to improve their positions as the campaign progresses.
Key insights
Christian Ramirez
Austin
Ramirez has been in fine form at home, scoring 4 goals in his last 5 games, making him Austin's key attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/277 goals in 23 games, 4 in last 5 home games
Samuel Surridge
Nashville SC
Surridge is Nashville's prolific striker with 15 goals in 18 games, consistently finding the net in recent matches.
Major League Soccer 26/2715 goals in 18 games
- F
Facundo Torres Pérez
Austin
Torres is Austin's main creative force, leading the team with 6 assists and linking well with Ramirez.
Major League Soccer 26/276 assists in 25 games
Analysis
Austin's attack is spearheaded by Christian Ramirez, who boasts seven goals this season and has been particularly effective at home, netting four goals in his last five games. Facundo Torres adds creativity with six assists, making him a key player in Austin's offensive setup. Nashville SC's Samuel Surridge is a potent threat with 15 goals in 18 games, supported by Hany Mukhtar's eight goals and playmaking abilities. However, Austin's home advantage and recent form give them a slight edge in this encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Austin ranks 12th in the league with 30 points from 26 games (7 wins, 9 draws, 10 losses).
- 2.Christian Ramirez has scored 7 goals this season, including 4 in his last 5 home games.
- 3.Facundo Torres leads Austin with 6 assists this season, providing key creativity.
- 4.Samuel Surridge is Nashville SC's top scorer with 15 goals in 18 games.
- 5.Nashville SC has scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive form.
- 6.Austin is missing key attacker Myrto Uzuni due to international duty.
- 7.The predicted full-time score is 2-1 in favor of Austin.
- 8.The match is part of the regular season's 28th round.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for Austin with a 2-1 scoreline. The most probable outcome sees Austin edging out Nashville SC by a single goal, with Christian Ramirez likely to be involved in the scoring. The match is expected to be competitive, but Austin's home form and attacking duo should prove decisive.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Austin
Away — Nashville SC
The verdict
In summary, expect a tight contest with Austin narrowly overcoming Nashville SC. Key players like Ramirez and Torres will be crucial for Austin, while Nashville's Surridge will look to spoil the party. A 2-1 victory for Austin seems the most fitting conclusion to this regular season fixture.
Prediction generated 27 Sep 2026, 02:42 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Baker-Whiting
Biro
Yellow Card
Bell
Uzuni
Alastuey
Saad
Saad
Desler
Yazbek
Najar
Vázquez
Assist: Torres
Mohammed
Yellow Card
Schwake
Yellow Card
Mohammed
Assist: Mukhtar
Espinoza
Mukhtar
Assist: Mohammed
Corcoran
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Match Statistics
Austin
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1B. StuverG
- 3M. DeslerD
- 6Ilie SánchezM
- 9B. VázquezF
- 10M. UzuniM
- 11F. TorresM
- 15J. BellD
- 17J. GallagherM
- 24Jorge AlastueyF
- 29Guilherme BiroD
- 38Ervin TorresM
Substitutes
- 4B. Hines-IkeD
- 5O. SvatokD
- 12D. LasG
- 14B. ŠabovićM
- 21C. RamirezF
- 22Chris ApplewhiteD
- 32M. BurtonM
- 35M. ĐorđevićD
- 77P. PłachetaM
Nashville SC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3M. WoledziD
- 4J. PalaciosD
- 7C. EspinozaM
- 8P. YazbekM
- 9S. SurridgeF
- 10H. MukhtarM
- 11E. SaadM
- 16M. CorcoranM
- 27R. Baker-WhitingD
- 31A. NajarD
- 99B. SchwakeG
Substitutes
- 1J. WillisG
- 2D. LovitzD
- 5J. MaherD
- 6B. AcostaM
- 14S. MohammedM
- 19A. MuylM
- 20E. TagsethM
- 22J. BauerD
- 41W. MadrigalF
Austin
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Vázquez | F | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | — | 0/1 |
| F. Torres | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| B. Stuver | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Uzuni | M | 60 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Jorge Alastuey | F | 61 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Ramirez | F | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Hines-Ike | D | 44 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| B. Šabović | M | 29 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Płacheta | M | 21 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Bell | D | 46 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gallagher | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Desler | D | 69 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Burton | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Svatok | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Applewhite | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Las | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Đorđević | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nashville SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Mukhtar | M | 90 | 8.6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 1/2 |
| R. Baker-Whiting | D | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| E. Saad | M | 69 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| S. Mohammed | M | 21 | 7.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Espinoza | M | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0/1 |
| J. Palacios | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Najar | D | 76 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Woledzi | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| S. Surridge | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 2 | — |
| M. Corcoran | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bauer | D | 1 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Yazbek | M | 76 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| B. Schwake | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Tagseth | M | 14 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lovitz | D | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Madrigal | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Maher | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Acosta | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Willis | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Muyl | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Austin vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Austin to win against Nashville SC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Austin vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Austin 2–1 Nashville SC.
- What were the win probabilities for Austin vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster's model gave Austin a 57% chance of winning, Nashville SC a 21% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 57% confidence — a medium-confidence call.