Athletic Club vs Getafe
Athletic Club cruise to commanding win
Four different scorers secure a dominant 4-0 victory for the home side.
Athletic Club delivered a comprehensive performance with goals from Álex Berenguer, I. Williams, Aitor Paredes, and Yuri sealing a 4-0 triumph over Getafe. The home side established control early, opening the scoring in the 17th minute and never looking back. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the actual margin comfortably exceeded the anticipated 2-0 scoreline.
Outcome probability
Athletic Club, also known as Los Leones, face off against Getafe in the 10th round of the regular season. Both teams have had mixed starts, but the home side's recent performances suggest they will edge this encounter.
Match factors
Athletic Club missing key midfielders Sancet and Nico Williams
Both players confirmed out, reducing midfield creativity and goal threat, impacting attacking options
Getafe's main scorers fully available, boosting their attacking threat
Satriano and Ünal are fit, providing attacking options despite team's recent struggles
Athletic Club's home scoring form supports predicted 2-0 win
Athletic averages 1.25 goals at home, above league average, with strong recent home scoring streak
Athletic's creative midfielders likely to exploit Getafe's defensive vulnerabilities
Williams and Navarro's assist and goal rates surpass league averages, posing threats to Getafe's defense
Getafe's away scoring drought limits their goal threat in this fixture
Getafe has failed to score in last 4 away games, reducing likelihood of scoring against Athletic
The context
Athletic Club currently sit 10th in the league with 8 points from 6 games, showing a better goal difference than Getafe, who are 14th with 8 points from 8 games. The home side's ability to score and defend effectively at home contrasts with Getafe's struggles on the road, particularly their recent away scoring drought.
Key insights
Robert Navarro
Athletic Club
Navarro has an above-average scoring rate for a midfielder and strong recent home form, making him a key threat.
La Liga 26/272 goals in 8 appearances, 0.25 goals/game
Iñaki Dannis Williams
Athletic Club
Williams leads assists for Athletic Club with a strong home assist rate, providing creativity and goal opportunities.
La Liga 26/272 assists in 8 appearances, 0.25 assists/game
- M
Martín Satriano Costa
Getafe
Satriano is Getafe's leading scorer and is fully fit, but the team's away scoring drought limits his impact.
La Liga 26/272 goals in 9 appearances, 0.22 goals/game
Analysis
The prediction model strongly favours Athletic Club to win, with an 84% probability for a home victory. The most likely halftime score is 1-0, leading to a final 2-0 result. Athletic's midfielders Robert Navarro and Iñaki Williams are key creative forces, with Navarro boasting a 0.25 goals per game rate and Williams leading assists. Getafe's main scorers, including Martín Satriano Costa, are fit but have been unable to find the net away recently, limiting their threat.
Key facts
- 1.Athletic Club are 10th with 8 points from 6 games (W2 D2 L2).
- 2.Getafe are 14th with 8 points from 8 games (W2 D2 L4).
- 3.Athletic Club have a superior goal difference by 7 goals compared to Getafe.
- 4.Athletic Club average 1.25 goals per home game this season.
- 5.Getafe have failed to score in their last 4 away matches.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Athletic Club.
- 7.Four total cards are expected in the match, indicating moderate discipline.
Prediction
Expect Athletic Club to take an early lead and maintain control throughout, finishing with a 2-0 win. The match should feature moderate discipline, with around four cards expected. Los Leones' home scoring form and defensive solidity make this a confident call.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Athletic Club
Away — Getafe
The verdict
In summary, Athletic Club's home advantage, combined with their attacking and defensive strengths, should see them comfortably overcome Getafe. The visitors' scoring struggles away from home further tip the scales in favour of a clean sheet and a two-goal margin.
Prediction generated 21 Oct 2026, 20:03 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Álex Berenguer
Ruíz de Galarreta
Williams
Assist: Álex Berenguer
Terrats
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Serrano
Kiko Femenía
Mojica
Yellow Card
Sannadi
Nico Williams
Paredes
Assist: Álex Berenguer
Mojica
Azón
Terrats
Gerenabarrena
Yellow Card
Canales
Williams
Martín
Red Card
Yuri
Assist: Álex Berenguer
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Unai SimónG
- 3Dani VivianD
- 4Aitor ParedesD
- 7Álex BerenguerM
- 9I. WilliamsM
- 10Nico WilliamsM
- 15Hugo RincónD
- 16Ruíz de GalarretaM
- 17YuriD
- 21Maroan SannadiF
- 28Peio CanalesM
Substitutes
- 5YerayD
- 6Beñat PradosM
- 12Jesús AresoD
- 13Álex PadillaG
- 18Mikel JauregizarM
- 20Alejandro RegoM
- 22Nico SerranoF
- 23Robert NavarroM
- 24Beñat GerenabarrenaM
- 31J. Louis-JeanD
- 33Christian ImgaF
Getafe
5-4-1Starting XI
- 6Mario MartínM
- 8N. GudeljD
- 10M. SatrianoM
- 11Ramón TerratsM
- 13David SoriaG
- 16Francho SerranoM
- 17Kiko FemeníaD
- 20Iván AzónF
- 22J. MojicaD
- 26J. ValouD
Substitutes
- 1J. LetáčekG
- 3DavinchiD
- 4S. SazonovD
- 5A. AbqarD
- 9Borja MayoralF
- 15S. BoselliD
- 19E. ÜnalF
- 21Andrés GarcíaD
- 28Alberto RiscoM
- 35Diego FerrerG
Athletic Club
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álex Berenguer | M | 90 | 9.8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | — |
| Aitor Paredes | D | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Yuri | D | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| I. Williams | M | 85 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/4 |
| Dani Vivian | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ruíz de Galarreta | M | 18 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peio Canales | M | 84 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Hugo Rincón | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Unai Simón | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Beñat Gerenabarrena | M | 72 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Beñat Prados | M | 6 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Rego | M | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Imga | F | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Maroan Sannadi | F | 68 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Williams | M | 68 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 3/7 |
| Nico Serrano | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Padilla | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yeray | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Navarro | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Jauregizar | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Louis-Jean | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Areso | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Getafe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ünal | F | 19 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| N. Gudelj | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| Borja Mayoral | F | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Azón | F | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Sazonov | D | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés García | D | 44 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Valou | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Satriano | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Kiko Femenía | D | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Davinchi | D | 19 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramón Terrats | M | 71 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Francho Serrano | M | 46 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Soria | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Mojica | D | 71 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Mario Martín | M | 86 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| A. Abqar | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Boselli | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Risco | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Ferrer | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Letáček | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Athletic Club vs Getafe?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Athletic Club to win against Getafe.
- What score did Fipster predict for Athletic Club vs Getafe?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Athletic Club 2–0 Getafe.
- What were the win probabilities for Athletic Club vs Getafe?
- Fipster's model gave Athletic Club a 88% chance of winning, Getafe a 6% chance, and a 6% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 88% confidence — a high-confidence call.