AS Roma vs Fiorentina
Match recap
AS Roma beat Fiorentina 4–0 in their Serie A fixture. Mancini, Wesley, Hermoso, and Pisilli scored for AS Roma. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.14 for AS Roma versus 0.16 for Fiorentina. AS Roma sit 3rd in the Serie A table while Fiorentina are 15th.
Analysis
AS Roma host Fiorentina in what promises to be a closely contested Serie A fixture. With both teams eager to secure vital points, the match is set for a tactical battle with Roma holding a slight edge.
Roma have historically dominated this fixture, winning half of their last 20 encounters against Fiorentina. This season, Roma boast a superior goal difference and points per game, reinforcing their status as favourites at home.
Roma's attacking threat is spearheaded by D. Malen, who boasts an impressive 11 goals in 14 games and a perfect home scoring record recently. Despite injuries to key creative players like Pellegrini and Soulé, Roma's defence, anchored by Cristante, remains solid. Fiorentina will need to break down a resilient Roma side that is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Prediction
The forecast is a narrow 1-0 win for AS Roma, with the halftime score also predicted at 1-0. The match is expected to be disciplined with around four cards shown. Confidence in this outcome stands at 38%, reflecting a competitive but controlled game.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Malen's Scoring Threat at Home
Malen's strong home scoring form (1 goal/game last 3 home matches) gives Roma a key attacking edge.
Key Injuries Weaken Roma Attack
Injuries to Soulé and Pellegrini reduce creative and scoring options, limiting attacking depth.
Rensch's Assist Form Boosts Attack
Rensch's recent 3 assists in 5 games and good passing accuracy enhance Roma's chance creation.
Cristante's Defensive Consistency
Cristante's high tackle and interception numbers provide midfield stability and defensive cover.
Defensive Absences Could Hurt Roma
Injuries to Mancini and Wesley may weaken defensive solidity, increasing vulnerability.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Roma's home advantage and key player form should see them edge out Fiorentina in a tight encounter. Expect a single goal to separate the sides, with Roma holding firm at the back to secure all three points.
- AS Roma have won 10 of their last 20 matches against Fiorentina.
- Roma hold a +19 goal difference this season compared to Fiorentina's -7.
- Roma average 1.79 points per game, significantly higher than Fiorentina's 1.09.
- D. Malen has scored 11 goals in 14 games, with a strong home scoring record.
- Roma's D. Rensch has provided 4 assists in 21 games, boosting their attack.
- Cristante leads Roma in tackles (63) and interceptions (27), providing midfield stability.
- Injuries to Pellegrini and Soulé may limit Roma's creative options but their defence remains solid.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — AS Roma
Away — Fiorentina
No standout top scorers flagged for Fiorentina
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mancini
Assist: Pisilli
Wesley
Assist: Hermoso
Pongračić
Yellow Card
Hermoso
Assist: Koné
Pongračić
Harrison
Guðmundsson
Hermoso
Yellow Card
Pisilli
Assist: Malen
Koné
Parisi
Yellow Card
Mancini
Soulé
Brescianini
Fagioli
Hermoso
Malen
El Shaarawy
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
AS Roma
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4B. CristanteF
- 5E. NdickaD
- 14D. MalenF
- 17M. KonéM
- 18M. SouléF
- 19Z. ÇelikM
- 22HermosoD
- 23G. ManciniD
- 43WesleyM
- 61N. PisilliM
- 99M. SvilarG
Substitutes
- 2D. RenschD
- 3AngeliñoD
- 12K. TsimikasD
- 20L. VenturinoF
- 21P. DybalaF
- 24J. ZiółkowskiD
- 70G. De MarziG
- 78R. VazF
- 87D. GhilardiD
- 92S. El ShaarawyF
- 95P. GolliniG
Fiorentina
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2DodôD
- 4M. BrescianiniM
- 5M. PongračićD
- 6L. RanieriD
- 10A. GuðmundssonF
- 17J. HarrisonF
- 19M. SolomonF
- 21R. GosensD
- 27C. NdourM
- 43David de GeaG
- 44N. FagioliM
Substitutes
- 1L. LezzeriniG
- 3D. RuganiD
- 8R. MandragoraM
- 15P. ComuzzoD
- 22J. FazziniM
- 53O. ChristensenG
- 60E. KouadioD
- 61R. BraschiF
- 65F. ParisiD
- 80G. FabbianM
AS Roma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niccolò Pisilli | M | 90 | 8.6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Wesley | M | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Manu Koné | M | 64 | 8.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Donyell Malen | F | 83 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mario Hermoso | D | 83 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Gianluca Mancini(C) | D | 72 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Evan Ndicka | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Matías Soulé | F | 72 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Mile Svilar | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zeki Çelik | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Bryan Cristante | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Pierluigi Gollini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kostas Tsimikas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgio De Marzi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Venturino | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Devyne Rensch | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Angeliño | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | F | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Jan Ziółkowski | D | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Ghilardi | D | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Dybala | F | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Robinio Vaz | F | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Fiorentina
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cher Ndour | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Albert Guðmundsson | F | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Harrison | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Robin Gosens | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manor Solomon | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Nicolò Fagioli | M | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Marco Brescianini | M | 75 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| David De Gea(C) | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marin Pongračić | D | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Ranieri | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dodô | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Eddy Kouadio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Lezzerini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rolando Mandragora | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Christensen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Rugani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacopo Fazzini | M | 15 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Braschi | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Pietro Comuzzo | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabiano Parisi | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Fabbian | M | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |