Austin vs Los Angeles FC
Match recap
Austin and Los Angeles FC drew 0–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.98 for Austin versus 1.11 for Los Angeles FC. Austin sit 14th in the Major League Soccer table while Los Angeles FC are 6th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Austin win
Actual
0–0
Outcome probability
Austin and Los Angeles FC face off in this MLS regular season fixture, both eager to climb the table. With Austin aiming to capitalise on home advantage and Los Angeles FC bringing strong attacking threats, expect a competitive match.
Match factors
Austin's top scorer Christian Ramirez in good form
Ramirez has 9 goals this season and 4 in last 5 games, likely to lead Austin's attack effectively
LA FC's Denis Bouanga is a prolific scorer and key threat
Bouanga leads LA FC with 14 goals and consistent recent scoring, posing a major threat to Austin
Austin missing Joseph Rosales due to suspension
Rosales is out due to yellow card suspension, weakening Austin's midfield creativity and assist potential
Facundo Torres leads Austin in assists and creativity
Torres has 7 assists this season, above league average for attackers, key to Austin's goal creation
Austin's home scoring streak supports predicted win
Austin has scored in last 5 home games, showing strong attacking form at home
The context
This is a regular season match in the MLS, with Austin currently placed 13th and Los Angeles FC sitting higher at 6th in the league standings. Historically, Los Angeles FC have had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, but Austin will be keen to turn the tide on home soil.
Key insights
Christian Ramirez
Austin
Ramirez has been in excellent form with 9 goals this season and 4 in the last 5 games, making him Austin's key attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 24 appearances, 0.375 goals/game
D. Bouanga
Los Angeles FC
Bouanga leads LA FC with 14 goals and consistent recent scoring, posing a major threat to Austin's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals in 26 appearances, 0.538 goals/game
- F
Facundo Torres Pérez
Austin
Torres is Austin's top assister with 7 assists this season, providing crucial creativity and set-piece delivery.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 28 appearances, 0.25 assists/game
- J
Joseph Rosales
Austin
Rosales is suspended for this match, weakening Austin's midfield creativity and assist potential.
Major League Soccer 26/276 yellow cards and 1 red card this season
Analysis
Austin's top scorer Christian Ramirez has been in fine form, netting 9 goals this season including 4 in the last 5 games, making him a key threat. Meanwhile, Los Angeles FC's Denis Bouanga leads their scoring charts with 14 goals and consistent recent contributions. Austin will miss Joseph Rosales due to suspension, which could impact their midfield creativity, but Facundo Torres' 7 assists this season provide a creative spark. The predicted 2-1 scoreline reflects Austin's home scoring streak and ability to edge out a close contest despite Los Angeles FC's attacking prowess.
Key facts
- 1.Austin are ranked 13th in the league with 31 points from 28 games (W7 D10 L11).
- 2.Los Angeles FC are ranked 6th with 41 points from 28 games (W11 D8 L9).
- 3.In 16 head-to-head meetings, Austin have won 4, Los Angeles FC 9, with 3 draws.
- 4.Christian Ramirez is Austin's top scorer with 9 goals this season, including 4 in the last 5 games.
- 5.Denis Bouanga leads Los Angeles FC with 14 goals this season.
- 6.Facundo Torres leads Austin with 7 assists this season.
- 7.Joseph Rosales is suspended and will miss the match, impacting Austin's midfield.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
We see Austin clinching a 2-1 victory after a 1-1 halftime stalemate. The match is expected to be competitive with four cards likely to be shown, reflecting the intensity on the pitch. Christian Ramirez is tipped to make the difference for Austin, supported by Facundo Torres' playmaking.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Austin
Away — Los Angeles FC
The verdict
In summary, Austin's recent home form and key players' contributions give them the edge in this encounter. Los Angeles FC will pose a threat, but the home side's attacking momentum should see them through to a narrow win.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:21 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tillman
Yellow Card
Segura
Yellow Card
Bell
Yellow Card
Goal Disallowed - video review
Uzuni
Yellow Card
Bell
Sánchez
Martínez
Tillman
Ramirez
Palencia
Gallagher
Desler
Yellow Card
Dubersarsky
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 47 |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +15 | 46 |
| 7 |  Seattle Sounders | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Match Statistics
Austin
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1B. StuverG
- 4B. Hines-IkeD
- 5O. SvatokD
- 6Ilie SánchezM
- 10M. UzuniF
- 11F. TorresM
- 15J. BellD
- 17J. GallagherD
- 20N. DubersarskyM
- 21C. RamirezF
- 30J. RosalesM
Substitutes
- 3M. DeslerD
- 12D. LasG
- 14B. ŠabovićM
- 19C. FodreyM
- 23Ž. KolmaničD
- 24Jorge AlastueyM
- 29Guilherme BiroD
- 35M. ĐorđevićD
- 38Ervin TorresM
Los Angeles FC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1H. LlorisG
- 4E. SeguraD
- 5R. PorteousD
- 7Son Heung-MinF
- 8M. DelgadoM
- 11T. TillmanM
- 14Sergi PalenciaD
- 30D. MartínezF
- 66M. ChoinièreM
- 91N. TafariD
- 99D. BouangaF
Substitutes
- 12T. HasalG
- 19T. BoydF
- 21R. RaposoM
- 22Jude TerryM
- 24R. HollingsheadD
- 27N. OrdazF
- 29A. SmolyakovD
- 45Kenny NielsenD
- 65A. BoudriM
Austin
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Hines-Ike | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Facundo Torres | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Myrto Uzuni | F | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 3/5 |
| Nicolas Dubersarsky(C) | M | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Joseph Rosales | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Ilie Sánchez | M | 70 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oleksandr Svatok | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Bell | D | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Brad Stuver | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Gallagher | D | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Christian Ramirez | F | 78 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jorge Alastuey | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateja Đorđević | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damian Las | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikkel Desler | D | 12 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 21 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calvin Fodrey | M | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Besard Sabović | M | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Žan Kolmanič | D | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Los Angeles FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marky Delgado | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Ryan Porteous | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nkosi Tafari | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Timothy Tillman | M | 73 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Mathieu Choinière | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| David Martínez Morales | F | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Heung-min Son | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Hugo Lloris(C) | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Palencia | D | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eddie Segura | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Denis Bouanga | F | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kenny Nielsen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jude Terry | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Raposo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Hasal | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artem Smoliakov | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Ordaz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amin Boudri | M | 17 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Ryan Hollingshead | D | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Boyd | F | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Austin vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Austin to win against Los Angeles FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Austin vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Austin 2–1 Los Angeles FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Austin vs Los Angeles FC?
- Fipster's model gave Austin a 62% chance of winning, Los Angeles FC a 19% chance, and a 19% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 62% confidence — a medium-confidence call.