AS Roma vs Lazio
Match recap
AS Roma beat Lazio 2–0 in their Serie A fixture. Mancini and Mancini scored for AS Roma. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.20 for AS Roma versus 0.71 for Lazio. AS Roma sit 3rd in the Serie A table while Lazio are 9th.
Analysis
The Rome derby is set to light up the Serie A calendar as AS Roma host Lazio. With both sides eager to claim bragging rights, this match promises tactical intrigue and a tight scoreline.
AS Roma sit 5th in the league with 67 points, while Lazio are 8th with 51 points after 36 games. Historically, their head-to-head record is finely balanced, with Roma holding a slight edge of 8 wins to Lazio's 7 in 20 encounters.
Roma's superior goal difference (+24 vs +2) and recent home scoring streak give them the upper hand. Key attacker D. Malen's prolific form, combined with Bryan Cristante's creative assists, boosts Roma's attacking threat. Lazio's defensive stalwart Adam Marušić offers resistance, but Roma's momentum and tactical edge look decisive.
Prediction
Expect a closely fought match with Roma clinching a 1-0 victory by halftime and fulltime. The game is likely to be competitive, with around four cards issued, reflecting the derby's intensity but disciplined play.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Malen's Scoring Form vs Lazio Defense
Malen's high recent scoring rate and home form give Roma a key attacking edge against Lazio's defense.
Cristante's Playmaking Boost
Cristante's high passing accuracy and assist rate enhance Roma's chance creation, crucial for breaking Lazio's defense.
Key Injuries Limit Roma's Options
Absence of Soulé and Pellegrini reduces Roma's attacking creativity and midfield control, possibly limiting goal opportunities.
Roma's Positive Scoring Streak at Home
Roma has scored in last 5 home games, indicating strong offensive momentum heading into this match.
Lazio's Defensive Stability with Marušić
Marušić's defensive consistency and passing help Lazio maintain structure, potentially frustrating Roma's attack.
Key Takeaways
In a derby where every goal counts, Roma's home advantage and key player performances should see them narrowly overcome Lazio. Fans can anticipate a tense but rewarding encounter with Roma edging it by the smallest of margins.
- AS Roma have won 8 of the last 20 derbies against Lazio, who have 7 wins and 5 draws.
- Roma hold a +24 goal difference this season compared to Lazio's +2.
- After 36 games, Roma are 5th with 67 points; Lazio are 8th with 51 points.
- Roma have scored in their last 5 home matches, showing strong offensive form.
- The predicted total cards for the match is 4, indicating a competitive but controlled game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — AS Roma
Away — Lazio
No standout top scorers flagged for Lazio
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Taylor
Yellow Card
Ndicka
Mancini
Assist: Pisilli
Hermoso
Yellow Card
Cancellieri
Yellow Card
Pisilli
Dia
Taylor
Nuno Tavares
Yellow Card
Mancini
Assist: Dybala
Wesley
Red Card
Rovella
Red Card
Cancellieri
Marušić
Noslin
Mancini
Malen
El Shaarawy
Yellow Card
Dybala
Match Statistics
AS Roma
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4B. CristanteM
- 5E. NdickaD
- 8N. El AynaouiM
- 14D. MalenF
- 19Z. ÇelikM
- 21P. DybalaF
- 22HermosoD
- 23G. ManciniD
- 43WesleyM
- 61N. PisilliF
- 99M. SvilarG
Substitutes
- 2D. RenschD
- 3AngeliñoD
- 9A. DovbykF
- 12K. TsimikasD
- 18M. SouléF
- 24J. ZiółkowskiD
- 70G. De MarziG
- 78R. VazF
- 87D. GhilardiD
- 92S. El ShaarawyF
- 95P. GolliniG
Lazio
4-3-3Starting XI
- 6N. RovellaM
- 14T. NoslinF
- 17Nuno TavaresD
- 19B. DiaF
- 22M. CancellieriF
- 24K. TaylorM
- 25O. ProvstgaardD
- 26T. BašićM
- 34Mario GilaD
- 55A. FurlanettoG
- 77A. MarušićD
Substitutes
- 2S. GigotD
- 3L. PellegriniD
- 7F. Dele-BashiruM
- 9PedroF
- 18G. IsaksenF
- 20P. RatkovF
- 21R. BelahyaneM
- 23E. HysajD
- 27D. MaldiniF
- 28A. PrzyborekM
- 29M. LazzariM
- 32D. CataldiM
- 72Nicolo PannozzoG
- 99Giacomo GiacomoneG
AS Roma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluca Mancini | D | 83 | 9.5 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Paulo Dybala | F | 88 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3/4 |
| Neil El Aynaoui | M | 96 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Bryan Cristante(C) | M | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Evan Ndicka | D | 37 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mile Svilar | G | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niccolò Pisilli | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Mario Hermoso | D | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Donyell Malen | F | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Zeki Çelik | M | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Wesley | M | 70 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Giorgio De Marzi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robinio Vaz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Ghilardi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Angeliño | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pierluigi Gollini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kostas Tsimikas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Soulé | F | 13 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Jan Ziółkowski | D | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Devyne Rensch | D | 59 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artem Dovbyk | F | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | F | 51 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
Lazio
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toma Bašić | M | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Alessio Furlanetto | G | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boulaye Dia | F | 62 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Mario Gila | D | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Oliver Provstgaard | D | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Rovella | M | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Cancellieri | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| Nuno Tavares | D | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/4 |
| Tijjani Noslin | F | 79 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Kenneth Taylor | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Marušić(C) | D | 79 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Adrian Przyborek | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petar Ratkov | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reda Belahyane | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Danilo Cataldi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Pellegrini | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolo Pannozzo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Giacomone | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Gigot | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elseid Hysaj | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Lazzari | M | 17 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Maldini | F | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Fisayo Dele-Bashiru | M | 34 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro | F | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustav Isaksen | F | 25 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |