Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte
Charlotte stuns Atlanta with a neat double
Two well-timed strikes secure an away win in Atlanta.
Charlotte claimed a 2-0 victory over Atlanta United FC thanks to goals from I. Toklomati Giorno in the first half and L. Abada just after the break. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction favouring a home win with goals aplenty, it was Charlotte who silenced the home crowd with a disciplined performance. This result was a clear upset against the expected outcome.
Outcome probability
As the MLS regular season rolls on, Atlanta United and Charlotte prepare to lock horns in what looks set to be a high-scoring affair. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, making this fixture a tantalising prospect for fans of end-to-end football.
Match factors
Pep Biel's dual threat for Charlotte
Pep Biel leads Charlotte in goals (10) and assists (5), making him a central attacking threat Atlanta must contain.
Atlanta's Miranchuk key in attack
Miranchuk is Atlanta's top scorer and assister with 5 goals and 5 assists, showing strong involvement in goals.
Muyumba's recent scoring surge
Tristan Muyumba has scored 3 goals in last 5 games, indicating rising form and goal threat from midfield.
Charlotte's creative midfield depth
Charlotte's midfielders Biel, Vargas, and Westwood provide strong assist potential, enhancing their attacking creativity.
Full squad availability boosts Atlanta
No confirmed injuries for Atlanta United, ensuring full strength and tactical consistency for the home match.
The context
This match is part of the 22nd round of the MLS regular season. Historically, the head-to-head meetings between Atlanta United and Charlotte have been evenly matched, with Charlotte holding a slight edge in wins. The encounters have averaged three goals per game, highlighting the attacking nature of their clashes.
Key insights
Pep Biel
Charlotte
Leads Charlotte with 10 goals and 5 assists, making him their main attacking threat.
Major League Soccer 26/2710 goals in 20 appearances, 0.5 goals/game
A. Miranchuk
Atlanta United FC
Top scorer and assister for Atlanta with 5 goals and 5 assists, showing strong involvement in goals.
Major League Soccer 26/275 goals and 5 assists in 18 appearances
- T
Tristan Muyumba
Atlanta United FC
Has scored 3 goals in the last 5 games, indicating good recent form and goal threat from midfield.
Major League Soccer 26/273 goals in last 5 games
Analysis
Atlanta United boast a strong home record and have key players like A. Miranchuk leading their attack with 5 goals and 5 assists this season. Charlotte, meanwhile, rely heavily on Pep Biel, who tops their charts with 10 goals and 5 assists. Both sides have creative midfield options, promising a lively contest. The predicted halftime score of 2-1 suggests an open first half, with Atlanta just shading the advantage before holding on for a 3-2 win.
Key facts
- 1.Atlanta United have won 4 of 10 head-to-head matches against Charlotte.
- 2.Charlotte have won 5 of the 10 head-to-head meetings, with 1 draw.
- 3.Head-to-head matches average 3.0 goals per game.
- 4.Pep Biel leads Charlotte with 10 goals and 5 assists this season.
- 5.A. Miranchuk is Atlanta United's top scorer and assister with 5 goals and 5 assists.
- 6.Predicted halftime score is 2-1 in favour of Atlanta United.
- 7.Predicted fulltime score is 3-2 to Atlanta United.
- 8.Four cards are expected in the match.
Prediction
Expect Atlanta United to clinch a narrow 3-2 victory. The game should be competitive, with both teams finding the net multiple times. Four cards are anticipated, indicating a spirited but fair contest. Fans should brace for a thrilling encounter with plenty of attacking flair.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atlanta United FC
Away — Charlotte
The verdict
In summary, this fixture promises goals and excitement, with Atlanta United's home advantage and attacking prowess likely to see them through. Charlotte will not go down without a fight, making this a match worth watching until the final whistle.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Toklomati Giorno
Diani
Yellow Card
Abada
Picault
Reilly
Edwards
Muyumba
Almirón
Toklomati Giorno
Westwood
Saint-Maximin
Schnegg
Gill
Yellow Card
Biel
Match Statistics
Atlanta United FC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1L. HoyosG
- 6J. AlonsoD
- 8T. MuyumbaM
- 10M. AlmirónF
- 22F. PicaultF
- 27P. DíazD
- 28William ReillyM
- 47Matthew EdwardsD
- 48C. SanchezM
- 55T. JacobD
- 59A. MiranchukF
Substitutes
- 2R. HernándezD
- 4E. MihajD
- 7S. AlzateM
- 16Adrian GillM
- 19Sergio SantosF
- 30C. TogashiF
- 42Jayden HibbertG
Charlotte
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1K. KahlinaG
- 3T. ReamD
- 8A. WestwoodM
- 9I. Toklomati GiornoF
- 10A. Saint-MaximinF
- 11L. AbadaF
- 16Pep BielM
- 22H. KesslerD
- 23D. SchneggD
- 28D. DianiM
- 35Will ClearyD
Substitutes
- 4A. PrivettD
- 7A. GoodwinF
- 13B. BronicoM
- 14N. ByrneD
- 17L. de la TorreM
- 21T. MillerG
- 25Tyger SmallsF
- 37R. AlokoF
- 44M. AgyemangD
Atlanta United FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksey Miranchuk | F | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Lucas Hoyos | G | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| William Reilly | M | 64 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tristan Muyumba | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Cooper Sanchez | M | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Paulo Díaz | D | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Fafà Picault | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Miguel Almirón(C) | F | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Tomás Jacob | D | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Junior Alonso | D | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jayden Hibbert | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enea Mihaj | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cayman Togashi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Gill | M | 29 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Ronald Hernández | D | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Santos | F | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Steven Alzate | M | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
Charlotte
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Kessler | D | 93 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Idan Toklomati | F | 77 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 1/3 |
| Allan Saint-Maximin | F | 77 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 4/5 |
| David Schnegg | D | 85 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Kristijan Kahlina | G | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Ream | D | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pep Biel | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 5 | — |
| Liel Abada | F | 93 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| Ashley Westwood(C) | M | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Will Cleary | D | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Djibril Diani | M | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Morrison Agyemang | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Privett | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca De La Torre | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyger Smalls | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Miller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Archie Goodwin | F | 16 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Nathan Byrne | D | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodolfo Aloko | F | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Brandt Bronico | M | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Atlanta United FC to win against Charlotte.
- What score did Fipster predict for Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Atlanta United FC 3–2 Charlotte.
- What were the win probabilities for Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte?
- Fipster's model gave Atlanta United FC a 85% chance of winning, Charlotte a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.