Atalanta vs Frosinone
Atalanta and Frosinone share eight-goal thriller
A wild Serie A encounter sees both sides trade blows in a 4-4 draw.
Frosinone's R. Schmid set the tone with two early strikes, but Atalanta's N. Krstović and Éderson kept the hosts in the hunt with a penalty and two more goals. The seesaw battle continued after the break with goals from G. Calò, E. Elmas, and A. Terzić ensuring neither side could claim victory. This eight-goal spectacle defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a comfortable Atalanta win, delivering a thrilling stalemate instead.
Outcome probability
Atalanta and Frosinone face off in the Serie A regular season round 8, with both sides eager to climb the table. Atalanta, known as La Dea, aim to leverage their home advantage and recent form to overcome a strong Frosinone side.
Match factors
Kessié's absence weakens Atalanta's midfield attack
Franck Kessié is confirmed out with a calf injury, removing a key goal-scoring midfielder from Atalanta's lineup
Raimondo's prolific scoring form boosts Frosinone's attack
Antonio Raimondo leads Frosinone with 7 goals in 7 games, showing excellent finishing and consistency
Krstović's strong home scoring form favors Atalanta's attack
Nikola Krstović has scored 2 goals in 2 home games recently, making him a key threat in this home fixture
Schmid's creative form enhances Frosinone's chance to assist goals
Romano Schmid has 3 assists in 7 games, providing consistent creative output for Frosinone
The context
Atalanta currently sit 10th in the league with 9 points from 6 games, having won three and lost three. Frosinone are in a better position, placed 5th with 13 points from 7 games, boasting four wins, one draw, and two losses. This matchup pits a mid-table side against a team pushing for the top spots, promising an intriguing contest.
Key insights
Nikola Krstović
Atalanta
Krstović's strong home scoring form makes him a key threat in this fixture, with 2 goals in 2 home games this season.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 6 games, 2 goals in 2 home games
Antonio Raimondo
Frosinone
Raimondo's prolific scoring form boosts Frosinone's attack, leading with 7 goals in 7 games.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 7 games
- F
Franck Kessié
Atalanta
Kessié's absence due to a calf injury weakens Atalanta's midfield goal threat and balance.
Serie A 26/271 goal in 4 appearances before injury
Romano Schmid
Frosinone
Schmid's creative form enhances Frosinone's chance to assist goals, with 3 assists in 7 games.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 7 games
Analysis
Atalanta's attack is spearheaded by Nikola Krstović, who has netted 3 goals in 6 games and boasts a strong home scoring record with 2 goals in 2 home matches. However, they will miss Franck Kessié, a key midfielder currently out with a calf injury, which slightly weakens their midfield threat. Frosinone rely heavily on Antonio Raimondo, their top scorer with 7 goals in 7 games, and creative midfielder Romano Schmid, who has provided 3 assists this season. Despite Frosinone's attacking prowess, Atalanta's home form and Krstović's clinical finishing give them the edge.
Key facts
- 1.Atalanta are 10th in the league with 9 points from 6 games (W3 D0 L3).
- 2.Frosinone are 5th with 13 points from 7 games (W4 D1 L2).
- 3.Nikola Krstović has scored 3 goals in 6 games, including 2 in 2 home matches.
- 4.Antonio Raimondo leads Frosinone with 7 goals in 7 games.
- 5.Franck Kessié is out with a calf injury, weakening Atalanta's midfield.
- 6.Romano Schmid has provided 3 assists in 7 games for Frosinone.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Atalanta.
- 8.The match is expected to see around 4 cards shown.
Prediction
We predict Atalanta to take an early lead, going into halftime 1-0 up. They will maintain control and extend their advantage to secure a 3-1 victory by full time. The match is expected to be competitive, with around four cards shown, reflecting a spirited encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Atalanta
Away — Frosinone
The verdict
Atalanta's home strength and key attacking players should see them through against a determined Frosinone side. While Frosinone have impressive goal-scoring stats, Atalanta's ability to convert chances at home will be decisive in this Serie A fixture.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 17:57 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Schmid
Bracaglia
Yellow Card
Krstović
Assist: De Ketelaere
Schmid
Assist: Ghedjemis
Kvernadze
Yellow Card
Bellanova
Penalty confirmed
Éderson
Penalty
Bracaglia
Krstović
Assist: Zappacosta
Calò
Assist: Ghedjemis
Elmas
Assist: Krstović
Gaetano
Rowe
Kvernadze
Masini
Éderson
Yellow Card
Cittadini
Krstović
De Ketelaere
Terzić
Assist: Ghedjemis
Terzić
Yellow Card
Oyono
Raimondo
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Atalanta
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 11J. RoweM
- 13ÉdersonM
- 16R. BellanovaD
- 17C. De KetelaereM
- 29M. CarnesecchiG
- 31T. KristensenD
- 40R. ObriÄD
- 70G. GaetanoM
- 77D. ZappacostaD
- 90N. KrstovićF
- 99E. ElmasM
Substitutes
- 8Mario PasalicM
- 9G. ScamaccaF
- 10L. SamardžićM
- 41J. IdeleM
- 47L. BernasconiD
- 51M. SonzogniG
- 53M. PlaiaD
- 57M. SportielloG
- 59N. ZalewskiM
Frosinone
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2G. CittadiniD
- 3G. CalvaniD
- 7F. GhedjemisM
- 9A. RaimondoF
- 10R. SchmidM
- 14G. CalòM
- 17G. KvernadzeM
- 20A. OyonoD
- 22L. PalmisaniG
- 73P. MasiniM
- 79G. BracagliaD
Substitutes
- 5W. AmeyD
- 11D. BîrligeaF
- 12M. PisseriG
- 16Matteo CichellaM
- 24A. ZerbinF
- 25K. AkpogumaD
- 30I. MonterisiD
- 34A. El AzzouziM
- 40S. FiniF
- 70L. HasaM
- 71A. TerzićD
- 74Omar FayedD
- 89T. BobčekF
- 90E. TchatoD
- 91S. DesplanchesG
Atalanta
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Krstović | F | 77 | 9.4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| E. Elmas | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0/1 |
| C. De Ketelaere | M | 77 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2/3 |
| G. Scamacca | F | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Gaetano | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| D. Zappacosta | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| M. Carnesecchi | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Rowe | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Éderson | M | 90 | 6.1 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| R. ObriÄ | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Kristensen | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Bellanova | D | 29 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Mario Pasalic | M | 28 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Bernasconi | D | 61 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Samardžić | M | 13 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Zalewski | M | 28 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| M. Sportiello | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Idele | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Sonzogni | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Plaia | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frosinone
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ghedjemis | M | 90 | 9.1 | — | 3 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 2/4 |
| R. Schmid | M | 90 | 8.7 | 2 | — | 5 | 3 | 3 | — |
| G. Calò | M | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Terzić | D | 44 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Zerbin | F | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Raimondo | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| L. Palmisani | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Calvani | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| P. Masini | M | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| G. Kvernadze | M | 65 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Oyono | D | 89 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Matteo Cichella | M | 25 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| E. Tchato | D | 1 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Monterisi | D | 15 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Cittadini | D | 75 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| G. Bracaglia | D | 46 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Desplanches | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Hasa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Fini | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omar Fayed | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pisseri | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Bobček | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bîrligea | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Akpoguma | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. El Azzouzi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Amey | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Atalanta vs Frosinone?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Atalanta to win against Frosinone.
- What score did Fipster predict for Atalanta vs Frosinone?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Atalanta 3–1 Frosinone.
- What were the win probabilities for Atalanta vs Frosinone?
- Fipster's model gave Atalanta a 95% chance of winning, Frosinone a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.