Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo
Match recap
Celta Vigo beat Atletico Madrid 1–0 in their La Liga fixture. Iglesias scored for Celta Vigo. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.04 for Atletico Madrid versus 0.13 for Celta Vigo. Atletico Madrid sit 4th in the La Liga table while Celta Vigo are 6th.
Analysis
Atletico Madrid host Celta Vigo in what promises to be a closely fought La Liga encounter. Both teams have their strengths, but Atletico's home advantage and superior form make them favourites.
Atletico Madrid sit comfortably in 4th place with 63 points, boasting a strong goal difference of +21. Celta Vigo, in 6th with 47 points and a +4 goal difference, face an uphill battle, especially with key attackers sidelined.
Despite injuries to key players like Sørloth and Griezmann, Atletico's home scoring average of 2.2 goals per game and recent five-game scoring streak highlight their attacking resilience. Celta's defensive vulnerabilities, conceding in five consecutive matches, further tip the scales in Atletico's favour.
Prediction
We predict Atletico Madrid to take a 1-0 lead into halftime and ultimately win 2-1. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of three cards likely, reflecting a spirited contest.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Atletico's attack weakened by key injuries
Sørloth, Álvarez, Griezmann, and Simeone are injured, reducing scoring and creative options.
Atletico's strong home scoring form
Atletico averages 2.2 goals per home game, above league average, supporting predicted 2 goals.
Celta's defensive vulnerabilities
Celta concedes in 5 consecutive games, indicating defensive frailty Atletico can exploit.
Atletico's positive scoring streak
Atletico scored in last 5 home games, showing attacking consistency despite injuries.
Celta missing key attackers
Borja Iglesias and Iago Aspas injured, weakening Celta's goal threat and reducing scoring chances.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Atletico's home strength and form edge them past Celta Vigo in a tight 2-1 victory. Fans can expect a lively match with moments of quality and competitive spirit.
- Atletico Madrid rank 4th with 63 points from 34 games (W19 D6 L9).
- Celta Vigo rank 6th with 47 points from 34 games (W12 D11 L11).
- Atletico Madrid have a superior goal difference of +21 compared to Celta's +4.
- Atletico average 2.2 goals per home game this season.
- Celta have conceded goals in their last five consecutive matches.
- Key Atletico attackers Sørloth and Griezmann are injured but team maintains scoring form.
- Celta's top scorer Borja Iglesias is injured, weakening their attack.
- Predicted total cards in the match is three, indicating a moderately physical game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atletico Madrid
Away — Celta Vigo
No standout top scorers flagged for Celta Vigo
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Moriba
Yellow Card
Giménez
Lookman
Griezmann
Iglesias
Assist: Swedberg
Álex Baena
Yellow Card
Iglesias
Núñez
Durán
Unknown
Álex Baena
Fer López
Yellow Card
Swedberg
Mingueza
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 | 72 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 69 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | +11 | 60 |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +5 | 54 |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | -6 | 51 |
Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2J. GiménezD
- 3M. RuggeriD
- 6KokeM
- 7A. GriezmannF
- 9A. SørlothF
- 10Álex BaenaM
- 13J. OblakG
- 14Marcos LlorenteM
- 17D. HanckoD
- 18Marc PubillD
- 22A. LookmanM
Substitutes
- 1J. MussoG
- 4Rodrigo MendozaM
- 11T. AlmadaM
- 15C. LengletD
- 16N. MolinaD
- 21O. VargasM
- 24Robin Le NormandD
- 31Salvador EsquivelG
- 34Julio Díaz del RomoM
- 37I. LuqueF
- 47J. MorcilloM
- 61M. LlorenteF
Celta Vigo
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3Óscar MinguezaM
- 6I. MoribaM
- 7Borja IglesiasF
- 8Fer LópezM
- 13I. RaduG
- 14Álvaro NúñezM
- 18Pablo DuránF
- 19W. SwedbergF
- 20Marcos AlonsoD
- 29Yoel LagoD
- 32Javi RodríguezD
Substitutes
- 1Iván VillarG
- 4J. AidooD
- 5Sergio CarreiraD
- 9Ferran JutglàF
- 10Iago AspasF
- 12Manu FernándezD
- 21M. RistićD
- 22Hugo SoteloM
- 23Hugo ÁlvarezM
- 24Carlos DomínguezD
- 36Andrés AntañónM
- 39J. El AbdellaouiF
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Baena | M | 69 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Koke(C) | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| José María Giménez | D | 20 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Ademola Lookman | M | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 0/3 |
| Marc Pubill | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Antoine Griezmann | F | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/4 |
| Matteo Ruggeri | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Dávid Hancko | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jan Oblak | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Sørloth | F | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rodrigo Mendoza | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julio Díaz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salvi Esquivel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Morcillo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Luque | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clément Lenglet | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Musso | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Almada | M | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Obed Vargas | M | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Miguel Llorente | F | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Nahuel Molina | D | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 49 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Celta Vigo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 90 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ionuț Radu | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | M | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Borja Iglesias(C) | F | 68 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alvaro Núñez | M | 68 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pablo Durán | F | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Williot Swedberg | F | 77 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ilaix Moriba | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Fer López | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mihailo Ristić | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Sotelo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Domínguez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Fernández | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Villar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joseph Aidoo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Antañón | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jones El-Abdellaoui | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago Aspas | F | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | M | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Carreira | D | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |