Atlanta United FC vs Real Salt Lake
Match recap
Real Salt Lake beat Atlanta United FC 3–2 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Miranchuk and Miranchuk scored for Atlanta United FC; Solans, Hezarkhani, and Gozo replied for Real Salt Lake. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.16 for Atlanta United FC versus 1.07 for Real Salt Lake.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Atlanta United FC win
Actual
2–3
Outcome probability
Atlanta United FC and Real Salt Lake face off in the third round of the regular season, with both sides eager to make an early impact. Atlanta's attacking midfield, led by Aleksey Miranchuk, looks poised to unlock Real Salt Lake's defence.
Match factors
Atlanta United's attacking midfield strength
Aleksey Miranchuk's dual threat as top scorer and assister gives Atlanta a tactical edge in midfield creativity and finishing.
Sergi Solans' scoring form for Real Salt Lake
Sergi Solans leads Real Salt Lake with 11 goals, showing strong home scoring form that could challenge Atlanta's defense.
Atlanta United's recent scoring streak
Atlanta United has scored in 4 of their last 5 home games, indicating positive attacking momentum.
Defensive contributions from Elías Báez
Báez's ability to assist and high tackle rate adds both defensive solidity and offensive support for Atlanta.
Miranchuk's impact vs Real Salt Lake
Miranchuk scored twice and assisted once in the last meeting, showing a strong individual impact against this opponent.
The context
This fixture sees two teams with a balanced head-to-head record, each having won three of their six previous encounters. Real Salt Lake currently sit 11th in their league, while Atlanta United FC have shown promising form at home, scoring in four of their last five home games.
Key insights
Aleksey Miranchuk
Atlanta United FC
Miranchuk's dual role as top scorer and assister gives Atlanta a tactical edge in midfield creativity and finishing.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals and 6 assists this season
Sergi Solans
Real Salt Lake
Solans leads Real Salt Lake with 11 goals, showing strong scoring form that could challenge Atlanta's defence.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 goals in 26 appearances
- E
Elías Báez Sotelo
Atlanta United FC
Báez's high tackle rate and 3 assists add both defensive solidity and offensive support for Atlanta.
Major League Soccer 26/273 assists in 24 appearances
Analysis
Atlanta United FC's attacking prowess is spearheaded by Aleksey Miranchuk, who has been both prolific and creative this season with six goals and six assists. His recent performance against Real Salt Lake, where he scored twice, highlights his threat. Meanwhile, Real Salt Lake's Sergi Solans, their top scorer with 11 goals, poses a significant challenge. However, Atlanta's defensive contributions, particularly from Elías Báez, who combines solid tackling with offensive support, should help contain Real Salt Lake's attacking threats.
Key facts
- 1.Atlanta United FC and Real Salt Lake have each won 3 of their 6 head-to-head matches.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 4.0 goals, indicating open play between these sides.
- 3.Real Salt Lake are currently 11th in their league with 32 points from 28 games.
- 4.Aleksey Miranchuk scored 2 goals in the last fixture against Real Salt Lake.
- 5.Sergi Solans leads Real Salt Lake with 11 goals this season.
- 6.Atlanta United FC have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- 7.Elías Báez contributes both defensively and offensively with 3 assists this season.
Prediction
We anticipate Atlanta United FC to take an early lead, reflected in a 1-0 halftime score, before extending their advantage to a 3-1 victory by full time. Their balanced attack and home momentum should prove decisive against Real Salt Lake.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atlanta United FC
Away — Real Salt Lake
The verdict
In summary, Atlanta United FC's blend of attacking creativity and defensive resilience is expected to secure them a comfortable 3-1 win over Real Salt Lake, continuing their positive home form and setting a strong tone for the season ahead.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:21 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Hezarkhani
Yellow Card
Solans
Assist: Guilavogui
Hezarkhani
Miranchuk
Assist: Báez
Gozo
Assist: Quinton
Sanchez
Yellow Card
Moisa
Yellow Card
Berrocal
Yellow Card
Moisa
Sanchez
Hezarkhani
Miranchuk
Assist: Latte Lath
Alzate
Jacob
Guilavogui
Solans
Quinton
Mihaj
Gozo
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +32 | 55 |
| 9 |  Colorado Rapids | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 |  Real Salt Lake | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -5 | 34 |
Match Statistics
Atlanta United FC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1L. HoyosG
- 3E. BáezD
- 4E. MihajD
- 6Juan BerrocalD
- 7S. AlzateM
- 8T. MuyumbaM
- 9E. Latte LathF
- 10M. AlmirónF
- 48C. SanchezM
- 55T. JacobD
- 59A. MiranchukF
Substitutes
- 2R. HernándezD
- 5S. GregersenD
- 11S. LobzhanidzeF
- 18Pedro AmadorD
- 20L. BrennanM
- 22Sergio SantosF
- 42Jayden HibbertG
- 47Matthew EdwardsD
- 88M. Galarza
Real Salt Lake
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1Rafael CabralG
- 4L. EngelD
- 8J. SanabriaM
- 9M. GuilavoguiF
- 15J. GladD
- 22S. SolansF
- 26P. QuintonD
- 34L. MoisaM
- 39A. HezarkhaniF
- 72Z. GozoM
- 92N. CaliskanM
Substitutes
- 6S. SpieringsM
- 7P. RuizM
- 11D. MarczukF
- 23Chadwick Zachary BoothM
- 27G. DillonM
- 29S. JunquaD
- 31M. StajduharG
- 36Jesús Rafael Barea BarrosoF
- 98A. KatránisD
Atlanta United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Miranchuk | F | 90 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Miguel Almirón(C) | F | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Elías Báez | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Steven Alzate | M | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Berrocal | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 59 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Enea Mihaj | D | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Jacob | D | 79 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ronald Hernández | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Hibbert | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Brennan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stian Gregersen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Amador | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Galarza | M | 31 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Sergio Santos | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saba Lobjanidze | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
Real Salt Lake
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergi Solans | F | 82 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Noel Caliskan | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | F | 82 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Lukas Engel | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zavier Gozo | M | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Aiden Hezarkhani | F | 62 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Philip Quinton | D | 85 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rafael Cabral(C) | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Sanabria | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Justen Glad | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Luca Moisa | M | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Alexandros Katranis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stijn Spierings | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Ruíz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mason Stajduhar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesus Barea | F | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Griffin Dillon | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Sam Junqua | D | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zach Booth | M | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Dominik Marczuk | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Atlanta United FC vs Real Salt Lake?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Atlanta United FC to win against Real Salt Lake.
- What score did Fipster predict for Atlanta United FC vs Real Salt Lake?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Atlanta United FC 3–1 Real Salt Lake.
- What were the win probabilities for Atlanta United FC vs Real Salt Lake?
- Fipster's model gave Atlanta United FC a 72% chance of winning, Real Salt Lake a 14% chance, and a 14% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 72% confidence — a high-confidence call.