Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution
Match recap
New England Revolution beat Atlanta United FC 2–1 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Picault scored for Atlanta United FC; Sands and Miller replied for New England Revolution. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.47 for Atlanta United FC versus 1.10 for New England Revolution.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 Atlanta United FC win
Actual
1–2
Outcome probability
This MLS regular season fixture between Atlanta United FC and New England Revolution promises an exciting battle, with both sides boasting key offensive threats and a history of tight encounters.
Match factors
Miranchuk and Almirón's creative synergy
Miranchuk and Almirón combine high goal and assist numbers, driving Atlanta's attack effectively
Carles Gil's scoring and playmaking edge
Gil leads New England with 12 goals and 4 assists, providing a strong offensive threat
New England missing key midfielder Yusuf
Yusuf is confirmed out, weakening New England's midfield creativity and defensive balance
Atlanta's recent scoring streak at home
Atlanta has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, indicating offensive momentum despite defensive issues
Defensive solidity from Báez for Atlanta
Báez provides defensive stability and contributes assists, aiding Atlanta's build-up play
The context
The two teams have met 19 times previously, with New England holding a slight edge with 8 wins to Atlanta's 7, alongside 4 draws. Their head-to-head matches average nearly 3 goals per game, indicating an open and attacking style when these sides meet.
Key insights
Aleksey Miranchuk
Atlanta United FC
Leads Atlanta in goals and assists, driving their attack with strong recent form.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals and 6 assists in 26 appearances this season.
- M
Miguel Almirón Rejala
Atlanta United FC
Creative midfielder with high goal and assist numbers, key to Atlanta's home scoring.
Major League Soccer 26/275 goals and 4 assists in 21 appearances this season.
Carles Gil
New England Revolution
Top scorer and playmaker for New England, providing a significant offensive threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2712 goals and 4 assists in 28 appearances this season.
- E
Elías Báez Sotelo
Atlanta United FC
Defensive stalwart who also contributes assists, aiding Atlanta's build-up play.
Major League Soccer 26/273 assists in 25 appearances this season.
Analysis
Atlanta United FC have shown good scoring form at home, netting in four of their last five home games, while New England Revolution rely heavily on their top scorer Carles Gil, who has 12 goals and 4 assists this season. Atlanta's Aleksey Miranchuk and Miguel Almirón form a creative duo that drives their attack effectively. However, New England will be without key midfielder Yusuf, which could hamper their midfield creativity and defensive balance. Defensively, Atlanta's Elías Báez provides stability and contributes assists, helping their build-up play.
Key facts
- 1.In 19 meetings, Atlanta United FC have won 7, New England Revolution 8, with 4 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.9 total goals.
- 3.Atlanta has scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- 4.Carles Gil leads New England with 12 goals and 4 assists this season.
- 5.Aleksey Miranchuk tops Atlanta's scoring with 6 goals and 6 assists.
- 6.New England's Yusuf is out, weakening their midfield.
- 7.Elías Báez contributes defensively and with 3 assists for Atlanta.
Prediction
Despite the close head-to-head record and New England's offensive capabilities, the prediction leans towards a home win for Atlanta United FC with a 3-2 scoreline. The match is expected to be a high-scoring and closely fought contest, with both teams finding the net but Atlanta just edging it.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atlanta United FC
Away — New England Revolution
No standout top scorers flagged for New England Revolution
The verdict
Expect a thrilling encounter with plenty of goals and attacking intent from both sides. Atlanta United FC's home form and creative midfield partnership should be the difference in a narrow 3-2 victory over New England Revolution.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:49 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal cancelled
Picault
Galarza
Yellow Card
Edwards
Yellow Card
Yow
Langoni
Sands
Assist: Gil
Miller
Sanchez
Galarza
Picault
Lobzhanidze
Raines
Yellow Card
Reilly
Turgeman
Gil
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Atlanta United FC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1L. HoyosG
- 4E. MihajD
- 6Juan BerrocalD
- 11S. LobzhanidzeF
- 18Pedro AmadorD
- 22F. PicaultF
- 28William ReillyM
- 47Matthew EdwardsD
- 48C. SanchezM
- 59A. MiranchukF
- 88M. GalarzaM
Substitutes
- 2R. HernándezD
- 3E. BáezD
- 5S. GregersenD
- 8T. MuyumbaM
- 9E. Latte LathF
- 20L. BrennanM
- 30C. TogashiF
- 35A. FortuneM
- 42Jayden HibbertG
New England Revolution
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2M. FofanaD
- 7G. YowM
- 10Carles GilM
- 11D. TurgemanF
- 12I. FeingoldD
- 21B. RainesM
- 22E. KohlerD
- 23W. SandsD
- 30M. TurnerG
- 41L. LangoniM
- 80A. YusufM
Substitutes
- 4T. BeasonD
- 17Marcos Zambrano-DelgadoF
- 25P. MillerD
- 32M. FryF
- 33D. ParisianG
- 35C. OliveiraM
- 38Eric KleinM
- 77D. FagundezM
- 88A. FarrellD
Atlanta United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksey Miranchuk(C) | F | 90 | 8.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Fafà Picault | F | 79 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Reilly | M | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Pedro Amador | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Enea Mihaj | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Matías Galarza | M | 79 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | F | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Juan Berrocal | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jayden Hibbert | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronald Hernández | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | F | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Stian Gregersen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elías Báez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke Brennan | M | 11 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Ajani Fortune | M | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Cayman Togashi | F | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
New England Revolution
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Turner | G | 90 | 9.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carles Gil(C) | M | 90 | 8.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mamadou Fofana | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| William Sands | D | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ethan Kohler | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brooklyn Raines | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilay Feingold | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Luca Langoni | M | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Dor Turgeman | F | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Alhassan Yusuf | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Griffin Yow | M | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Donovan Parisian | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Klein | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristiano Oliveira | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Zambrano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malcolm Fry | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanner Beason | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Farrell | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peyton Miller | D | 24 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Diego Fagúndez | M | 30 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Atlanta United FC to win against New England Revolution.
- What score did Fipster predict for Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Atlanta United FC 3–2 New England Revolution.
- What were the win probabilities for Atlanta United FC vs New England Revolution?
- Fipster's model gave Atlanta United FC a 35% chance of winning, New England Revolution a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.