AS Roma vs Fiorentina
Roma steamroll Fiorentina with Malen hat-trick
Dominant display at home sees Roma run out comfortable 4-0 winners.
AS Roma delivered a commanding performance against Fiorentina, powered by D. Malen's first-half and early second-half hat-trick. N. Pisilli added a late fourth to seal the emphatic victory. While Fipster predicted a Roma win with high confidence, the actual scoreline far exceeded expectations, turning a narrow forecast into a comprehensive triumph.
Analysis
The new Serie A season kicks off with AS Roma facing Fiorentina in what promises to be a tightly contested affair. Both teams are eager to set the tone early, with Roma looking to leverage their superior league position and goal difference.
AS Roma finished last season ranked 3rd, boasting a healthy goal difference and points tally, while Fiorentina ended 15th, reflecting a tougher campaign. Fiorentina have added C. Inao Oulaï to their squad, aiming to bolster their options for the new season.
Roma's higher league finish and positive goal difference suggest a team well-prepared to start strongly. Fiorentina's signing of C. Inao Oulaï adds some intrigue, but the statistical edge lies with Roma, who have consistently outperformed their opponents in both attack and defence.
Prediction
The forecast is a 1-0 victory for AS Roma, with a halftime lead maintained through to full time. The match is expected to be competitive, with a modest number of three cards predicted, reflecting a disciplined but intense encounter.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
Expect a cautious start to the season with AS Roma narrowly overcoming Fiorentina. The Giallorossi's quality and league standing give them the edge, but La Viola will be keen to prove their mettle and challenge for points early on.
- AS Roma finished last season ranked 3rd in Serie A.
- Fiorentina ended last season in 15th place.
- AS Roma have a +28 goal difference compared to Fiorentina's -9.
- Fiorentina signed C. Inao Oulaï ahead of the new season.
- AS Roma averaged 1.92 points per game last season, Fiorentina 1.11.
- Predicted final score is 1-0 in favour of AS Roma.
- Three cards are expected during the match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — AS Roma
Away — Fiorentina
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Malen
Assist: Dybala
Fagioli
Yellow Card
Hermoso
Yellow Card
Koné
Yellow Card
Malen
Assist: Dybala
Mora
Malen
Assist: Dybala
Fagioli
Brescianini
Mastantuono
Pellegrino
Yellow Card
Hermoso
Malen
Atta
Dybala
Koné
João Mário
Pisilli
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |  Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 16 |  Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |  Fiorentina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |  Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Match Statistics
AS Roma
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4B. CristanteM
- 5E. NdickaD
- 14D. MalenF
- 17M. KonéM
- 21P. DybalaF
- 22HermosoD
- 23G. ManciniD
- 43WesleyM
- 77E. LulliM
- 86Rodrigo MoraF
- 99M. SvilarG
Substitutes
- 3K. KoulierakisD
- 8N. El AynaouiM
- 9S. CastroF
- 18M. SouléF
- 20N. MolinaD
- 24J. ZiółkowskiD
- 61N. PisilliM
- 70G. De MarziG
- 78R. VazF
- 87D. GhilardiD
- 95P. GolliniG
Fiorentina
4-3-2-1Starting XI
- 2DodôD
- 3R. DrăgușinD
- 4M. BrescianiniM
- 6L. RanieriD
- 14A. AttaM
- 17João MárioD
- 27C. NdourM
- 30Franco MastantuonoM
- 32Mateo PellegrinoF
- 43David de GeaG
- 44N. FagioliM
Substitutes
- 5M. PongračićD
- 8R. MandragoraM
- 9M. KeanF
- 11A. GuðmundssonF
- 19L. LezzeriniG
- 20Álex JiménezD
- 21ValdeD
- 33VieryD
- 42C. Inao OulaïM
- 53O. ChristensenG
- 71E. KošpoD
- 80G. FabbianM
AS Roma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donyell Malen | F | 68 | 10.0 | 3 | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3/4 |
| Paulo Dybala | F | 79 | 9.3 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0/3 |
| Bryan Cristante(C) | M | 88 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Evan Ndicka | D | 88 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Manu Koné | M | 79 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Wesley | M | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Gianluca Mancini | D | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Mario Hermoso | D | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mile Svilar | G | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emanuele Lulli | M | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mora | F | 54 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Giorgio De Marzi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Ghilardi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Ziółkowski | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robinio Vaz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nahuel Molina | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pierluigi Gollini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niccolò Pisilli | M | 9 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matías Soulé | F | 34 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Neil El Aynaoui | M | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Konstantinos Koulierakis | D | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Castro | F | 20 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Fiorentina
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Atta | M | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Franco Mastantuono | M | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/6 |
| João Mário | D | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Radu Drăguşin | D | 88 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Brescianini | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Cher Ndour | M | 88 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Nicolò Fagioli | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 88 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Dodô | D | 88 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Luca Ranieri | D | 88 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David De Gea(C) | G | 88 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Albert Guðmundsson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marin Pongračić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eman Košpo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viery | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Fabbian | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Lezzerini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Christensen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christ Inao Oulaï | M | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Moise Kean | F | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Víctor Valdepeñas | D | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Jiménez | D | 26 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Rolando Mandragora | M | 14 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
- Fipster's AI model predicted AS Roma to win against Fiorentina.
- What score did Fipster predict for AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
- Fipster predicted a final score of AS Roma 1–0 Fiorentina.
- What were the win probabilities for AS Roma vs Fiorentina?
- Fipster's model gave AS Roma a 86% chance of winning, Fiorentina a 7% chance, and a 7% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 86% confidence — a high-confidence call.