Atletico-MG vs Remo
Match recap
Atletico-MG and Remo drew 3–3 in their Serie A fixture. Hulk, Tressoldi, and Dudu scored for Atletico-MG; Bueno, Yago Pikachu, and Manga replied for Remo. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.66 for Atletico-MG versus 2.12 for Remo. Atletico-MG sit 6th in the Serie A table while Remo are 19th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-0 Atletico-MG win
Actual
3–3
Outcome probability
Atletico-MG and Remo face off in the third round of the regular season, with Atletico-MG expected to leverage their stronger form and goal-scoring ability to claim a comfortable victory.
Match factors
Atletico-MG missing key attackers Cuello and Cassierra
Both top scorers Cuello and Cassierra are confirmed out, reducing attacking options but others step up
Renan Lodi's offensive support from defense
Lodi's crossing and assist ability provides Atletico-MG with width and chance creation advantage
Atletico-MG's strong home scoring form
Atletico-MG scores 1.71 goals per home game, above league average, supporting predicted 3-0 win
Bernard's recent scoring form
Bernard scored 2 goals in last 5 matches, showing good attacking momentum
Vitor Bueno's creative influence for Remo
Remo's top assister with 3 assists, key to creating chances despite team's struggles
The context
Atletico-MG currently sit 7th in their league with 44 points from 29 games, boasting a solid goal difference of +20. Remo, on the other hand, are struggling in 19th place with 25 points from 30 games and a less impressive goal difference. Historically, Atletico-MG have the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, having won two of the three encounters.
Key insights
Reinier
Atletico-MG
Consistent scorer with 4 goals this season, particularly effective in home games, making him a key threat.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 26 apps, 0.15 avg per game
Bernard
Atletico-MG
In good recent form with 2 goals in the last 5 matches, contributing significantly to Atletico-MG's attacking momentum.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 26 apps, 0.15 avg per game
Renan Lodi
Atletico-MG
Provides crucial offensive support from left back with 3 assists, enhancing Atletico-MG's chance creation.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 25 apps, 0.12 avg per game
Vitor Bueno
Remo
Top assister for Remo with 3 assists, key creative outlet despite the team's struggles.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 22 apps, 0.14 avg per game
Analysis
Atletico-MG's home scoring form is notably strong, averaging 1.71 goals per home game, which bodes well for their attacking output in this fixture. Key players like Reinier and Bernard have been in good form, with Reinier scoring 4 goals this season and Bernard netting 2 in the last five matches. Renan Lodi's offensive contributions from defence add an extra dimension to Atletico-MG's attack. Meanwhile, Remo's creative efforts largely depend on Vitor Bueno, who leads their assists tally but faces a tough challenge against a solid Atletico-MG defence.
Key facts
- 1.Atletico-MG rank 7th with 44 points from 29 games.
- 2.Remo are 19th with 25 points from 30 games.
- 3.Atletico-MG have a +20 goal difference, significantly better than Remo.
- 4.Atletico-MG average 1.71 goals per home game this season.
- 5.In 3 head-to-head matches, Atletico-MG have won 2, Remo none, with 1 draw.
- 6.Reinier has scored 4 goals this season, showing strong attacking form.
- 7.Bernard has scored 2 goals in the last 5 matches, boosting Atletico-MG's attack.
- 8.Renan Lodi provides offensive support from defence with 3 assists this season.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Atletico-MG with a 3-0 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-0, consistent with the team's ability to build on early leads. The match is also likely to see around four cards, indicating a moderately competitive encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atletico-MG
Away — Remo
No standout top scorers flagged for Remo
The verdict
All signs point to Atletico-MG asserting their dominance in this match, capitalising on their superior form and home advantage. Remo will need to tighten up defensively to avoid a heavy defeat, but the odds are stacked against them in this one.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 17:32 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Hulk
Assist: Victor Hugo
Bueno
Goal cancelled
Preciado
João Pedro
Yellow Card
João Pedro
Reinier
Sávio
Kayky Almeida
Yellow Card
Tressoldi
Assist: Hulk
Hulk
Cuello
Bueno
Picco
Yago Pikachu
Assist: de Paula
Manga
Assist: de Paula
Dudu
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 51 |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 18 |  Gremio | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | -10 | 31 |
| 19 |  Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
Match Statistics
Atletico-MG
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4Ruan TressoldiD
- 6J. AlonsoD
- 7HulkF
- 8MayconM
- 16Renan LodiD
- 19ReinierF
- 21A. FrancoM
- 22EversonG
- 23A. PreciadoD
- 28T. CuelloM
- 30Victor HugoM
Substitutes
- 1Gabriel DelfimG
- 2NatanaelD
- 3I. RománD
- 9M. CassierraF
- 10Gustavo ScarpaM
- 11BernardM
- 14Vitor HugoD
- 17Igor GomesM
- 27A. MindaF
- 36K. PasciniD
- 39Mamady CisseM
- 92DuduF
Remo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2João LucasD
- 11Alef MangaM
- 12Patrick de PaulaM
- 13MarllonD
- 14L. PiccoM
- 15Vitor BuenoM
- 16SávioD
- 27Kayky AlmeidaD
- 45João PedroF
- 55Zé RicardoM
- 88Marcelo RangelG
Substitutes
- 4KlausD
- 5Leo AndradeD
- 22Yago PikachuM
- 23F. CatarozziM
- 24B. CufréD
- 25N. FerreiraF
- 28José WelisonM
- 33D. HernándezF
- 71R. Monti AzpiazuF
- 94Ygor VinhasG
Atletico-MG
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hulk(C) | F | 71 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Ruan | D | 101 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Hugo | M | 101 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1/5 |
| Alan Franco | M | 101 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Maycon | M | 101 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Junior Alonso | D | 101 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ángelo Preciado | D | 55 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Reinier | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tomás Cuello | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 2/6 |
| Renan Lodi | D | 101 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Everson | G | 101 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mateo Cassierra | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitor Hugo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Natanael | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Minda | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Delfim | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Román | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauã Pascini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamady Cissé | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dudu | F | 46 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Gustavo Scarpa | M | 30 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Igor Gomes | M | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Bernard | M | 37 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Remo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alef Manga | M | 101 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Marcelo Rangel | G | 101 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitor Bueno | M | 72 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Patrick de Paula | M | 101 | 7.0 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 5 | — |
| Leonel Picco | M | 72 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sávio | D | 66 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kayky Almeida | D | 101 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Marllon(C) | D | 101 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Ricardo | M | 101 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| João Pedro Silva | F | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Lucas | D | 101 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Braian Cufré | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ygor Vinhas | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Franco Catarozzi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Monti | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Klaus | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Ferreira | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yago Pikachu | M | 29 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Zé Welison | M | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Diego Hernández | F | 40 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Léo | D | 35 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Atletico-MG vs Remo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Atletico-MG to win against Remo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Atletico-MG vs Remo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Atletico-MG 3–0 Remo.
- What were the win probabilities for Atletico-MG vs Remo?
- Fipster's model gave Atletico-MG a 95% chance of winning, Remo a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.