Atletico Madrid vs Girona
Match recap
Atletico Madrid beat Girona 1–0 in their La Liga fixture. Lookman scored for Atletico Madrid. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.94 for Atletico Madrid versus 2.18 for Girona. Atletico Madrid sit 4th in the La Liga table while Girona are 19th.
Analysis
Atletico Madrid welcome Girona for a crucial La Liga clash where the home side's superior form and goal difference make them clear favourites.
Atletico Madrid sit comfortably in 4th place with 66 points, while Girona struggle near the relegation zone in 19th with 39 points. The match takes place in the penultimate round of the season, adding pressure for Girona to salvage points.
Atletico's home form is impressive, averaging 2.1 goals per game and conceding less than one. Despite missing key players like Sørloth and Koke, their attacking momentum remains strong, with Sørloth boasting 1 goal per game in recent home matches. Girona's away record and goal difference (-15) suggest they will struggle to breach Atletico's defence.
Prediction
We predict a 1-0 halftime lead for Atletico, extending to a 2-0 fulltime victory. The expected four cards reflect a competitive but controlled match. Confidence in this outcome is high at 95%, given Atletico's consistent performance and Girona's challenges.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Multiple Key Atletico Players Injured or Suspended
Atletico missing top scorer Sørloth, playmaker Koke (suspended), and key midfielder Llorente (injured), impacting attack and midfield.
Atletico's Superior Home Scoring and Defensive Record
Atletico averages 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded at home, better than Girona's away stats, supporting predicted 2-0 win.
Atletico's Defensive Stalwarts vs Girona's Attack
Defenders like Ruggeri and Giménez (if fit) provide strong defensive coverage against Girona's limited scoring threat.
Atletico's Positive Scoring Streak at Home
Atletico has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, showing attacking momentum despite injuries.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Atletico Madrid's superior league standing, goal difference, and home form make them the clear favourites to secure a 2-0 win over Girona. Expect a disciplined game with Atletico controlling proceedings.
- Atletico Madrid rank 4th with 66 points; Girona are 19th with 39 points.
- Atletico have a +21 goal difference; Girona have -15.
- Atletico average 1.83 points per game; Girona average 1.11.
- Atletico score 2.1 goals per home game and concede 0.9.
- Sørloth is Atletico's top scorer with 13 goals, strong home form.
- Koke, Atletico's key playmaker, is suspended for this match.
- Girona have struggled away with a poor goal difference and form.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atletico Madrid
Away — Girona
No standout top scorers flagged for Girona
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lookman
Assist: Griezmann
Robin Le Normand
Yellow Card
Simeone
Gil
Witsel
Álex Baena
Vargas
Lookman
Roca
Martínez
Morcillo
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 | 72 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 69 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | +11 | 60 |
| 18 |  Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -10 | 42 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -16 | 41 |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -34 | 29 |
Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3M. RuggeriD
- 6KokeM
- 7A. GriezmannF
- 10Álex BaenaM
- 13J. OblakG
- 17D. HanckoD
- 18Marc PubillD
- 20G. SimeoneM
- 21O. VargasM
- 22A. LookmanF
- 24Robin Le NormandD
Substitutes
- 1J. MussoG
- 9A. SørlothF
- 11T. AlmadaM
- 15C. LengletD
- 29Rayane BelidF
- 31Salvador EsquivelG
- 32Javier BoñarD
- 34Julio Díaz del RomoM
- 37I. LuqueF
- 40A. PuricD
- 47J. MorcilloM
- 61M. LlorenteF
Girona
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Joel RocaM
- 4Arnau MartínezD
- 12Vitor NunesD
- 13P. GazzanigaG
- 15V. TsygankovF
- 16Alejandro FrancésD
- 18A. OunahiM
- 20A. WitselM
- 21Bryan GilM
- 23Iván MartínM
- 24Álex MorenoD
Substitutes
- 1Rubén BlancoG
- 2Hugo RincónD
- 5David LópezD
- 6D. van de BeekM
- 7C. StuaniF
- 8Fran BeltránM
- 11T. LemarM
- 14C. EcheverriM
- 17D. BlindD
- 25V. KrapyvtsovG
- 36Ricard ArteroM
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Oblak | G | 90 | 9.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Matteo Ruggeri | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Antoine Griezmann(C) | F | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Obed Vargas | M | 61 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ademola Lookman | F | 63 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Alex Baena | M | 61 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Koke | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Dávid Hancko | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Giuliano Simeone | M | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Marc Pubill | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Juan Musso | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Boñar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julio Díaz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salvi Esquivel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleksa Purić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayane Belaid | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Luque | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Cubo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Almada | M | 45 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Alexander Sørloth | F | 29 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clément Lenglet | D | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Javi Morcillo | M | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Girona
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azzedine Ounahi | M | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10/20 |
| Joel Roca | M | 63 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Alejandro Francés | D | 84 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Vitor Reis | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Iván Martín | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Álex Moreno | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/6 |
| Arnau Martínez(C) | D | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Axel Witsel | M | 56 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Paulo Gazzaniga | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Tsygankov | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3/3 |
| Bryan Gil | M | 56 | 5.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Vladyslav Krapyvtsov | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Lemar | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daley Blind | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Donny van de Beek | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubén Blanco | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Rincón | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ricard Artero | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran Beltrán | M | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Claudio Echeverri | M | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| David López | D | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristhian Stuani | F | 34 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |