Arsenal vs Fulham
Match recap
Arsenal beat Fulham 3–0 in their Premier League fixture. Gyökeres, Saka, and Gyökeres scored for Arsenal. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.97 for Arsenal versus 0.43 for Fulham. Arsenal sit 1st in the Premier League table while Fulham are 11th.
Analysis
As the Premier League season nears its climax, Arsenal welcome Fulham to the Emirates in a match where the Gunners are expected to continue their dominant home form.
Arsenal currently top the league with 73 points, showcasing a potent attack and solid defence. Fulham sit mid-table in 10th place, struggling with injuries to key attackers and a less impressive goal difference.
Arsenal's historical dominance over Fulham, combined with their superior goal difference (+38 vs. -2) and home scoring average of 2.2 goals per game, sets the stage for a comfortable win. Despite injuries to key Arsenal attackers like Gyökeres and Saka, creative forces such as Ødegaard and Magalhães provide ample firepower and set-piece threat. Fulham's injury woes, including doubts over Wilson and Jiménez, further tip the scales.
Prediction
We predict Arsenal to lead 1-0 at halftime and extend their advantage to a 2-0 victory by fulltime. The match is expected to be competitive but controlled, with a total of four cards likely to be shown. Confidence in this outcome is high at 95%, reflecting Arsenal's consistent form and tactical superiority.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Key attackers injured for Arsenal
Gyökeres, Saka, Eze, and Trossard are injured, limiting Arsenal's attacking options despite predicted win
Arsenal's strong home scoring and defense
Arsenal averages 2.2 goals and concedes 0.6 at home, outperforming league averages significantly
Midfield creativity favors Arsenal
Ødegaard's playmaking and Magalhães' set-piece threat provide Arsenal a creative edge over Fulham
Arsenal's positive scoring streak at home
Arsenal has scored in last 5 home games, showing consistent offensive form
Fulham's injury concerns weaken attack
Fulham's top scorers and key players like Wilson and Jiménez are injured or questionable, reducing threat
Key Takeaways
In summary, Arsenal's blend of home advantage, tactical creativity, and historical edge over Fulham makes a 2-0 home win the most probable outcome. Fulham will need to overcome injury setbacks and defensive frailties to challenge the Gunners at the Emirates.
- Arsenal have won 11 of 19 meetings against Fulham, with only 2 losses and 6 draws.
- Arsenal lead the league with 73 points from 34 games (22 wins, 7 draws, 5 losses).
- Fulham are 10th with 48 points from 34 games (14 wins, 6 draws, 14 losses).
- Arsenal's goal difference (+38) far exceeds Fulham's (-2).
- Arsenal average 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home game this season.
- Fulham's top scorers Wilson and Jiménez are injured or questionable for this match.
- Arsenal's Ødegaard leads with 5 assists and a high passing accuracy of 87%.
- Total cards expected in the match is 4, indicating a moderately physical game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Arsenal
Away — Fulham
No standout top scorers flagged for Fulham
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gyökeres
Assist: Saka
Lukić
Yellow Card
Goal Disallowed - offside
Saka
Assist: Gyökeres
Gyökeres
Assist: Trossard
Saka
Reed
Rice
Wilson
Chukwueze
Gyökeres
Jiménez
Smith Rowe
Eze
White
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 78 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 |
| 11 |  Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 | 49 |
Match Statistics
Arsenal
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1David RayaG
- 2W. SalibaD
- 4B. WhiteD
- 6Gabriel MagalhãesD
- 7B. SakaM
- 10E. EzeM
- 14V. GyökeresF
- 19L. TrossardM
- 33R. CalafioriD
- 41D. RiceM
- 49M. Lewis-SkellyM
Substitutes
- 3Cristhian MosqueraD
- 5P. HincapiéD
- 9Gabriel JesusF
- 11Gabriel MartinelliF
- 13KepaG
- 16C. NørgaardM
- 20N. MaduekeF
- 36Martín ZubimendiM
- 56M. DowmanM
Fulham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. LenoG
- 3C. BasseyD
- 5J. AndersenD
- 6H. ReedM
- 7R. JiménezF
- 8H. WilsonM
- 19S. ChukwuezeM
- 20S. LukićM
- 21T. CastagneD
- 32E. Smith RoweM
- 33A. RobinsonD
Substitutes
- 2K. TeteD
- 9Rodrigo MunizF
- 10T. CairneyM
- 14Oscar BobbM
- 15Jorge CuencaD
- 18J. Kusi-AsareF
- 23B. LecomteG
- 24Joshua KingM
- 31I. DiopD
Arsenal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bukayo Saka(C) | M | 45 | 9.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1/2 |
| Viktor Gyökeres | F | 64 | 8.3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Leandro Trossard | M | 90 | 8.3 | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6/6 |
| William Saliba | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Riccardo Calafiori | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Declan Rice | M | 64 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ben White | D | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| David Raya | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Eberechi Eze | M | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Christian Nørgaard | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kepa Arrizabalaga | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Piero Hincapié | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Martinelli | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noni Madueke | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Martín Zubimendi | M | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Max Dowman | M | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Cristhian Mosquera | D | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Jesus | F | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Fulham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernd Leno | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calvin Bassey | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Joachim Andersen | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emile Smith Rowe | M | 78 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Harrison Reed(C) | M | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Saša Lukić | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Raúl Jiménez | F | 73 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Timothy Castagne | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Antonee Robinson | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Harry Wilson | M | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Samuel Chukwueze | M | 64 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jorge Cuenca | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Issa Diop | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Lecomte | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kenny Tete | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Muniz | F | 17 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Cairney | M | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joshua King | M | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonah Kusi-Asare | F | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |