AS Roma vs Inter
Inter claw back to deny Roma victory
Lautaro Martínez's brace rescues a draw after Koné's early double for Roma.
AS Roma looked set for a comfortable win as M. Koné struck twice in the first half, putting the home side 2-0 up. However, Inter responded immediately after the break with Lautaro Martínez pulling one back and then leveling the score in the second half to secure a 2-2 draw. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Roma win by a clear margin, turning what looked like a straightforward home victory into a shared spoils affair.
Outcome probability
The new Serie A season kicks off with a tantalising clash between AS Roma and Inter. Both sides have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an intriguing opener. Roma, known as I Giallorossi, have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of M. de Roon, K. Koulierakis, and S. Castro, while Inter, the Nerazzurri, have strengthened with A. Stanković, I. Provedel, and C. Jones. This match promises to be a tactical battle as both teams look to stamp their authority early in the campaign.
Key facts
- 1.AS Roma have signed M. de Roon, K. Koulierakis, and S. Castro this summer.
- 2.Inter have added A. Stanković, I. Provedel, and C. Jones to their squad.
- 3.Roma lost A. Dovbyk and Z. Çelik, while Inter parted ways with Y. Sommer and D. Dumfries.
- 4.Inter finished last season with a better goal difference than Roma.
- 5.Prediction models favour a Roma win with a 4-1 scoreline.
- 6.Halftime score predicted at 2-0 in favour of Roma.
- 7.Three cards are expected during the match, indicating a competitive game.
The context
This fixture marks the fifth round of the regular Serie A season, but as the first competitive match of the new campaign, it carries the excitement of fresh ambitions and new team dynamics. Roma and Inter finished last season in strong positions, with Inter topping the league and Roma close behind. The summer transfer window has seen both sides make key additions and departures, shaping their squads for the challenges ahead.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — AS Roma
Away — Inter
Analysis
Roma's summer business suggests a team keen to reinforce their midfield and defensive options, with the free-agent signing of M. de Roon and transfers for K. Koulierakis and S. Castro. Meanwhile, Inter have added depth with the arrivals of Stanković, Provedel, and Jones, offsetting the departures of Sommer and Dumfries. Despite Inter's superior goal difference last season, the prediction models strongly favour a Roma win, with a likely halftime lead of 2-0 and a fulltime scoreline of 4-1. The expected three cards indicate a competitive but controlled encounter.
Prediction
The forecast is for a confident Roma victory, with the Giallorossi taking control early and maintaining their advantage throughout. A 2-0 lead at halftime sets the tone, with Roma extending their dominance to finish 4-1. Inter will find it tough to keep pace, despite their quality additions, as Roma's cohesion and attacking prowess shine through.
The verdict
As the season opener unfolds, all eyes will be on Roma to see if they can deliver on this promising prediction. Their summer reinforcements and tactical setup suggest they are ready to make a statement against Inter. Fans can expect an entertaining match with plenty of goals and spirited competition.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Koné
Assist: Molina
Barella
Yellow Card
Koné
Assist: Mancini
Akanji
Yellow Card
Lautaro Martínez
Assist: Thuram
Dimarco
Jones
Bastoni
Yellow Card
Mancini
Molina
Koné
Bastoni
Balerdi
Ndicka
Yellow Card
Lautaro Martínez
Assist: Bisseck
Hermoso
Koulierakis
Yellow Card
Ghilardi
Yellow Card
Thuram
Lautaro Martínez
Match Statistics
AS Roma
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4B. CristanteM
- 14D. MalenF
- 17M. KonéM
- 18M. SouléF
- 20N. MolinaM
- 21P. DybalaF
- 22HermosoD
- 23G. ManciniD
- 26L. BalerdiD
- 43WesleyM
- 99M. SvilarG
Substitutes
- 2D. RenschD
- 3K. KoulierakisD
- 5E. NdickaD
- 7L. PellegriniM
- 9S. CastroF
- 15M. de RoonM
- 61N. PisilliM
- 70G. De MarziG
- 77E. LulliD
- 86Rodrigo MoraM
- 87D. GhilardiD
- 95P. GolliniG
Inter
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 1Josep MartínezG
- 7P. ZielińskiM
- 9M. ThuramF
- 10Lautaro MartínezF
- 17A. DioufM
- 21C. JonesM
- 23N. BarellaM
- 25M. AkanjiD
- 31Y. BisseckD
- 32F. DimarcoM
- 95A. BastoniD
Substitutes
- 5A. StankovićM
- 8P. SučićM
- 11Luis HenriqueF
- 12R. Di GennaroG
- 14A. BonnyF
- 22H. MkhitaryanM
- 28B. PavardD
- 30Carlos AugustoD
- 46L. BovioD
- 48M. MosconiF
- 49I. ProvedelG
- 94F. EspositoF
AS Roma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu Koné | M | 60 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Mile Svilar | G | 89 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Dybala | F | 89 | 7.6 | — | — | 3 | — | 6 | 1/3 |
| Matías Soulé | F | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| Wesley | M | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Donyell Malen | F | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2/2 |
| Nahuel Molina | M | 60 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Mario Hermoso | D | 81 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Bryan Cristante(C) | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Balerdi | D | 66 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gianluca Mancini | D | 60 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rodrigo Mora | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Castro | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emanuele Lulli | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgio De Marzi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pierluigi Gollini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marten de Roon | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Evan Ndicka | D | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Devyne Rensch | D | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niccolò Pisilli | M | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Konstantinos Koulierakis | D | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Ghilardi | D | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Inter
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lautaro Martínez(C) | F | 89 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Yann Bisseck | D | 89 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Marcus Thuram | F | 89 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Nicolò Barella | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Manuel Akanji | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Andy Diouf | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/3 |
| Piotr Zieliński | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Federico Dimarco | M | 54 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Curtis Jones | M | 54 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Alessandro Bastoni | D | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Josep Martínez | G | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Leonardo Bovio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mattia Mosconi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pio Esposito | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aleksandar Stanković | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ange-Yoan Bonny | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raffaele Di Gennaro | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Provedel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Pavard | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Henrikh Mkhitaryan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petar Sučić | M | 35 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Carlos Augusto | D | 35 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Luís Henrique | F | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win AS Roma vs Inter?
- Fipster's AI model predicted AS Roma to win against Inter.
- What score did Fipster predict for AS Roma vs Inter?
- Fipster predicted a final score of AS Roma 4–1 Inter.
- What were the win probabilities for AS Roma vs Inter?
- Fipster's model gave AS Roma a 95% chance of winning, Inter a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.