Atalanta vs Sassuolo
Atalanta edge Sassuolo in tight tussle
Raspadori and Krstović secure a narrow win for Atalanta after Odenthal's reply.
Atalanta took an early lead through G. Raspadori before Sassuolo's C. Odenthal levelled after the break. However, N. Krstović restored Atalanta's advantage ten minutes later, sealing a 2-1 victory. Fipster's high-confidence prediction for an Atalanta win was spot on, though the actual scoreline was a touch more eventful than the predicted 1-0.
Analysis
The 2026-27 Serie A campaign kicks off with Atalanta facing Sassuolo in what promises to be a tactical battle. Both teams will be eager to start the season on a positive note, but the prediction leans towards a narrow home victory.
As the new season dawns, Atalanta and Sassuolo prepare to test their squads after the summer break. Last season's performances set the stage, with Atalanta boasting a stronger goal difference and a higher league finish. Sassuolo will look to upset the odds, but the visitors face a tough challenge against a well-organised La Dea side.
The prediction model favours Atalanta with a 55% chance of winning, compared to 27% for a draw and 16% for a Sassuolo win. The most likely scoreline is a 1-0 victory for Atalanta, with the same score expected at halftime. This suggests Atalanta will strike early and then focus on maintaining their lead, while the match is expected to be competitive with around four cards issued.
Prediction
Expect Atalanta to take an early lead and hold on for a 1-0 win. The confidence level of 67% supports this outcome as the most probable result. Sassuolo will likely push for an equaliser, but Atalanta's defensive solidity should see them through the opening fixture.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
In summary, the season opener looks set for a tight contest with Atalanta narrowly prevailing. Fans can anticipate a disciplined game with a single goal deciding the outcome, setting the tone for an intriguing Serie A season ahead.
- Atalanta are predicted to win with a 55% probability, the highest among all outcomes.
- The most probable fulltime score is 1-0 in favour of Atalanta, with an 18.5% chance.
- Halftime score is also expected to be 1-0, indicating an early goal by Atalanta.
- The match is predicted to see around four cards, suggesting a competitive encounter.
- Atalanta finished last season ranked 7th with a better goal difference than Sassuolo.
- Sassuolo ended last season 11th, indicating a slight underdog status for this fixture.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Raspadori
Assist: Gaetano
Odenthal
Scamacca
Zalewski
Pasalic
Adžić
Krstović
Bernasconi
Macchioni
Matić
Raspadori
Volpato
Bowie
Match Statistics
Atalanta
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3O. KossounouD
- 8Mario PasalicM
- 9G. ScamaccaF
- 13ÉdersonM
- 18G. RaspadoriF
- 29M. CarnesecchiG
- 42G. ScalviniD
- 47L. BernasconiD
- 59N. ZalewskiF
- 70G. GaetanoM
- 77D. ZappacostaD
Substitutes
- 6I. SulemanaM
- 10L. SamardžićM
- 15M. de RoonM
- 16R. BellanovaD
- 17C. De KetelaereF
- 23S. KolašinacD
- 40R. ObriÄD
- 49F. CassaM
- 57M. SportielloG
- 90N. KrstovićF
- 95P. VismaraG
- 99E. ElmasM
Sassuolo
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3J. DoigD
- 7C. VolpatoF
- 9K. BowieF
- 17Vasilije AdžićM
- 18N. MatićM
- 26C. OdenthalD
- 31T. MacchioniD
- 45A. LaurientéF
- 46S. CinquegranoD
- 49A. MurićG
- 50D. BakolaM
Substitutes
- 2F. MissoriD
- 8A. GhionM
- 16F. LeysenD
- 21J. IdzesD
- 25B. DomínguezF
- 30P. NuamahF
- 33Rafael ObradorD
- 35L. LipaniM
- 42K. ThorstvedtM
- 44E. IannoniM
- 77N. PieriniF
- 80S. TuratiG
Atalanta
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 82 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Carnesecchi | G | 93 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicola Zalewski | F | 60 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/4 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | F | 60 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gianluca Gaetano | M | 93 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | D | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Giorgio Scalvini | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Éderson(C) | M | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mario Pašalić | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Odilon Kossounou | D | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Bernasconi | D | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Federico Cassa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Relja Obrić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Sulemana | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paolo Vismara | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marten de Roon | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raoul Bellanova | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Sportiello | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Krstović | F | 33 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Charles De Ketelaere | F | 33 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Lazar Samardžić | M | 33 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Sead Kolašinac | D | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eljif Elmas | M | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sassuolo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cas Odenthal | D | 93 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Josh Doig | D | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Cristian Volpato | F | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1/4 |
| Darryl Bakola | M | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Nemanja Matić(C) | M | 74 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Armand Laurienté | F | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Simone Cinquegrano | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Arijanet Murić | G | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vasilije Adžić | M | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Kieron Bowie | F | 88 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| Tommaso Macchioni | D | 74 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Filippo Missori | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stefano Turati | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicholas Pierini | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jay Idzes | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrea Ghion | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick Amiamo Nuamah | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Obrador | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edoardo Iannoni | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Lipani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fedde Leysen | D | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristian Thorstvedt | M | 29 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Benjamín Domínguez | F | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |