Atalanta vs Pafos
Atalanta storm past Pafos with early blitz
Three first-half goals set Atalanta on course for a comfortable win.
Atalanta wasted no time asserting dominance, with E. Elmas opening the scoring in the first minute before G. Raspadori converted a penalty and G. Scamacca added a third just before half-time. Pafos managed a late consolation goal through Biel, but it was too little too late. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was on the money, though the margin was a bit more emphatic than expected.
Outcome probability
Atalanta, affectionately known as La Dea, face off against Pafos in a group stage encounter that promises a competitive edge. Both teams have shown glimpses of promise in this competition, setting the stage for a closely fought contest.
Match factors
Scamacca's superior scoring rate
G. Scamacca's 0.5 goals per game is well above league average for attackers (0.204), making him Atalanta's main scoring threat
Atalanta's positive scoring streak away
Atalanta scored in their last away game with Scamacca netting, showing attacking momentum on the road
De Ketelaere's creative passing potential
De Ketelaere's 81% passing accuracy and 16 passes per game suggest he can unlock defenses and assist key attackers
No confirmed injuries for Atalanta
Atalanta has no confirmed absences, allowing full strength selection and tactical consistency
The context
In this group stage, Atalanta have played two matches, securing one win and one draw without conceding a goal. Their recent playoff success away at Hapoel Tel Aviv (1-0) adds to their momentum. Pafos, meanwhile, have drawn both their matches, scoring and conceding three goals in total, including a 2-2 home draw against Dinamo Tirana in the playoffs. This sets up a clash between a side with a slight edge in results and one eager to break their deadlock.
Key insights
G. Scamacca
Atalanta
Scamacca's 0.5 goals per game is well above league average for attackers, making him Atalanta's main scoring threat.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 goal in 2 games, 82 mins played, 0.5 goals/game
- C
C. De Ketelaere
Atalanta
De Ketelaere's 81% passing accuracy and 16 passes per game suggest he can unlock defences and assist key attackers.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/2781% passing accuracy, 16 passes per game
Analysis
Atalanta's attacking threat is spearheaded by G. Scamacca, who boasts a scoring rate well above the league average with 0.5 goals per game in this competition. His recent away goal underlines his ability to perform on the road, making him a key player to watch. Creative spark comes from C. De Ketelaere, whose impressive passing accuracy and volume suggest he can unlock Pafos' defence. Defensively, Atalanta's Odilon Kossounou provides stability with his solid duel success and passing. Pafos will need to be wary of these threats while trying to capitalise on their own scoring opportunities.
Key facts
- 1.Atalanta have played 2 matches in this competition (W1 D1 L0, GF 1 / GA 0).
- 2.Pafos have played 2 matches in this competition (W0 D2 L0, GF 3 / GA 3).
- 3.Atalanta's G. Scamacca has scored 1 goal in 2 games, averaging 0.5 goals per game.
- 4.C. De Ketelaere has an 81% passing accuracy and averages 16 passes per game.
- 5.Atalanta's predicted total cards count is 4, indicating moderate discipline events expected.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for Atalanta with a 2-1 scoreline. While the confidence in this call is cautious due to limited data, the probability of Atalanta edging this match is higher than a draw or away win. Expect a moderately disciplined game with around four cards issued.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atalanta
Away — Pafos
No standout top scorers flagged for Pafos
The verdict
In summary, Atalanta's blend of attacking prowess and defensive solidity should see them narrowly overcome Pafos. G. Scamacca's goal-scoring form and De Ketelaere's creativity are likely to be decisive factors. Pafos will provide resistance, but La Dea's edge in recent results and player quality should prevail.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Elmas
Assist: Raspadori
Raspadori
Penalty
Raspadori
David Luiz
Scamacca
Assist: De Ketelaere
Bruno Felipe
Domingos Quina
Yellow Card
Pasalic
Zalewski
Pêpê Rodrigues
Lelê
Kristensen
Biel
Assist: Silva
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 8 |  Mjallby AIF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 9 |  Atalanta | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 22 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 23 |  Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 24 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
Match Statistics
Atalanta
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8Mario PasalicM
- 9G. ScamaccaF
- 18G. RaspadoriM
- 23S. KolašinacD
- 29M. CarnesecchiG
- 31T. KristensenD
- 47L. BernasconiD
- 59N. ZalewskiM
- 70G. GaetanoM
- 77D. ZappacostaD
- 99E. ElmasM
Substitutes
- 10L. SamardžićM
- 11J. RoweF
- 13ÉdersonM
- 17C. De KetelaereF
- 40R. ObriÄD
- 41J. IdeleM
- 51M. SonzogniG
- 57M. SportielloG
- 90N. KrstovićF
Pafos
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3S. MmaeeD
- 4David LuizD
- 7Bruno FelipeD
- 8Domingos QuinaF
- 14N. IoannouD
- 18LelêF
- 20BielF
- 26I. ŠunjićM
- 30V. DragomirM
- 88Pêpê RodriguesM
- 99R. MajeckiG
Substitutes
- 6GugaM
- 12K. SemaM
- 33Anderson SilvaF
- 42G. MichaelM
- 50Alexandre Miguel Soares Carvalho BritoM
- 61M. KaisD
- 71M. PapastylianouG
- 77João CorreiaD
- 82P. PetrouG
Atalanta
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giacomo Raspadori | M | 21 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Nicola Zalewski | M | 67 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Eljif Elmas | M | 82 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Sead Kolašinac | D | 82 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Marco Carnesecchi | G | 82 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gianluca Scamacca | F | 82 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/3 |
| Thomas Kristensen | D | 80 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mario Pašalić(C) | M | 67 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Gianluca Gaetano | M | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Lorenzo Bernasconi | D | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | D | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Relja Obrić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattia Sonzogni | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Sportiello | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Krstović | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Rowe | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javison Idele | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles De Ketelaere | F | 61 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 2/2 |
| Éderson | M | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lazar Samardžić | M | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Pafos
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radosław Majecki | G | 82 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Šunjić | M | 82 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Samy Mmaee | D | 82 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pêpê | M | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Biel | F | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Domingos Quina | F | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| David Luiz(C) | D | 37 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vlad Dragomir | M | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nikolas Ioannou | D | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Lelê | F | 69 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Bruno | D | 45 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Melinos Kais | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georgios Michael | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petros Petrou | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michalis Papastylianou | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ken Sema | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| João Correia | D | 37 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandre Brito | M | 37 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anderson Silva | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Guga | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Atalanta vs Pafos?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Atalanta to win against Pafos.
- What score did Fipster predict for Atalanta vs Pafos?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Atalanta 2–1 Pafos.
- What were the win probabilities for Atalanta vs Pafos?
- Fipster's model gave Atalanta a 35% chance of winning, Pafos a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.