Austin vs DC United
Match recap
Austin beat DC United 1–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Ramirez scored for Austin. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.50 for Austin versus 0.25 for DC United.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 Austin win
Actual
1–0
Outcome probability
Austin and DC United face off in what promises to be an entertaining regular season encounter. Both sides have shown attacking intent, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair.
Match factors
Austin missing key midfielder Joseph Rosales
Rosales is confirmed out due to suspension, reducing Austin's midfield creativity and assist potential
Christian Ramirez's strong scoring form
Ramirez has 9 goals this season with 4 in last 5 games, making him Austin's top scoring threat
Tai Baribo leads DC United's scoring
Baribo has 14 goals this season, showing consistent scoring ability especially at home
Facundo Torres as key playmaker for Austin
Torres leads Austin in assists (7) and creates chances, crucial for linking midfield to attack
Austin's recent home scoring streak
Austin has scored in last 5 home games, supporting predicted 3 goals at home
The context
This is only the second round of the regular season, with both teams eager to establish early momentum. Austin currently sit 13th in their league, while DC United will be looking to improve on their recent performances. Historically, Austin have dominated their head-to-head meetings, winning all four previous encounters and netting 11 goals to DC United's 4.
Key insights
Christian Ramirez
Austin
Ramirez has been in excellent form, scoring 9 goals this season with 4 in the last 5 games, making him Austin's key offensive threat.
Major League Soccer 26/279 goals in 24 apps, 4 goals last 5 games
- F
Facundo Torres Pérez
Austin
Torres is Austin's main creative force, leading the team with 7 assists and linking midfield to attack effectively.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 28 apps, 2 assists last 5 games
Tai Baribo
DC United
Baribo is DC United's top scorer with 14 goals this season, consistently providing a goal threat especially in away matches.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals in 21 apps, 2 goals last 5 games
Analysis
Austin's attacking threat is spearheaded by Christian Ramirez, who has been in fine form with 9 goals this season, including 4 in his last 5 games. Facundo Torres Pérez also plays a crucial creative role, leading Austin with 7 assists. DC United will rely heavily on Tai Baribo, their leading scorer with 14 goals, to break down Austin's defence. The match is expected to be competitive and open, with an average of 3.8 goals in previous head-to-head clashes suggesting plenty of goalmouth action.
Key facts
- 1.Austin have won all 4 previous head-to-head matches against DC United, scoring 11 goals to 4.
- 2.Head-to-head matches between these teams average 3.8 goals, indicating a high-scoring potential.
- 3.Austin are currently ranked 13th in their league with 31 points from 28 games.
- 4.Christian Ramirez is Austin's top scorer with 9 goals this season, including 4 in the last 5 games.
- 5.Facundo Torres Pérez leads Austin in assists with 7 this season.
- 6.Tai Baribo is DC United's leading scorer with 14 goals this season.
- 7.Austin have scored in their last 5 home games, showing strong attacking form at home.
Prediction
We anticipate a home win for Austin with a 3-2 scoreline. The game should be tightly contested, with both teams finding the net, but Austin's recent home scoring streak and attacking firepower should see them edge this one.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Austin
Away — DC United
The verdict
Expect a thrilling encounter with Austin narrowly coming out on top. Key players like Christian Ramirez and Facundo Torres Pérez will be pivotal, while DC United's Tai Baribo will provide stern resistance. Fans should prepare for an entertaining five-goal spectacle.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:14 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Stroud
Yellow Card
Torres
Yellow Card
Kijima
Stroud
Sánchez
Nelson
Peglow
Rosales
Pereira
Yellow Card
Ramirez
Šabović
Yellow Card
Kurokawa
Yellow Card
Pirani
Yellow Card
Torres
Servania
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 13 |  Minnesota United FC | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Austin | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | -39 | 22 |
Match Statistics
Austin
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. StuverG
- 4B. Hines-IkeD
- 5O. SvatokD
- 6Ilie SánchezM
- 7J. NelsonM
- 8D. PereiraM
- 10M. UzuniF
- 11F. TorresM
- 17J. GallagherD
- 29Guilherme BiroD
- 30J. RosalesM
Substitutes
- 12D. LasG
- 14B. ŠabovićM
- 15J. BellD
- 19C. FodreyM
- 20N. DubersarskyM
- 21C. RamirezF
- 23Ž. KolmaničD
- 35M. ĐorđevićD
- 38Ervin TorresM
DC United
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1S. JohnsonG
- 3L. BartlettD
- 4M. PeltolaM
- 5S. HeftiD
- 6K. KurokawaD
- 7PeglowF
- 8J. StroudM
- 9T. BariboF
- 15K. RowlesD
- 23B. ServaniaM
- 77Hosei KijimaM
Substitutes
- 10Gabriel PiraniM
- 11L. MunteanuF
- 12C. AntleyD
- 13S. NealisD
- 17J. MurrellF
- 25J. HopkinsM
- 26A. BonoG
- 27Nikola MarkovicD
- 48Gavin TurnerM
Austin
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Torres | M | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Brendan Hines-Ike | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jon Gallagher | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Oleksandr Svatok | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Ilie Sánchez(C) | M | 68 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Myrto Uzuni | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Daniel Pereira | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Joseph Rosales | M | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/3 |
| Guilherme Biro | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Brad Stuver | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Nelson | M | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nicolas Dubersarsky | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Bell | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Žan Kolmanič | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateja Đorđević | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ervin Torres | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Damian Las | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Ramirez | F | 22 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Calvin Fodrey | M | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Besard Sabović | M | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
DC United
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Johnson | G | 90 | 8.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Silvan Hefti | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matti Peltola | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kye Rowles | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon Servania | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keisuke Kurokawa | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Bartlett(C) | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jared Stroud | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Hosei Kijima | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Tai Baribo | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| João Peglow | F | 78 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nikola Markovic | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gavin Turner | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Murrell | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bono | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conner Antley | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Nealis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jackson Hopkins | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Gabriel Pirani | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Louis Munteanu | F | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Austin vs DC United?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Austin to win against DC United.
- What score did Fipster predict for Austin vs DC United?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Austin 3–2 DC United.
- What were the win probabilities for Austin vs DC United?
- Fipster's model gave Austin a 95% chance of winning, DC United a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.