AS Roma vs Atalanta
Match recap
AS Roma and Atalanta drew 1–1 in their Serie A fixture. Hermoso scored for AS Roma; Krstović replied for Atalanta. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.07 for AS Roma versus 0.68 for Atalanta. AS Roma sit 3rd in the Serie A table while Atalanta are 7th.
Analysis
AS Roma host Atalanta in what promises to be a closely contested Serie A clash. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and the prediction points towards a balanced game with goals at both ends.
AS Roma currently sit 6th with 58 points, while Atalanta are just behind in 7th with 54 points. Historically, Atalanta have had the upper hand in head-to-heads, winning 11 of 20 meetings compared to Roma's 3 wins. The match is set at Roma's home ground, where striker D. Malen has been in fine form.
Roma's attacking threat is spearheaded by D. Malen, who boasts 10 goals in 13 games and excellent home scoring form. Midfielder D. Rensch's recent assist streak adds to Roma's offensive potential. Atalanta's N. Krstović is a proven away goal scorer, posing a real threat. However, injuries to key players like G. Scamacca and C. De Ketelaere for Atalanta, and M. Soulé for Roma, limit attacking options. The midfield battle will be crucial, with B. Cristante providing Roma with both creativity and defensive stability.
Prediction
The forecast is a 1-1 draw, with both teams likely to find the net once. The halftime score is also expected to be 1-1, indicating an open and competitive first half. Discipline should be moderate, with around three cards expected in total. Confidence in this outcome stands at 35%, reflecting the evenly matched nature of the contest.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
AS Roma's attacking trio in form
Malen's scoring and Rensch's assists create a strong attacking threat at home.
Key absences weaken AS Roma's midfield and attack
Injuries to Soulé, Pellegrini, and Wesley reduce creative options and depth.
Atalanta's Krstović effective away
Krstović's good away scoring form poses a threat to Roma's defense.
Cristante's playmaking and defensive balance
Cristante's passing and tackling provide Roma control in midfield against Atalanta.
Atalanta missing key attackers
Scamacca and De Ketelaere injuries limit Atalanta's offensive creativity and finishing.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a well-fought match with neither side able to claim all three points. Both teams have attacking weapons and defensive vulnerabilities, making a draw the most probable result. Fans should prepare for a competitive game with moments of quality from key players like Malen and Krstović.
- AS Roma are 6th in Serie A with 58 points from 33 games (W18 D4 L11).
- Atalanta are 7th with 54 points from 33 games (W14 D12 L7).
- In 20 head-to-head matches, Atalanta lead with 11 wins to Roma's 3, with 6 draws.
- D. Malen is Roma's top scorer with 10 goals in 13 appearances, averaging 1 goal per 90 minutes at home.
- N. Krstović leads Atalanta with 10 goals, showing strong away form with 0.6 goals per 90 in last 5 away games.
- The predicted total number of cards is 3, indicating moderate discipline expected.
- Halftime and fulltime scores are both predicted as 1-1, suggesting an open game from the start.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — AS Roma
Away — Atalanta
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Krstović
Assist: de Roon
Hermoso
Assist: Rensch
Scalvini
De Ketelaere
Kolašinac
Bellanova
El Shaarawy
Mancini
Mancini
El Aynaoui
El Aynaoui
Éderson
Yellow Card
Soulé
Pisilli
Yellow Card
Rensch
Éderson
Djimsiti
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
AS Roma
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2D. RenschM
- 4B. CristanteM
- 5E. NdickaD
- 8N. El AynaouiM
- 14D. MalenF
- 18M. SouléF
- 19Z. ÇelikM
- 22HermosoD
- 23G. ManciniD
- 92S. El ShaarawyF
- 99M. SvilarG
Substitutes
- 3AngeliñoD
- 12K. TsimikasD
- 20L. VenturinoF
- 24J. ZiółkowskiD
- 61N. PisilliM
- 70G. De MarziG
- 78R. VazF
- 87D. GhilardiD
- 95P. GolliniG
- 97Bryan ZaragozaF
Atalanta
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 13ÉdersonM
- 15M. de RoonM
- 16R. BellanovaM
- 17C. De KetelaereF
- 18G. RaspadoriF
- 19B. DjimsitiD
- 23S. KolašinacD
- 29M. CarnesecchiG
- 42G. ScalviniD
- 77D. ZappacostaM
- 90N. KrstovićF
Substitutes
- 3O. KossounouD
- 5M. BakkerD
- 6Y. MusahM
- 8Mario PasalicM
- 9G. ScamaccaF
- 10L. SamardžićM
- 40R. ObriÄD
- 47L. BernasconiD
- 50P. PardelG
- 57M. SportielloG
- 59N. ZalewskiM
- 69H. AhanorD
AS Roma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Hermoso | D | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Stephan El Shaarawy | F | 60 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/5 |
| Zeki Çelik | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Matías Soulé | F | 71 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0/3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | D | 60 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Bryan Cristante(C) | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Evan Ndicka | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Devyne Rensch | M | 78 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Mile Svilar | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Donyell Malen | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Neil El Aynaoui | M | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Giorgio De Marzi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pierluigi Gollini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Angeliño | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Zaragoza | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Ziółkowski | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robinio Vaz | F | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niccolò Pisilli | M | 30 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Konstantinos Tsimikas | D | 12 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lorenzo Venturino | F | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Daniele Ghilardi | D | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atalanta
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Carnesecchi | G | 90 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marten de Roon(C) | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Éderson | M | 80 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Berat Djimsiti | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Nikola Krstović | F | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Davide Zappacosta | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Raoul Bellanova | M | 54 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Charles De Ketelaere | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgio Scalvini | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sead Kolasinac | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mitchel Bakker | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Piotr Pardel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Relja Obrić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yunus Musah | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Sportiello | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gianluca Scamacca | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lazar Samardžić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicola Zalewski | M | 45 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Lorenzo Bernasconi | D | 36 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Odilon Kossounou | D | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Pašalić | M | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Honest Ahanor | D | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |