Atlanta United FC vs DC United
Match recap
Atlanta United FC and DC United drew 0–0 in their Major League Soccer fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.26 for Atlanta United FC versus 0.16 for DC United.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 Atlanta United FC win
Actual
0–0
Outcome probability
Atlanta United and DC United are set for an exciting regular season clash in the fifth round, with both sides eager to make their mark early in the campaign. Fans can anticipate a lively encounter given the attacking talents on display.
Match factors
Atlanta's creative midfield edge
Miranchuk and Almirón's combined goal and assist threat gives Atlanta a creative advantage
DC United's prolific striker Baribo
Baribo's 14 goals this season make him a constant scoring threat for DC United
Strong assist contribution from defenders
Both teams have defenders (Báez, Kurokawa) contributing assists, aiding wide play
Miranchuk's consistent involvement
Miranchuk maintains steady goal and assist output, key to Atlanta's attacking momentum
No confirmed absences for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups possible
The context
This fixture sees two teams with a competitive history, having met 20 times previously with Atlanta United winning half of those matches. Their encounters typically produce close contests, averaging nearly three goals per game, promising an entertaining spectacle.
Key insights
A. Miranchuk
Atlanta United FC
Miranchuk leads the team in goals and assists, providing a creative edge crucial for Atlanta's attacking play.
Major League Soccer 26/276 goals and 6 assists in 25 appearances this season.
M. Almirón
Atlanta United FC
Almirón's consistent goal and assist contributions, especially at home, make him a key attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/274 goals and 4 assists in 20 appearances this season.
T. Baribo
DC United
Baribo's prolific scoring with 14 goals this season makes him DC United's main offensive weapon.
Major League Soccer 26/2714 goals in 21 appearances this season.
K. Kurokawa
DC United
Kurokawa's 6 assists from defence provide DC United with valuable creativity and width.
Major League Soccer 26/276 assists in 28 appearances this season.
Analysis
Atlanta United boast a creative midfield spearheaded by A. Miranchuk and M. Almirón, who combine for a significant share of the team's goals and assists. Miranchuk leads with six goals and six assists this season, while Almirón adds consistent attacking threat, especially at home. DC United rely heavily on their prolific striker T. Baribo, who has netted 14 goals this season, making him a constant danger. Both teams also benefit from attacking contributions from their defenders, with K. Kurokawa and E. Báez providing width and creativity. With no confirmed absences, both sides can field their strongest lineups, setting the stage for a competitive and closely fought match.
Key facts
- 1.Atlanta United have won 10 of 20 previous meetings against DC United.
- 2.The average goals per game in their head-to-head is 2.9, indicating open play.
- 3.A. Miranchuk leads Atlanta with 6 goals and 6 assists this season.
- 4.T. Baribo is DC United's top scorer with 14 goals this season.
- 5.Both teams have defenders contributing assists, enhancing their attacking options.
- 6.No confirmed injuries for either team, allowing full-strength squads.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-1, consistent with a close fulltime result.
Prediction
We predict a narrow home win for Atlanta United with a 3-2 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-1, reflecting a balanced start before Atlanta's attacking edge sees them prevail. The match should feature a moderate number of cards, around three, as both teams push hard for victory.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atlanta United FC
Away — DC United
The verdict
In summary, this encounter promises goals and drama, with Atlanta United's creative midfield and home advantage likely tipping the scales. DC United's potent striker Baribo will keep them in the contest, but ultimately the hosts should secure a hard-fought 3-2 victory.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Muyumba
Yellow Card
Sanchez
Peglow
Bartlett
Yellow Card
Galarza
Pirani
Hopkins
Miranchuk
Báez
Servania
Match Statistics
Atlanta United FC
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1L. HoyosG
- 3E. BáezD
- 4E. MihajD
- 5S. GregersenD
- 8T. MuyumbaM
- 9E. Latte LathF
- 10M. AlmirónM
- 48C. SanchezM
- 55T. JacobD
- 59A. MiranchukM
- 88M. GalarzaM
Substitutes
- 2R. HernándezD
- 7S. AlzateM
- 11S. LobzhanidzeF
- 18Pedro AmadorD
- 20L. BrennanM
- 22F. PicaultF
- 30C. TogashiF
- 42Jayden HibbertG
- 47Matthew EdwardsD
DC United
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1S. JohnsonG
- 3L. BartlettD
- 4M. PeltolaM
- 5S. HeftiD
- 6K. KurokawaD
- 7PeglowM
- 9T. BariboF
- 10Gabriel PiraniF
- 15K. RowlesD
- 23B. ServaniaM
- 25J. HopkinsM
Substitutes
- 8J. StroudM
- 12C. AntleyD
- 13S. NealisD
- 17J. MurrellF
- 26A. BonoG
- 27Nikola MarkovicD
- 30C. ClarkM
- 48Gavin TurnerM
- 77Hosei KijimaM
Atlanta United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enea Mihaj | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stian Gregersen | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tomás Jacob | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 65 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Miguel Almirón(C) | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Aleksei Miranchuk | M | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Matías Galarza | M | 74 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elías Báez | D | 88 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luke Brennan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronald Hernández | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jayden Hibbert | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cayman Togashi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Amador | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Fafà Picault | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Steven Alzate | M | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Saba Lobjanidze | F | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
DC United
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matti Peltola | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kye Rowles | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Johnson | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Silvan Hefti | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Bartlett(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Peglow | M | 67 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon Servania | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jackson Hopkins | M | 78 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Keisuke Kurokawa | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tai Baribo | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Pirani | F | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nikola Markovic | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Murrell | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conner Antley | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jared Stroud | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bono | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Nealis | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gavin Turner | M | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Hosei Kijima | M | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Caden Clark | M | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Atlanta United FC vs DC United?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Atlanta United FC to win against DC United.
- What score did Fipster predict for Atlanta United FC vs DC United?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Atlanta United FC 3–2 DC United.
- What were the win probabilities for Atlanta United FC vs DC United?
- Fipster's model gave Atlanta United FC a 47% chance of winning, DC United a 26% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 47% confidence — a medium-confidence call.