Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia
Atletico Paranaense edges Bahia in Serie A tussle
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto's second-half strike seals a narrow win for the hosts.
Atletico Paranaense secured a 2-1 victory over Bahia in a closely contested Serie A match. L. Esquivel opened the scoring early on before Erick Pulga levelled for Bahia, but Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto's goal after the break proved decisive. Despite a last-gasp penalty miss by Everaldo, the hosts held on, delivering a result that matched Fipster's confident prediction of a home win.
Outcome probability
Atletico Paranaense and Bahia face off in what promises to be a pulsating encounter in the 28th round of the league. Both sides have shown attacking intent this season, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair.
Match factors
Kevin Viveros' scoring form vs Bahia's defense
Viveros has 18 goals this season with strong recent form, likely to exploit Bahia's defensive vulnerabilities.
Luciano Juba's unusual goal threat from defense
Juba leads Bahia with 8 goals, a high tally for a defender, adding an extra scoring dimension.
Atletico Paranaense's consistent scoring streak at home
The team has scored in last 5 home games, supporting the predicted 3 goals in this match.
João Cruz's creative influence for Atletico Paranaense
Top assister with 5 assists, key in creating chances for Viveros and others.
Bahia's recent scoring consistency
Bahia has scored in last 5 matches, with Juba and Erick contributing goals recently.
The context
Atletico Paranaense currently sit third in the league with 46 points from 27 games, while Bahia are close behind in fifth with 43 points from 26 matches. Their head-to-head history is competitive, with Atletico Paranaense holding a slight edge with nine wins to Bahia's six in 20 meetings, alongside five draws. Matches between these two teams typically produce around 2.5 goals, indicating a balanced but lively contest.
Key insights
- K
Kevin Viveros Rodallega
Atletico Paranaense
Top scorer with 18 goals this season, showing strong recent form with 4 goals in last 5 games, likely to exploit Bahia's defence.
Serie A 26/2718 goals in 26 appearances, 0.69 goals/game
Luciano Juba
Bahia
Unusually high goal tally for a defender with 8 goals, adding an extra scoring dimension and recent form with 2 goals in last 5 matches.
Serie A 26/278 goals in 22 appearances, 0.36 goals/game
João Cruz
Atletico Paranaense
Top assister with 5 assists, creative midfielder with strong recent form, key in creating chances for Viveros and others.
Serie A 26/275 assists in 21 appearances, 0.24 assists/game
Analysis
The game is expected to be a rollercoaster, with Atletico Paranaense predicted to trail 1-2 at halftime before mounting a spirited comeback. Key to their attack is Kevin Viveros Rodallega, who boasts 18 goals this season and has been in fine form recently, netting four times in his last five outings. Bahia's defensive resilience will be tested, especially by Viveros' clinical finishing. Meanwhile, Bahia's Luciano Juba, an unusually prolific defender with eight goals, will provide an additional threat. Creative forces like João Cruz for Atletico Paranaense, with five assists, will be crucial in unlocking the opposition's defence.
Key facts
- 1.Atletico Paranaense lead the head-to-head with 9 wins in 20 matches against Bahia's 6 wins and 5 draws.
- 2.Atletico Paranaense are 3rd in the league with 46 points from 27 games (W13 D7 L7).
- 3.Bahia sit 5th with 43 points from 26 games (W11 D10 L5).
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals, indicating moderate scoring games.
- 5.Kevin Viveros Rodallega is the league's top scorer with 18 goals this season.
- 6.Luciano Juba is Bahia's leading scorer with 8 goals, an impressive tally for a defender.
- 7.João Cruz leads Atletico Paranaense with 5 assists, key in creating chances.
Prediction
Expect a thrilling 3-2 victory for Atletico Paranaense after a tense first half where they find themselves 1-2 down. Their consistent scoring streak at home and attacking firepower should see them edge out Bahia in a closely fought contest featuring four cards and plenty of goalmouth action.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atletico Paranaense
Away — Bahia
The verdict
This match promises excitement and drama, with Atletico Paranaense's attacking prowess likely to prevail in the end. Fans should brace themselves for a game full of twists, goals, and a late comeback that will keep everyone on the edge of their seats.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Esquivel
Assist: Vargas
Pulga
Acevedo
Yellow Card
Aguirre
Yellow Card
Aguirre
Dias
Yellow Card
Leozinho
Ademir
Erick
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
Assist: Vargas
Acevedo
Yılmaz
Yellow Card
Vargas
Gilberto
Rodrigo Nestor
Véliz
Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto
Yellow Card
Penalty confirmed
Everaldo
Missed Penalty
Red Card
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | +32 | 60 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 | 57 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | +8 | 48 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1MycaelG
- 4Arthur DiasD
- 7S. MendozaM
- 12GilbertoM
- 14Luiz GustavoM
- 16JádsonM
- 18K. VargasF
- 21LeozinhoM
- 25DantasD
- 33J. AguirreD
- 37L. EsquivelM
Substitutes
- 2GilbertoD
- 3LéoD
- 5FelipinhoD
- 6DerikD
- 10B. ZapelliM
- 19Jorge Luis Rivaldo PintoF
- 22C. TeránD
- 23SantosG
- 27J. PortillaM
- 47ChiquetiM
- 53DuduM
- 70RenanF
Bahia
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1RonaldoG
- 4KanuD
- 5N. AcevedoM
- 7AdemirF
- 9A. VélizF
- 11Rodrigo NestorM
- 14ErickM
- 16Erick PulgaF
- 33David DuarteD
- 44Marcos VictorD
- 46Luciano JubaD
Substitutes
- 3Marco MorenoD
- 6Jean LucasM
- 8Caio AlexandreM
- 10Éverton RibeiroM
- 12Willian JoséF
- 17G. HerreraG
- 23M. SanabriaF
- 27EveraldoF
- 31Roman GomezD
- 57Çağatay YılmazF
- 66Zé GuilhermeD
- 77Ruan PabloF
Atletico Paranaense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Esquivel | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| K. Vargas | F | 79 | 8.1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto | F | 44 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jádson | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mycael | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dantas | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Arthur Dias | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Mendoza | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/5 |
| Luiz Gustavo | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| B. Zapelli | M | 11 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Gilberto | D | 10 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dudu | M | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Aguirre | D | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gilberto | M | 80 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Leozinho | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| J. Portilla | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Léo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santos | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Terán | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipinho | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renan | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Derik | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chiqueti | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bahia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick Pulga | F | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ronaldo | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Luciano Juba | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| David Duarte | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Kanu | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Caio Alexandre | M | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Victor | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Everaldo | F | 5 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Véliz | F | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Çağatay Yılmaz | F | 26 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ademir | F | 64 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Erick | M | 64 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Jean Lucas | M | 26 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Éverton Ribeiro | M | 5 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Acevedo | M | 73 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Moreno | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Sanabria | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Guilherme | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruan Pablo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roman Gomez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Herrera | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Atletico Paranaense to win against Bahia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Atletico Paranaense 3–2 Bahia.
- What were the win probabilities for Atletico Paranaense vs Bahia?
- Fipster's model gave Atletico Paranaense a 85% chance of winning, Bahia a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.