Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC
Match recap
Nashville SC beat Atlanta United FC 2–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Espinoza and Mohammed scored for Nashville SC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.62 for Atlanta United FC versus 2.17 for Nashville SC.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-3 Nashville SC win
Actual
0–2
Outcome probability
This MLS regular season fixture promises an exciting contest between Atlanta United FC and Nashville SC. Both teams have shown glimpses of attacking flair, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter.
Match factors
Nashville's superior scoring form
Nashville averages 2.11 goals per game vs Atlanta's 1.18, indicating stronger offensive output.
Nashville's attacking duo in form
Surridge (16 goals) and Mukhtar (14 goals, 6 assists) form a potent attack likely to challenge Atlanta's defense.
Miranchuk's consistent contributions for Atlanta
Miranchuk leads Atlanta with 6 goals and 6 assists, showing steady form despite team's struggles.
Atlanta missing key defender D. Chica
Chica's absence weakens Atlanta's defense, potentially exposing them to Nashville's strong attack.
Cristian Espinoza's creative influence
Espinoza's 11 assists and recent form make him a key playmaker for Nashville to unlock scoring chances.
The context
In their 15 previous meetings, Atlanta United FC have won 4 times, Nashville SC 5 times, with 6 draws. These matches have averaged just over 3 goals per game, highlighting a history of open play and goal-scoring opportunities.
Key insights
Samuel Surridge
Nashville SC
Leads Nashville with 16 goals, well above league average for attackers, and has scored 3 in the last 5 games, making him a key threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2716 goals in 22 appearances, 0.73 goals/game
Hany Mukhtar
Nashville SC
With 14 goals and 6 assists this season, Mukhtar is Nashville's creative hub and captain, showing excellent recent form.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals and 6 assists in 28 appearances
Cristian Espinoza
Nashville SC
Espinoza's 11 assists and recent form make him a crucial playmaker for Nashville's attack.
Major League Soccer 26/2711 assists in 24 appearances, 0.46 assists/game
Aleksey Miranchuk
Atlanta United FC
Miranchuk leads Atlanta with 6 goals and 6 assists, providing consistent attacking contributions despite the team's struggles.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals and 6 assists in 26 appearances
Analysis
Nashville SC boast a superior scoring record this season, averaging 2.11 goals per game compared to Atlanta's 1.18. Their attacking duo, Samuel Surridge and Hany Mukhtar, have been in fine form, combining for 30 goals and multiple assists. Cristian Espinoza's creativity, with 11 assists this season, further bolsters Nashville's offensive threat. Atlanta's Aleksey Miranchuk remains a consistent contributor but the absence of key defender D. Chica may expose their backline to Nashville's potent attack.
Key facts
- 1.Nashville SC average 2.11 goals per game this season, significantly higher than Atlanta's 1.18.
- 2.Samuel Surridge leads Nashville with 16 goals in 22 appearances, showcasing strong scoring form.
- 3.Hany Mukhtar contributes 14 goals and 6 assists, acting as Nashville's creative captain.
- 4.Cristian Espinoza tops Nashville's assists chart with 11, key in unlocking defenses.
- 5.Atlanta United FC's Aleksey Miranchuk leads his team with 6 goals and 6 assists.
- 6.In 15 head-to-head matches, Nashville SC have a slight edge with 5 wins to Atlanta's 4.
- 7.Previous encounters average 3.1 goals per game, indicating an open and attacking style.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a narrow away win for Nashville SC with a 3-2 scoreline. Their attacking prowess and recent form suggest they can outscore Atlanta in what should be a closely contested match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atlanta United FC
Away — Nashville SC
The verdict
Expect an entertaining game with plenty of goalmouth action. Nashville SC's firepower is likely to be the deciding factor, edging out Atlanta United FC in a thrilling 3-2 victory.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:33 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Muyumba
Yellow Card
Madrigal
Espinoza
Assist: Mukhtar
Tagseth
Sanchez
Báez
Fortune
Hoyos
Yellow Card
Latte Lath
Najar
Qasem
Mohammed
Match Statistics
Atlanta United FC
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1L. HoyosG
- 3E. BáezD
- 4E. MihajD
- 5S. GregersenD
- 8T. MuyumbaM
- 9E. Latte LathF
- 35A. FortuneM
- 48C. SanchezM
- 55T. JacobD
- 59A. MiranchukM
- 88M. GalarzaM
Substitutes
- 2R. HernándezD
- 6Juan BerrocalD
- 11S. LobzhanidzeF
- 18Pedro AmadorD
- 22F. PicaultF
- 28William ReillyM
- 30C. TogashiF
- 42Jayden HibbertG
- 47Matthew EdwardsD
Nashville SC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2D. LovitzD
- 3M. WoledziD
- 4J. PalaciosD
- 7C. EspinozaM
- 10H. MukhtarF
- 16M. CorcoranM
- 20E. TagsethM
- 31A. NajarD
- 37A. QasemM
- 41W. MadrigalF
- 99B. SchwakeG
Substitutes
- 1J. WillisG
- 5J. MaherD
- 6B. AcostaM
- 8P. YazbekM
- 14S. MohammedM
- 17W. PaciusF
- 19A. MuylM
- 22J. BauerD
- 27R. Baker-WhitingD
Atlanta United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Jacob | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Aleksey Miranchuk(C) | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2/4 |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Stian Gregersen | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Enea Mihaj | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ajani Fortune | M | 74 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Matías Galarza | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Elías Báez | D | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | F | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jayden Hibbert | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Berrocal | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronald Hernández | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Reilly | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | F | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Fafà Picault | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Cayman Togashi | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Pedro Amador | D | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nashville SC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Espinoza | M | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2/3 |
| Daniel Lovitz | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Andy Najar | D | 84 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/5 |
| Hany Mukhtar(C) | F | 90 | 7.5 | — | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Maxwell Woledzi | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeisson Palacios | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Edvard Sandvik Tagseth | M | 66 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Brian Schwake | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Corcoran | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Warren Madrigal | F | 56 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Qasem | M | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bryan Acosta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Willis | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Woobens Pacius | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bauer | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Maher | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shakur Mohammed | M | 13 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Reed Baker-Whiting | D | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Muyl | M | 34 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Patrick Yazbek | M | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Nashville SC to win against Atlanta United FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Atlanta United FC 2–3 Nashville SC.
- What were the win probabilities for Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC?
- Fipster's model gave Atlanta United FC a 2% chance of winning, Nashville SC a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.