Athletic Club vs Sevilla
Sevilla cruise past Athletic Club with commanding win
A trio of goals from Sevilla secures a comfortable victory at San Mamés.
Sevilla took control early with Oso's strike in the 15th minute and never looked back, adding two more goals after the break through C. Ejuke and Isaac. Athletic Club's Aitor Paredes managed a consolation goal, but it was too little too late as Sevilla sealed a 3-1 win. Fipster's prediction of an away win was on the money, albeit with a slightly narrower margin expected.
Outcome probability
As the new season kicks off, Athletic Club and Sevilla prepare to face off in what promises to be a tightly fought encounter. Both sides finished last season in similar league positions, setting the stage for a competitive match where small margins could decide the outcome.
Key facts
- 1.Athletic Club finished 12th last season with 45 points from 38 games.
- 2.Sevilla ended the previous campaign 13th with 43 points in 38 matches.
- 3.The most likely halftime score is 0-0, indicating a cautious opening period.
- 4.A 2-1 away win is the predicted fulltime scoreline, with Sevilla edging the contest.
- 5.Draw outcomes have a combined probability higher than either side winning, suggesting a tight match.
- 6.The match is the first league game of the new season for both teams.
The context
Neither team has played a league game this season, so this fixture marks the first real test of their readiness. Athletic Club, known as Los Leones, and Sevilla, Los Nervionenses, both aim to start their campaigns positively after finishing mid-table last term. The match will likely be a tactical battle as both sides seek to establish early momentum.
Analysis
The prediction leans towards an away win for Sevilla, with a 2-1 scoreline the second most probable fulltime result. A goalless first half is expected, reflecting a cautious start from both teams. The second half should see Sevilla break the deadlock and edge ahead, capitalising on opportunities to secure the win. The relatively close probabilities suggest a competitive match, with Athletic Club expected to push hard but ultimately fall short.
Prediction
Expect a tight first half with no goals, followed by Sevilla scoring twice in the second half to claim a 2-1 victory. Athletic Club will respond with a goal but won't quite manage to level the scores. The match should feature a handful of cards, adding to the intensity without overshadowing the football.
The verdict
This season opener promises a close contest with Sevilla just shading it in the end. Fans can look forward to a competitive match where tactical discipline and second-half resilience will be key. Both teams will want to start the campaign with a positive result, but it’s Los Nervionenses who are predicted to take the spoils.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
No recent fixture data
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yuri
Red Card
Oso
Peque Fernández
Yellow Card
Guruzeta
Yellow Card
Sierra
Yellow Card
Guridi
Yellow Card
Sierra
Guridi
Peque Fernández
Ejuke
Assist: Isaac
Isaac
Assist: Oso
Williams
Areso
Guruzeta
Sangante
Paredes
Assist: Yeray
Paredes
Oso
Unknown
Ruíz de Galarreta
Yellow Card
Isaac
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Unai SimónG
- 4Aitor ParedesD
- 5YerayD
- 7Álex BerenguerM
- 8Oihan SancetM
- 9I. WilliamsM
- 11Gorka GuruzetaF
- 12Jesús AresoD
- 17YuriD
Substitutes
- 10Nico WilliamsF
- 13Álex PadillaG
- 14Aymeric LaporteD
- 15Hugo RincónD
- 16Ruíz de GalarretaM
- 18Mikel JauregizarM
- 19A. BoiroD
- 20Alejandro RegoM
- 21Maroan SannadiF
- 23Robert NavarroM
- 25Álvaro DjalóF
Sevilla
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1O. VlachodimosG
- 2Juan IglesiasD
- 5Andrés CastrínD
- 6L. AgouméM
- 9R. UreF
- 10Peque FernándezM
- 12A. SanganteD
- 17G. SuazoD
- 18Jon GuridiM
- 19OsoM
- 30M. SierraM
Substitutes
- 3Julio Díaz del RomoD
- 8G. KochorashviliM
- 13Fran GonzálezG
- 16IsaacF
- 21C. EjukeF
- 22José Ángel CarmonaD
- 27N. GuillenM
- 28Manu BuenoM
- 33Rafael RomeroG
- 34I. MunozD
Athletic Club
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesús Areso | D | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuri Berchiche | D | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Paredes | D | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gorka Guruzeta | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Berenguer | M | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iñaki Williams(C) | M | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Oihan Sancet | M | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Unai Simón | G | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yeray Álvarez | D | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Navarro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aymeric Laporte | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Williams | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Djaló | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maroan Sannadi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Padilla | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Rincón | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Rego Mora | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adama Boiro | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Jauregizar | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sevilla
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucien Agoumé | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andres Castrin | D | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Sierra | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oso | M | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Arouna Sangante | D | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Guridi | M | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Iglesias | D | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peque Fernández | M | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Odysseas Vlachodimos | G | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robbie Ure | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Suazo(C) | D | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Giorgi Kochorashvili | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chidera Ejuke | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Muñoz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran González | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Guillén | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julio Díaz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Bueno | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa Romero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Ángel Carmona | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaac Romero | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |


