Athletic Club vs Osasuna
Match recap
Athletic Club beat Osasuna 1–0 in their La Liga fixture. Guruzeta scored for Athletic Club. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.56 for Athletic Club versus 1.12 for Osasuna. Athletic Club sit 12th in the La Liga table while Osasuna are 17th.
Analysis
Athletic Club host Osasuna in what promises to be a tightly contested La Liga fixture. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and with key players missing, the match could hinge on tactical discipline and moments of individual brilliance.
Athletic Club currently sit 9th with 41 points, just ahead of Osasuna in 10th with 39 points. Historically, Athletic have the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, winning 9 of 20 matches, while Osasuna have claimed 5 victories. The teams average 2.2 goals per meeting, suggesting a balanced contest.
Athletic Club's Gorka Guruzeta remains a key offensive threat, having scored 8 goals this season, including one in this fixture. However, injuries to key attackers like Iñaki Williams and Álex Berenguer have hampered their attacking options. Osasuna's leading scorer Budimir is also sidelined, reducing their firepower. Both sides have defensive absences, potentially opening up the game. The predicted 1-1 draw reflects the balance of attacking and defensive capabilities, with a moderate total of four cards expected.
Prediction
The highest probability outcome is a 1-1 draw, with Athletic Club leading 1-0 at halftime before Osasuna equalise in the second half. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams sharing points. Four cards are predicted, indicating a moderately physical encounter.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Key attackers missing for Athletic Club
Gorka Guruzeta, Iñaki Williams, Álex Berenguer, and Oihan Sancet are injured, reducing scoring and creativity options.
Osasuna's leading scorer Budimir absent
Budimir's injury absence weakens Osasuna's main goal threat, potentially limiting their attacking threat.
Athletic Club's home scoring strength
Athletic scores 1.2 goals per home game, slightly above league average, boosting their scoring chances at home.
Osasuna's recent away struggles
Osasuna has low away scoring (0.6 goals per game) and recent losses away, indicating offensive challenges on the road.
Defensive solidity impacted by injuries
Both teams have key defensive players injured, potentially leading to more open play and scoring chances.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a hard-fought draw between Athletic Club and Osasuna. Both teams have strengths and weaknesses that balance out, and with key players missing, neither side is likely to dominate. Fans should prepare for a spirited contest with moments of quality and a fair share of disciplinary action.
- Athletic Club have won 9 of 20 meetings against Osasuna, who have won 5, with 6 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.2 goals, with Athletic scoring 25 and Osasuna 19 in total.
- Athletic Club are 9th in La Liga with 41 points; Osasuna are 10th with 39 points.
- Osasuna have a better goal difference (+9) than Athletic Club (-11) this season.
- Gorka Guruzeta scored the only goal for Athletic Club in this fixture.
- Both teams have key attackers injured, impacting their offensive threat.
- Four cards are expected in this match, indicating a moderately physical game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Athletic Club
Away — Osasuna
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty cancelled
Jauregizar
Yellow Card
Guruzeta
Oroz
Yellow Card
Penalty confirmed
Álex Berenguer
Nico Williams
Ruíz de Galarreta
Torró
García
Aymeric Laporte
Oroz
Yuri
Herrando
Moncayola
Jauregizar
Yellow Card
Jauregizar
Red Card
Williams
Yellow Card
Moi Gómez
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Unai SimónG
- 2GorosabelD
- 5YerayD
- 7Álex BerenguerM
- 9I. WilliamsM
- 10Nico WilliamsM
- 11Gorka GuruzetaF
- 14Aymeric LaporteD
- 16Ruíz de GalarretaM
- 17YuriD
- 18Mikel JauregizarM
Substitutes
- 3Dani VivianD
- 4Aitor ParedesD
- 6Mikel VesgaM
- 8Oihan SancetM
- 12Jesús AresoD
- 19A. BoiroD
- 20Unai GómezM
- 22Nico SerranoF
- 23Robert NavarroM
- 25Urko IzetaF
- 27Álex PadillaG
- 30Alejandro RegoM
Osasuna
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Sergio HerreraG
- 5Jorge HerrandoD
- 6Lucas TorróM
- 7MoncayolaM
- 10Aimar OrozM
- 14Rubén GarcíaM
- 17A. BudimirF
- 19V. RosierD
- 20Javi GalánD
- 21Víctor MuñozM
- 22F. BoyomoD
Substitutes
- 3Juan CruzD
- 8Iker MuñozM
- 9Raúl GarcíaF
- 11Kike BarjaF
- 13Aitor FernándezG
- 16Moi GómezF
- 18Raul MoroF
- 23Abel BretonesD
- 31D. StamatakisG
- 41Íñigo ArguibideD
Athletic Club
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unai Simón | G | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuri Berchiche | D | 81 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Iñaki Williams(C) | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Aymeric Laporte | D | 75 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yeray Álvarez | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta | M | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Andoni Gorosabel | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Nico Williams | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Mikel Jauregizar | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Gorka Guruzeta | F | 90 | 6.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Álex Berenguer | M | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jesús Areso | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Serrano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Paredes | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Urko Izeta | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Unai Gómez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Padilla | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Vesga | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oihan Sancet | M | 25 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Daniel Vivian | D | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Navarro | M | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Adama Boiro | D | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Rego | M | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Osasuna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentin Rosier | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Javi Galán | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| Jorge Herrando | D | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Victor Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| Aimar Oroz | M | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jon Moncayola | M | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Ruben Garcia(C) | M | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Sergio Herrera | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Torro | M | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Flavien Boyomo | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ante Budimir | F | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Iñigo Arguibide | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abel Bretones | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Fernández | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitrios Stamatakis | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Cruz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moi Gomez | F | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kike Barja | F | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Muñoz | M | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Raúl García de Haro | F | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Moro | F | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |