Arouca vs Moreirense
Arouca cruise to comfortable win over Moreirense
Arouca's four-goal salvo leaves Moreirense scoreless and searching for answers.
Arouca delivered a commanding 4-0 victory against Moreirense in the Primeira Liga, with goals from an own goal by Maracás, José Fontán, Barbero, and D. Nandín sealing the deal. The home side established control early, scoring three times before the break and adding a late flourish in stoppage time. While Fipster had low confidence in a narrow 1-0 win prediction, the call for an Arouca victory was spot on.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Arouca facing Moreirense in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams are looking to start their campaigns on a positive note after last season's efforts, with Arouca aiming to leverage their home advantage and tactical discipline.
Key facts
- 1.Arouca and Moreirense face off in the second round of the regular season.
- 2.Moreirense have lost Guilherme Schettine to a transfer during the summer.
- 3.The predicted final score is 1-0 in favour of Arouca.
- 4.The halftime score is also expected to be 1-0, indicating an early lead for Arouca.
- 5.Arouca have maintained squad stability over the summer.
- 6.Moreirense have a slightly better goal difference than Arouca from last season.
- 7.Arouca are ranked 8th and Moreirense 7th in last season's league standings.
- 8.A total of four cards is the most likely disciplinary outcome for this match.
The context
This fixture marks the beginning of the regular season, with neither side having played a league game yet. Moreirense enter the match shorn of Guilherme Schettine, who has departed on a transfer, potentially impacting their attacking options. Arouca, meanwhile, have maintained their squad stability, which could prove advantageous in the early stages.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Arouca
Away — Moreirense
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a narrow home win for Arouca, with a 1-0 scoreline both at halftime and fulltime. The aggregated probabilities favour Arouca to claim the three points, supported by a consistent halftime lead scenario. Both teams are expected to be cautious, with a moderate number of cards anticipated, reflecting a competitive but controlled match.
Prediction
Expect Arouca to take the lead in the first half and hold on to secure a 1-0 victory. The match is likely to be tight, with defensive solidity and tactical awareness playing key roles. Moreirense will need to overcome the absence of Schettine to find a way back into the game.
The verdict
As the season opener, this match sets the tone for both sides. Arouca's predicted narrow win could provide early momentum, while Moreirense will look to regroup and adapt following their summer changes. Fans can anticipate a disciplined and strategic battle on the pitch.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Maracás
Yellow Card
Javi Sánchez
Yellow Card
Maracás (OG)
José Fontán
Assist: Lee Hyun-Ju
Barbero
Yellow Card
Kiko
Yellow Card
Barbero
Assist: Djouahra
Vieira
Unknown
John
Yellow Card
Barbero
Landerson
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos
Yellow Card
Trezza
Rodri Alonso
Lee Hyun-Ju
Nandín
Yellow Card
Fukui
van Ee
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos
Nandín
Assist: Djouahra
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 11 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Arouca
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3José FontánD
- 6E. van EeM
- 7N. DjouahraM
- 8T. FukuiM
- 12I. de ArruabarrenaG
- 14Lee Hyun-JuM
- 15Javi SánchezD
- 17BarberoF
- 18O. LebedenkoD
- 19A. TrezzaM
- 28Tiago EsgaioD
Substitutes
- 1J. VinarčíkG
- 5B. PopovićD
- 9F. MayuluF
- 10Pablo GozálbezM
- 21Mateo FloresM
- 23D. NandínF
- 24B. MansillaF
- 37Mario ClimentD
- 71M. DuarteG
- 77S. ParkF
- 89Pedro SantosM
Moreirense
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Leandro Henrique Sousa SantosD
- 9A. Duville-ParsemainF
- 11LandersonM
- 13André FerreiraG
- 21Rodri AlonsoM
- 23N. JohnM
- 26MaracásD
- 27KikoD
- 65Guilherme LiberatoM
- 66Gilberto BatistaD
- 89Afonso VieiraM
Substitutes
- 1AranhaG
- 4Kevyn MonteiroD
- 8M. StjepanovićM
- 10Kiko BondosoF
- 17Álvaro MartínezD
- 20João VelosoM
- 44Michael DacostaF
- 76Dinis PintoD
Arouca
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Fontán | D | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Naïs Djouahra | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Taichi Fukui | M | 79 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Orest Lebedenko | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Tiago Esgaio(C) | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Ignacio de Arruabarrena | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Espen Van Ee | M | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Sánchez | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Barbero | F | 59 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Hyun-ju Lee | M | 72 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Alfonso Trezza | M | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Martim Duarte | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Si-hoo Park | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jakub Vinarčík | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Climent | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fally Mayulu | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boris Popović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Gozálbez | M | 18 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Pedro Santos | M | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Mansilla | F | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Flores | M | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Nandín | F | 31 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Moreirense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilberto Batista | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Nile John | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rodrigo Alonso | M | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Guilherme Liberato | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leandro Santos | D | 85 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4/5 |
| André Ferreira | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Landerson | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandre Parsemain | F | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Afonso Vieira | M | 45 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Kiko | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Maracás(C) | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Michael Dacosta Gonzalez | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Kevyn Monteiro | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aranha | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Martínez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kiko Bondoso | F | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Dinis Pinto | D | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Mateja Stjepanović | M | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Veloso | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Arouca vs Moreirense?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Arouca to win against Moreirense.
- What score did Fipster predict for Arouca vs Moreirense?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Arouca 1–0 Moreirense.
- What were the win probabilities for Arouca vs Moreirense?
- Fipster's model gave Arouca a 42% chance of winning, Moreirense a 29% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 42% confidence — a low-confidence call.