Atalanta vs Bologna
Atalanta snatch victory in stoppage time
L. Samardžić's last-gasp strike seals a narrow win for Atalanta.
Atalanta secured a slender 1-0 victory over Bologna thanks to L. Samardžić's dramatic goal deep into stoppage time at 90+6'. The match was tightly contested with no goals until the very end, making the winner all the more precious. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a home win at 1-0 proved spot on, landing exactly as forecast.
Outcome probability
The new Serie A season kicks off with Atalanta facing Bologna in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a tactical battle as they seek to start the campaign on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Atalanta have signed T. Kristensen on loan and G. Gaetano on a permanent transfer this summer.
- 2.Bologna have lost R. Freuler (free agent) and F. Ravaglia (transfer) ahead of the new season.
- 3.This is the first competitive fixture of the 2026-27 Serie A season for both teams.
- 4.Atalanta are predicted to win 1-0, with the goal likely coming in the first half.
- 5.The match is expected to feature around four cards, indicating a physical contest.
- 6.Atalanta are ranked 7th with a +15 goal difference last season, just above Bologna in 8th with +3.
The context
Atalanta have strengthened their ranks with the loan signing of T. Kristensen and the permanent arrival of G. Gaetano, while parting ways with B. Djimsiti. Bologna, on the other hand, have seen the departures of R. Freuler and F. Ravaglia, which could impact their depth. This fixture marks the first competitive match for both sides this season, with neither having any current-season form to draw upon.
Analysis
The probabilities strongly favour an Atalanta victory, with a 1-0 scoreline being the most likely outcome. The home side's additions should bolster their squad depth and attacking options, while Bologna's losses may leave them slightly vulnerable. The predicted four cards suggest a competitive and physical match, but one where Atalanta's tactical discipline could make the difference.
Prediction
Expect Atalanta to edge this one 1-0, with the decisive goal coming in the first half and the visitors struggling to find a way back. The match should be tight, with both teams cautious, but ultimately La Dea's summer business and home advantage should see them through.
The verdict
This season opener sets the tone for both teams, with Atalanta looking to build on their summer reinforcements and Bologna aiming to adapt after key departures. A narrow win for Atalanta seems the most plausible outcome as the Serie A campaign gets underway.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
De Ketelaere
Raspadori
Odgaard
Piccoli
Yellow Card
Éderson
Scamacca
Pobega
Holm
Krstović
Yellow Card
Kolašinac
Orsolini
Samardžić
Assist: Zalewski
Match Statistics
Atalanta
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3O. KossounouD
- 8Mario PasalicM
- 9G. ScamaccaF
- 13ÉdersonM
- 17C. De KetelaereF
- 18G. RaspadoriF
- 23S. KolašinacD
- 29M. CarnesecchiG
- 42G. ScalviniD
- 70G. GaetanoM
- 77D. ZappacostaD
Substitutes
- 6I. SulemanaM
- 10L. SamardžićM
- 16R. BellanovaD
- 40R. ObriÄD
- 47L. BernasconiD
- 49F. CassaM
- 57M. SportielloG
- 59N. ZalewskiM
- 90N. KrstovićF
- 95P. VismaraG
- 99E. ElmasM
Bologna
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Ł. SkorupskiG
- 2E. HolmD
- 4T. PobegaM
- 5E. HellandD
- 10F. BernardeschiM
- 14T. HeggemD
- 19L. FergusonM
- 21J. OdgaardM
- 23R. AlhassaneD
- 28N. CambiaghiM
- 91R. PiccoliF
Substitutes
- 3A. TheateD
- 6N. MoroM
- 7R. OrsoliniF
- 8M. AmondarainM
- 9A. DovbykF
- 16N. CasaleD
- 20N. ZorteaD
- 25M. PessinaG
- 29L. De SilvestriD
- 33Juan MirandaD
- 41M. VitíkD
- 72U. HapponenG
Atalanta
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Carnesecchi | G | 98 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Odilon Kossounou | D | 98 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgio Scalvini | D | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | D | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Charles De Ketelaere | F | 55 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Gianluca Gaetano | M | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mario Pašalić | M | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Sead Kolašinac | D | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Éderson(C) | M | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 56 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Gianluca Scamacca | F | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ibrahim Sulemana | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paolo Vismara | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Relja Obrić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Bernasconi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Sportiello | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Cassa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lazar Samardžić | M | 30 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Raoul Bellanova | D | 20 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicola Zalewski | M | 43 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Eljif Elmas | M | 42 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Nikola Krstović | F | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Bologna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torbjørn Heggem | D | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Lewis Ferguson(C) | M | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Emil Holm | D | 72 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Eivind Helland | D | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jens Odgaard | M | 60 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Federico Bernardeschi | M | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Tommaso Pobega | M | 72 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Abdel Rahim | D | 98 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/2 |
| Roberto Piccoli | F | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi | M | 98 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Łukasz Skorupski | G | 98 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ukko Happonen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Vitík | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Theate | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Casale | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Massimo Pessina | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo De Silvestri | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Miranda | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Moro | M | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Amondarain | M | 26 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Orsolini | F | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artem Dovbyk | F | 38 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Nadir Zortea | D | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |