Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna
Atletico Madrid cruise past Osasuna with four-goal salvo
J. David and Lee Kang-In lead the charge in a commanding home victory.
Atletico Madrid delivered a dominant performance against Osasuna, securing a 4-0 win with goals from J. David, Lee Kang-In, Robin Le Normand, and Álex Baena. The scoring started in the first half and continued steadily after the break, leaving Osasuna unable to respond. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the clean sheet was a touch more emphatic than expected.
Outcome probability
Atletico Madrid, also known as Los Colchoneros, face Osasuna in the sixth round of the regular season. With Atletico sitting comfortably in 4th place and Osasuna struggling at 11th, this match promises a clear display of attacking football from the home side.
Match factors
Atletico's midfield scoring edge
Álex Baena's 3 goals in 4 games provide Atletico a strong attacking midfield threat
Hancko's creative influence from defense
Dávid Hancko's 2 assists in last 5 games and 90% passing accuracy boost Atletico's attacking build-up
Budimir's strong scoring form for Osasuna
Ante Budimir has 4 goals in 5 games, including 3 away, making him Osasuna's main scoring threat
Atletico's attacking depth with multiple scorers
Multiple Atletico players including Baena, Simeone, and Lee Kang-In show scoring form, increasing goal threat variety
Full squad availability boosts Atletico's attacking options
No confirmed injuries for Atletico, allowing full strength attack and midfield to execute game plan
The context
Atletico Madrid have dominated their head-to-head encounters against Osasuna, winning 17 of their last 20 meetings without a single draw. Currently, Atletico hold 10 points from 5 games with a positive goal difference of +4, while Osasuna have 7 points and a -3 goal difference. This statistical edge sets the stage for a strong home performance.
Key insights
Álex Baena
Atletico Madrid
Álex Baena's 3 goals in 4 games provide Atletico a strong attacking midfield threat.
La Liga 26/273 goals in 4 games
Dávid Hancko
Atletico Madrid
Dávid Hancko's 2 assists in last 5 games and 90% passing accuracy boost Atletico's attacking build-up.
La Liga 26/272 assists in last 5 games, 90% passing accuracy
Ante Budimir
Osasuna
Ante Budimir has 4 goals in 5 games, including 3 away, making him Osasuna's main scoring threat.
La Liga 26/274 goals in 5 games, 3 away goals
Analysis
Atletico's midfield is firing on all cylinders, with Álex Baena netting 3 goals in 4 games, providing a significant attacking threat. Defender Dávid Hancko adds creativity from the back with 2 assists and a 90% passing accuracy, boosting their build-up play. Osasuna's main threat comes from Ante Budimir, who has scored 4 goals in 5 games, including 3 away goals, but the overall attacking depth and form favour Atletico heavily.
Key facts
- 1.Atletico Madrid have won 17 of 20 head-to-head matches against Osasuna with no draws.
- 2.Atletico Madrid rank 4th in the league with 10 points from 5 games, outperforming Osasuna ranked 11th with 7 points.
- 3.Atletico Madrid have a better goal difference (+4) compared to Osasuna (-3) this season.
- 4.Álex Baena has scored 3 goals in 4 games, providing a strong attacking midfield presence for Atletico.
- 5.Dávid Hancko has contributed 2 assists in the last 5 games with a 90% passing accuracy.
- 6.Ante Budimir is Osasuna's top scorer with 4 goals in 5 games, including 3 away goals.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 2-0, consistent with the fulltime prediction of 4-1.
- 8.The expected total number of cards in the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline.
Prediction
The forecast is a confident home win for Atletico Madrid, with a halftime lead of 2-0 and a fulltime scoreline of 4-1. The match is expected to feature moderate discipline, with around 4 total cards. Atletico's superior form, attacking options, and home advantage make this a likely comfortable victory.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atletico Madrid
Away — Osasuna
The verdict
In summary, Atletico Madrid's strong attacking midfield, creative defenders, and solid league standing suggest they will comfortably outscore Osasuna. Expect a lively game with plenty of goals and a clear winner by the final whistle.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
David
Lookman
Yellow Card
Lee Kang-In
Assist: David
Moro
Dubasin
García
Robin Le Normand
Romero
David
Lookman
Arguibide
Osambela
Álex Baena
Assist: Cardoso
Cardoso
Álex Grimaldo
García
Yellow Card
Bretones
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 16 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2Starting XI
- 5J. CardosoM
- 6KokeM
- 7Lee Kang-InM
- 10Álex BaenaM
- 11A. LookmanF
- 13J. OblakG
- 14Marcos LlorenteD
- 15J. DavidF
- 21C. RomeroD
- 22Álex GrimaldoD
- 24Robin Le NormandD
Substitutes
- 1J. MussoG
- 3O. VargasM
- 4Rodrigo MendozaM
- 16Arnau OrtizF
- 17D. HanckoD
- 18Marc PubillD
- 20G. SimeoneF
- 23M. HjulmandM
- 25Salvador EsquivelG
- 27J. DominguezD
- 30Dani MartÃnezD
- 46J. CastilloM
Osasuna
5-4-1Starting XI
- 6Lucas TorróM
- 9Raúl GarcíaF
- 13Aitor FernándezG
- 18Raul MoroM
- 21Jonathan DubasinM
- 22F. BoyomoD
- 23Abel BretonesD
- 27Íñigo ArguibideD
- 29Asier OsambelaM
- 35U. SantosD
- 48R. YeboahD
Substitutes
- 1Sergio HerreraG
- 7MoncayolaM
- 8Iker MuñozM
- 11Kike BarjaF
- 14Rubén GarcíaM
- 15Diego RicoD
- 17A. BudimirF
- 20R. Del CastilloM
- 24CatenaD
- 26Mauro EchegoyenM
- 30Asier BonelF
- 31Rafa FernándezG
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. David | F | 68 | 8.8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 | — |
| Lee Kang-In | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2/2 |
| Álex Baena | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0/3 |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cardoso | M | 85 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Álex Grimaldo | D | 85 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 3/5 |
| C. Romero | D | 68 | 7.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Marcos Llorente | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Koke | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| J. Oblak | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 22 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 5 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Hancko | D | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| G. Simeone | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Lookman | F | 68 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 5 | 1/4 |
| Arnau Ortiz | F | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Dominguez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Castillo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salvador Esquivel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani MartÃnez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Vargas | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Musso | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Osasuna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Budimir | F | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Fernández | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Yeboah | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Boyomo | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kike Barja | F | 31 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Raúl García | F | 60 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Raul Moro | M | 59 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Moncayola | M | 19 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Del Castillo | M | 16 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Dubasin | M | 59 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Rubén García | M | 31 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| U. Santos | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Íñigo Arguibide | D | 71 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Asier Osambela | M | 74 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Lucas Torró | M | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Abel Bretones | D | 90 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/5 |
| Catena | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Rico | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Muñoz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa Fernández | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauro Echegoyen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Asier Bonel | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Herrera | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Atletico Madrid to win against Osasuna.
- What score did Fipster predict for Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Atletico Madrid 4–1 Osasuna.
- What were the win probabilities for Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna?
- Fipster's model gave Atletico Madrid a 95% chance of winning, Osasuna a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.