Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club
Match recap
Atletico Madrid beat Athletic Club 3–2 in their La Liga fixture. Griezmann, Sørloth, and Sørloth scored for Atletico Madrid; Paredes and Guruzeta replied for Athletic Club. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.09 for Atletico Madrid versus 0.80 for Athletic Club. Atletico Madrid sit 4th in the La Liga table while Athletic Club are 12th.
Analysis
The upcoming La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Club promises a tactical battle, with Atletico looking to leverage their home advantage and superior league standing.
Atletico Madrid currently sit 4th in the league with 57 points, comfortably ahead of Athletic Club who are 9th with 41 points. Atletico's goal difference of +18 starkly contrasts Athletic's -11, highlighting the home side's stronger season performance.
Despite missing key attackers like Sørloth and Álvarez due to injury, Atletico's home form remains robust. Their average of 2.2 goals per home game dwarfs Athletic's 0.9 away goals. Athletic's attacking options are also limited by suspensions, weakening their threat. Atletico's midfield creativity, though hampered by absences, is supplemented by players like González and Ruggeri, who have shown recent form and crossing ability.
Prediction
We confidently predict a 2-0 win for Atletico Madrid, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The home side's superior stats and form, combined with Athletic's weakened attack, make this a likely outcome. Expect a competitive match with around four cards issued.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Atletico's key attackers missing
Sørloth, Álvarez, Griezmann, and Simeone are injured or suspended, reducing attacking options but Atletico still favored.
Atletico's midfield creativity vs Athletic's defense
Simeone and Llorente's absence may reduce creativity, but Ruggeri's crossing and González's form provide attacking outlets.
Atletico's superior home scoring and defensive record
Atletico scores 2.2 goals at home vs Athletic's 0.9 away, and concedes less at home, supporting predicted home win.
Atletico's recent home form strong despite injuries
Recent home wins with contributions from Ruggeri and González show resilience and goal threat despite absences.
Athletic's attacking threat weakened by suspensions and injuries
Guruzeta and Williams suspended/injured, limiting Athletic's goal scoring potential in this away match.
Key Takeaways
Atletico Madrid's home advantage and squad depth should see them through to a solid victory. Athletic Club will need to overcome their suspensions and defensive frailties to challenge effectively, but the odds favour the hosts.
- Atletico Madrid are 4th with 57 points; Athletic Club are 9th with 41 points.
- Atletico Madrid's goal difference is +18; Athletic Club's is -11.
- Atletico averages 1.78 points per game; Athletic averages 1.28.
- Atletico scores 2.2 goals per home game; Athletic scores 0.9 goals away.
- Athletic's top scorer Guruzeta is suspended, weakening their attack.
- Atletico's Sørloth is injured but remains top scorer with 10 goals.
- Total cards expected around 4, indicating a competitive match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atletico Madrid
Away — Athletic Club
No standout top scorers flagged for Athletic Club
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Paredes
Assist: Ruíz de Galarreta
Griezmann
Sørloth
Assist: Álex Baena
Barrios
Gómez
Griezmann
Llorente
Yuri
Williams
Ruíz de Galarreta
Nico Williams
Simeone
Koke
Sørloth
Assist: Molina
Guruzeta
Assist: Rego
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 | 72 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 69 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | +11 | 60 |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | -12 | 46 |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 | 45 |
| 13 |  Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -14 | 43 |
Match Statistics
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3M. RuggeriD
- 6KokeM
- 7A. GriezmannF
- 8Pablo BarriosM
- 9A. SørlothF
- 10Álex BaenaM
- 13J. OblakG
- 14Marcos LlorenteD
- 15C. LengletD
- 18Marc PubillD
- 20G. SimeoneM
Substitutes
- 1J. MussoG
- 4Rodrigo MendozaM
- 5J. CardosoM
- 16N. MolinaD
- 19J. ÁlvarezF
- 21O. VargasM
- 23N. GonzálezF
- 24Robin Le NormandD
- 31Salvador EsquivelG
- 32Javier BoñarD
- 34Julio Díaz del RomoM
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Unai SimónG
- 2GorosabelD
- 3Dani VivianD
- 4Aitor ParedesD
- 9I. WilliamsM
- 10Nico WilliamsM
- 11Gorka GuruzetaF
- 16Ruíz de GalarretaM
- 17YuriD
- 20Unai GómezM
- 30Alejandro RegoM
Substitutes
- 5YerayD
- 6Mikel VesgaM
- 7Álex BerenguerF
- 8Oihan SancetM
- 12Jesús AresoD
- 14Aymeric LaporteD
- 19A. BoiroD
- 22Nico SerranoF
- 23Robert NavarroM
- 25Urko IzetaF
- 27Álex PadillaG
- 49E. GarciaM
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sorloth | F | 90 | 9.3 | 2 | — | 5 | 3 | — | 1/1 |
| Koke(C) | M | 72 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Baena | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Antoine Griezmann | F | 63 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Marc Pubill | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clément Lenglet | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giuliano Simeone | M | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Pablo Barrios | M | 58 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Jan Oblak | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | D | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Matteo Ruggeri | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rodrigo Mendoza | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julio Díaz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Boñar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Musso | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julián Alvarez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salvi Esquivel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johnny Cardoso | M | 32 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Nahuel Molina | D | 27 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Obed Vargas | M | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás González | F | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Athletic Club
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gorka Guruzeta | F | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Aitor Paredes | D | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta | M | 70 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Alejandro Rego | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Yuri Berchiche | D | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Nico Williams | M | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4/8 |
| Daniel Vivian | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Iñaki Williams(C) | M | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Unai Gómez | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andoni Gorosabel | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Unai Simón | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yeray Álvarez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Urko Izeta | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Areso | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eder Garcia | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aymeric Laporte | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Padilla | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Serrano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Vesga | M | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Adama Boiro | D | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oihan Sancet | M | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Álex Berenguer | F | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Robert Navarro | M | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/8 |