Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union
Match recap
Atlanta United FC beat Philadelphia Union 3–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Latte Lath, Jacob, and Miranchuk scored for Atlanta United FC; Anello replied for Philadelphia Union. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.58 for Atlanta United FC versus 2.24 for Philadelphia Union.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-3 Philadelphia Union win
Actual
3–1
Outcome probability
This MLS regular season fixture between Atlanta United FC and Philadelphia Union promises an entertaining contest, with both sides boasting key offensive talents. Fans can expect a lively encounter with goals on the cards.
Match factors
Philadelphia's potent attack led by Iloski
Milan Iloski leads with 16 goals this season, including 6 in last 5 matches, driving Philadelphia's scoring.
Westfield's attacking threat from defense
Frankie Westfield's 7 assists this season and 3 in last 5 matches provide Philadelphia with wide attacking options.
Atlanta's Miranchuk and Almirón in good form
Miranchuk and Almirón have combined for recent goals and assists, key to Atlanta's offensive chances.
No confirmed absences for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical plans.
The context
Both teams enter this match with solid attacking options and no confirmed absences, ensuring full-strength lineups. Philadelphia Union have a slight edge in recent form, driven by their top scorer Milan Iloski, while Atlanta United rely on creative midfielders like Aleksei Miranchuk and Miguel Almirón to unlock defences.
Key insights
Milan Iloski
Philadelphia Union
Leads Philadelphia's attack with 16 goals this season, including 6 in the last 5 matches, making him a constant threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2716 goals in 27 appearances, 6 goals in last 5 matches
Frankie Westfield
Philadelphia Union
Provides width and creativity from defence with 7 assists this season, including 3 in the last 5 games.
Major League Soccer 26/277 assists in 22 appearances, 3 assists in last 5 matches
Aleksei Miranchuk
Atlanta United FC
Creative midfielder contributing 6 goals and 6 assists this season, key to Atlanta's offensive play.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals and 6 assists in 25 appearances
Analysis
Philadelphia Union's attack, spearheaded by Milan Iloski who has netted 16 goals this season including six in the last five matches, is a significant threat. Their defender Frankie Westfield also contributes offensively with seven assists this season, adding width and creativity. Atlanta United's Aleksei Miranchuk and Miguel Almirón have been influential in midfield, combining for goals and assists recently. The match is expected to be tight, with both sides capable of scoring, but Philadelphia's sharper finishing could make the difference.
Key facts
- 1.Philadelphia Union's Milan Iloski has scored 16 goals this season, including 6 in the last 5 matches.
- 2.Frankie Westfield, a defender for Philadelphia, has provided 7 assists this season, with 3 in the last 5 games.
- 3.Atlanta United's Aleksei Miranchuk has contributed 6 goals and 6 assists this season.
- 4.Miguel Almirón has 4 goals and 4 assists for Atlanta United this season.
- 5.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed absences.
- 6.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Atlanta United FC have won 6, Philadelphia Union 7, with 7 draws.
- 7.Head-to-head matches average 2.9 total goals, indicating a tendency for open games.
Prediction
The prediction favours an away win for Philadelphia Union with a 3-2 scoreline. Despite the low confidence in this call, the statistical edge lies with Philadelphia's attacking firepower and recent form. Expect a closely fought game with goals from both sides, but ultimately Philadelphia to come out on top.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atlanta United FC
Away — Philadelphia Union
The verdict
In summary, this MLS regular season match should provide plenty of excitement and goals. Philadelphia Union's offensive strengths are likely to tip the balance in their favour, but Atlanta United will not go down without a fight. Fans should prepare for a thrilling 3-2 encounter.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:39 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty cancelled
Latte Lath
Assist: Almirón
Báez
Yellow Card
Gregersen
Yellow Card
Jacob
Assist: Almirón
Galarza
Yellow Card
Vassilev
Kornzeniowski
Iloski
Miranchuk
Assist: Almirón
Galarza
Latte Lath
Ndinga Ossibadjouo
Miranchuk
Jean-Jacques
Jacob
Yellow Card
Anello
Assist: Westfield
Sanchez
Almirón
Match Statistics
Atlanta United FC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1L. HoyosG
- 3E. BáezD
- 4E. MihajD
- 5S. GregersenD
- 8T. MuyumbaM
- 9E. Latte LathF
- 10M. AlmirónF
- 48C. SanchezM
- 55T. JacobD
- 59A. MiranchukF
- 88M. GalarzaM
Substitutes
- 2R. HernándezD
- 7S. AlzateM
- 11S. LobzhanidzeF
- 18Pedro AmadorD
- 19Sergio SantosF
- 22F. PicaultF
- 30C. TogashiF
- 42Jayden HibbertG
- 47Matthew EdwardsD
Philadelphia Union
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4J. LukićM
- 9B. DamianiF
- 10M. IloskiM
- 18A. BlakeG
- 19I. VassilevM
- 20P. Ndinga OssibadjouoD
- 21D. Jean-JacquesM
- 26N. HarrielD
- 29O. MakhanyaD
- 37Stas KornzeniowskiF
- 39F. WestfieldD
Substitutes
- 2G. MartínezD
- 5J. Sery LarsenD
- 6Cavan SullivanM
- 8J. BuenoM
- 11A. BedoyaM
- 16B. BenderM
- 23E. AlladohF
- 28A. AnelloF
- 76A. RickG
Atlanta United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Almirón(C) | F | 88 | 8.5 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 6 | 0/1 |
| Tomás Jacob | D | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Aleksei Miranchuk | F | 78 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | F | 69 | 7.3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/5 |
| Stian Gregersen | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enea Mihaj | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Matías Galarza | M | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elías Báez | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jayden Hibbert | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Santos | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cayman Togashi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronald Hernández | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Amador | D | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Steven Alzate | M | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Fafà Picault | F | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Saba Lobjanidze | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Philadelphia Union
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jovan Lukić | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Danley Jean Jacques | M | 81 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Olwethu Makhanya | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Harriel | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Frankie Westfield | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0/2 |
| Bruno Damiani | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Indiana Vassilev | M | 57 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Andre Blake(C) | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stas Kornzeniowski | F | 57 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Philippe Ndinga | D | 77 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/6 |
| Milan Iloski | M | 57 | 5.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ben Bender | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cavan Sullivan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Rick | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Geiner Martínez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustin Anello | F | 33 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Jesus Bueno | M | 9 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ezekiel Alladoh | F | 33 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Japhet Sery Larsen | D | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Bedoya | M | 33 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Philadelphia Union to win against Atlanta United FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Atlanta United FC 2–3 Philadelphia Union.
- What were the win probabilities for Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union?
- Fipster's model gave Atlanta United FC a 32% chance of winning, Philadelphia Union a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.