Atletico Paranaense vs RB Bragantino
Bragantino snatches draw at Atletico Paranaense
Pedro Henrique's strike cancels out Vargas' effort in a tight Serie A clash
Atletico Paranaense and RB Bragantino shared the spoils in a 1-1 draw in Serie A. Pedro Henrique put Bragantino ahead after the break, only for K. Vargas to level for Atletico Paranaense shortly after. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 2-0 home win, proving the match was tighter than expected.
Outcome probability
Atletico Paranaense and RB Bragantino face off in a regular season clash where the home side looks poised to extend their slight edge in head-to-head encounters. With Atletico Paranaense sitting comfortably higher in the league standings, this match promises tactical battles and key player performances.
Match factors
Viveros' prolific scoring at home
Kevin Viveros averages 1.0 goal per home game, exploiting RB Bragantino's defense weaknesses effectively.
Benavídez's creative influence
Gastón Benavídez leads Atletico Paranaense with 5 assists, providing key chances and set-piece delivery.
Leozinho's recent goal surge
Leozinho scored 3 goals in last 5 matches despite limited minutes, showing impact potential as a substitute.
Defensive gaps due to Esquivel absence
Lucas Esquivel is out injured, weakening RB Bragantino's defensive stability and assist potential.
RB Bragantino's reliance on Pitta
Isidro Pitta is RB Bragantino's main scoring threat with 6 goals; Atletico must contain him to keep clean sheet.
The context
This fixture is part of the 2026 regular season, round 23. Atletico Paranaense currently rank 3rd with 37 points from 21 games, while RB Bragantino hold 7th place with 31 points from 20 matches. Their previous 16 meetings have been closely contested, with Atletico Paranaense winning 6, RB Bragantino 5, and 5 draws, averaging 2.6 goals per game.
Key insights
K. Viveros
Atletico Paranaense
Kevin Viveros averages 1.0 goal per home game, exploiting RB Bragantino's defensive weaknesses effectively.
Serie A 26/2712 goals in 20 apps, 0.6 avg per game
G. Benavídez
Atletico Paranaense
Gastón Benavídez leads Atletico Paranaense with 5 assists, providing key chances and set-piece delivery.
Serie A 26/275 assists in 17 apps, 0.29 avg per game
Leozinho
Atletico Paranaense
Leozinho scored 3 goals in last 5 matches despite limited minutes, showing impact potential as a substitute.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 21 apps, 0.14 avg per game
- L
Lucas Esquivel
RB Bragantino
Lucas Esquivel is out injured, weakening RB Bragantino's defensive stability and assist potential.
I. Pitta
RB Bragantino
Isidro Pitta is RB Bragantino's main scoring threat with 6 goals; Atletico must contain him to keep a clean sheet.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 18 apps, 0.33 avg per game
Analysis
Atletico Paranaense's home form and league position give them the upper hand. Their top scorer, Kevin Viveros, boasts an impressive 12 goals this season and averages a goal per home game, making him a constant threat. Gastón Benavídez's creative influence with 5 assists adds to their attacking potency. RB Bragantino will rely on Isidro Pitta, their leading scorer with 6 goals, but the absence of key defender Lucas Esquivel weakens their defensive stability. The predicted 2-0 scoreline aligns with the average goals in their head-to-head matches and Atletico's ability to keep a clean sheet.
Key facts
- 1.Atletico Paranaense have won 6 of 16 head-to-head matches against RB Bragantino's 5, with 5 draws.
- 2.Average goals per head-to-head match stand at 2.6, matching the predicted 2-0 scoreline.
- 3.Atletico Paranaense rank 3rd in the league with 37 points from 21 games.
- 4.RB Bragantino are 7th with 31 points from 20 games.
- 5.Kevin Viveros is Atletico Paranaense's top scorer with 12 goals this season, averaging 1.0 goal per home game.
- 6.Gastón Benavídez leads Atletico Paranaense with 5 assists, contributing significantly to their attacking play.
- 7.Isidro Pitta is RB Bragantino's leading scorer with 6 goals, posing the main threat to Atletico's defence.
- 8.Lucas Esquivel's absence weakens RB Bragantino's defensive stability.
Prediction
We expect Atletico Paranaense to lead 1-0 at halftime and extend their advantage to a 2-0 victory by fulltime. The match is also likely to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atletico Paranaense
Away — RB Bragantino
The verdict
In summary, Atletico Paranaense's stronger league form, home advantage, and key player performances make them favourites to secure a 2-0 win over RB Bragantino. Their ability to capitalise on scoring opportunities and maintain defensive solidity should see them comfortably through this fixture.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Leozinho
Goal
Assist: Sant'Anna
Vargas
Assist: Viveros
Fernandes
Gabriel
Herrera
Unknown
Sasha
Yellow Card
Vinicius
Dudu
Gilberto
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | +24 | 51 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +24 | 45 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +11 | 41 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | +7 | 41 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | +6 | 37 |
| 7 |  RB Bragantino | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | +5 | 35 |
| 8 |  Coritiba | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 34 |
Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4Arthur DiasD
- 7S. MendozaM
- 8João CruzF
- 9K. ViverosF
- 12GilbertoM
- 14Luiz GustavoM
- 16JádsonM
- 21LeozinhoF
- 23SantosG
- 29G. BenavídezD
- 33J. AguirreD
Substitutes
- 1MycaelG
- 2GilbertoD
- 3LéoD
- 5FelipinhoD
- 10B. ZapelliM
- 18K. VargasF
- 19Jorge Luis Rivaldo PintoF
- 25DantasD
- 27J. PortillaM
- 47ChiquetiM
- 53DuduM
- 70Renan PeixotoF
RB Bragantino
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6GabrielM
- 9I. PittaF
- 14Pedro HenriqueD
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 17ViniciusM
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 21Lucas BarbosaM
- 23A. Sant'AnnaD
- 29Juninho CapixabaD
- 32J. HerreraM
- 35Matheus FernandesM
Substitutes
- 1CleitonG
- 2Guzmán RodríguezD
- 3Eduardo SantosD
- 4AlixD
- 5FabinhoM
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 8Eduardo SashaF
- 15I. SosaM
- 22GustavinhoM
- 34J. HurtadoD
- 41YuriM
- 51Cauê Nascimento SantosD
Atletico Paranaense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gastón Benavídez | D | 32 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Steven Mendoza | M | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Gilberto | M | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Jádson | M | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Felipe Aguirre | D | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Arthur Dias | D | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luiz Gustavo | M | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santos(C) | G | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Viveros | F | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| João Cruz | F | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Leozinho | F | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Felipinho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Léo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Portilla | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Zapelli | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mycael | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kerwin Vargas | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Rivaldo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dantas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dudu | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gilberto Junior | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chiqueti | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
RB Bragantino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Volpi | G | 32 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 32 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustin Sant Anna | D | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Gabriel Girotto | M | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juninho Capixaba | D | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Fernandes(C) | M | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| José Herrera | M | 32 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isidro Pitta | F | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Vinicinho | M | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Cleiton | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Sasha | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Ramires | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Andrés Hurtado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guzmán Rodríguez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alix Vinicius | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ignacio Sosa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Neves | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuri Alves de Aquino | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauê Nascimento | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |