Armenia vs Montenegro
Montenegro snatches narrow win in Armenia
A late strike from A. Latković seals a 3-2 victory away from home.
Montenegro edged out Armenia 3-2 in a closely contested UEFA Nations League clash. Despite Armenia's efforts, including goals from A. Serobyan and E. Spertsyan, Montenegro's N. Krstović and a crucial own goal by E. Piloyan set the tone early on. The match was ultimately decided by A. Latković's late goal at 89', overturning Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of an Armenian win. This result defied expectations and handed Montenegro a valuable away victory.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Armenia win
Actual
2–3
Outcome probability
Armenia and Montenegro face off in a League C encounter where both sides will be eager to claim vital points. Armenia's solid home form and Montenegro's attacking threat promise an engaging contest.
Match factors
Armenia's Defensive Goal Threat
Defender Georgi Harutyunyan has scored 1 goal in 1 home game, well above league average for defenders (0.02 goals/game).
Armenia's Creative Midfielders in Form
Eduard Spertsyan and Zhirayr Shaghoyan both assisted in last home match, showing strong creative form.
Montenegro's Key Attacker Krstović Impact
N. Krstović scored and assisted in last home game, providing Montenegro with a focal attacking threat.
No Confirmed Injuries Affecting Key Players
Both teams have no confirmed outs, so all top scorers and assisters remain available for selection.
The context
In this League C round 2 fixture, Armenia have already recorded a 1-0 home win in the competition, while Montenegro secured a 2-1 victory in their opening home match. Both teams have shown they can find the net, setting up an intriguing battle.
Key insights
Georgi Harutyunyan
Armenia
Defender Georgi Harutyunyan has scored 1 goal in 1 home game, well above league average for defenders (0.02 goals/game).
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 1 appearance, 82 mins played
Eduard Spertsyan
Armenia
Eduard Spertsyan provided an assist in the last home match and is a key creative force with high passing involvement.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 assist in 1 appearance, 90 mins played
N. Krstović
Montenegro
N. Krstović scored and assisted in the last home game, making him Montenegro's focal attacking threat.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal, 1 assist in 1 appearance
Analysis
Armenia's defensive solidity is highlighted by Georgi Harutyunyan, a defender who remarkably scored in their last home game, far exceeding typical defender goal rates. Midfield creativity from Eduard Spertsyan and Zhirayr Shaghoyan also boosts their attacking options. Montenegro rely heavily on N. Krstović, who has both scored and assisted recently, making him a key player to watch. With no confirmed injuries affecting key players, both sides can field strong lineups. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 to Armenia aligns with their home advantage and recent form, but Montenegro's attacking prowess suggests a close finish.
Key facts
- 1.Armenia won their opening League C home match 1-0.
- 2.Montenegro won their opening League C home match 2-1.
- 3.Georgi Harutyunyan scored in Armenia's last home game, a rare feat for a defender.
- 4.Eduard Spertsyan provided an assist in Armenia's last home match.
- 5.N. Krstović scored and assisted in Montenegro's last home game.
- 6.No confirmed injuries affecting key players on either side.
- 7.Predicted halftime score is 1-0 to Armenia, consistent with fulltime 2-1.
- 8.Expected total cards in the match is four.
Prediction
We anticipate Armenia to take an early lead and maintain their advantage to win 2-1. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of around four cards reflecting a lively but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Armenia
Away — Montenegro
The verdict
This League C fixture promises a tight contest with Armenia's home edge likely to be decisive. Fans can expect a spirited match with key players on both sides influencing the outcome, culminating in a narrow home victory.
Prediction generated 25 Sep 2026, 20:41 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Piloyan (OG)
Serobyan
Assist: Čančarević
Krstović
Assist: Đurić
Shaghoyan
Serobyan
Yellow Card
Vuković
Iwu
Miranyan
Osmajić
Yellow Card
Spertsyan
Assist: Harutyunyan
Lončar
Gašević
Roganović
Serobyan
Sevikyan
Yellow Card
Osmajić
Latković
Yellow Card
Latković
Piloyan
Match Statistics
Armenia
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1O. ČančarevićG
- 2A. BandikyanD
- 3E. PiloyanD
- 4G. HarutyunyanD
- 5A. PetrosyanD
- 6U. IwuM
- 9A. SerobyanM
- 10E. SpertsyanM
- 11Z. ShaghoyanM
- 18A. MiranyanF
- 21N. TiknizyanD
Substitutes
- 7E. SevikyanM
- 8K. HovhannisyanM
- 12A. BeglaryanG
- 13K. AyvazyanD
- 14G. ManvelyanM
- 15K. NalbandyanM
- 16G. MatinyanG
- 17A. GharibyanF
- 19K. MuradyanM
- 20D. TerteryanD
- 22E. SimonyanD
- 23N. HovhannisyanF
Montenegro
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1B. PopovićG
- 2M. RoganovićD
- 4A. ĐurićD
- 8M. JankovićM
- 9N. KrstovićF
- 15S. SavićD
- 16O. GaševićD
- 20M. OsmajićF
- 21A. BulatovićM
- 22S. LončarM
- 23D. VukovićM
Substitutes
- 3R. RadunovićD
- 5I. VujačićD
- 6S. RubežićD
- 7M. VešovićD
- 10S. JovetićF
- 11M. ŠimunM
- 12D. PetkovićG
- 13I. NikićG
- 14M. BrnovićM
- 17Vasilije AdžićM
- 18A. LatkovićM
- 19V. ĐukanovićF
Armenia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Spertsyan | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1/3 |
| A. Serobyan | M | 70 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/3 |
| G. Harutyunyan | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| O. Čančarević | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Gharibyan | F | 35 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Bandikyan | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Petrosyan | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Hovhannisyan | F | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2/3 |
| A. Miranyan | F | 55 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Hovhannisyan | M | 35 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Iwu | M | 55 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Tiknizyan | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Z. Shaghoyan | M | 46 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Sevikyan | M | 20 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Piloyan | D | 90 | 4.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Ayvazyan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Manvelyan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Nalbandyan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Simonyan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Terteryan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Muradyan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Beglaryan | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Matinyan | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Montenegro
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Krstović | F | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0/2 |
| A. Latković | M | 21 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Đurić | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Janković | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| M. Osmajić | F | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0/2 |
| S. Savić | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Jovetić | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Lončar | M | 68 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| O. Gašević | D | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Roganović | D | 69 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vasilije Adžić | M | 22 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Radunović | D | 22 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Vuković | M | 54 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| B. Popović | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Vešović | D | 36 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Bulatović | M | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/4 |
| I. Vujačić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Brnović | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Nikić | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Đukanović | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Petković | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Šimun | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Rubežić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Armenia vs Montenegro?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Armenia to win against Montenegro.
- What score did Fipster predict for Armenia vs Montenegro?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Armenia 2–1 Montenegro.
- What were the win probabilities for Armenia vs Montenegro?
- Fipster's model gave Armenia a 48% chance of winning, Montenegro a 26% chance, and a 26% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 48% confidence — a medium-confidence call.