Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha storm past Ararat-Armenia
T. Guddal's early brace sets the tone for a commanding away win.
Sparta Praha dismantled Ararat-Armenia with a convincing 4-1 victory in the UEFA Europa League. T. Guddal's quickfire double in the first half put the visitors firmly in control, and further goals from J. Mercado and P. Vydra sealed the deal despite a late consolation from Bruno Wilson. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win, turning the fixture into a surprising away romp.
Outcome probability
Ararat-Armenia and Sparta Praha face off in a group stage match where both sides will be eager to claim valuable points. With Ararat-Armenia showing promising form at home and Sparta Praha looking to challenge, this encounter promises a competitive edge.
Match factors
No key player absences for either side
Both teams have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squad availability and tactical stability.
Ararat-Armenia's positive scoring streak
Ararat-Armenia has scored in their last two matches and kept a clean sheet in their last home game, indicating good attacking and defensive form.
Balanced scoring and conceding trends
Ararat-Armenia averages 1 goal scored and 0.5 conceded per game with a 50% clean sheet rate, suggesting a solid home performance edge.
The context
In this competition, Ararat-Armenia have played two matches, winning one and drawing one, scoring twice and conceding once. Their recent home success includes a 1-0 play-off win against Universitatea Craiova, highlighting their capability to perform well in crucial fixtures. Sparta Praha, meanwhile, will be aiming to disrupt this momentum and secure a positive result.
Key facts
- 1.Ararat-Armenia have played 2 matches in this competition with a record of W1 D1 L0, scoring 2 and conceding 1.
- 2.Their most recent knockout result was a 1-0 home win against Universitatea Craiova in the play-offs.
- 3.Ararat-Armenia have scored in their last two matches and kept a clean sheet in their last home game.
- 4.They average 1 goal scored and 0.5 conceded per game with a 50% clean sheet rate in this competition.
- 5.Both teams have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squad availability.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Ararat-Armenia.
- 7.The predicted fulltime score is 2-1 to Ararat-Armenia.
- 8.The modal total number of cards expected is 4.
Analysis
Ararat-Armenia's recent performances show a positive scoring streak, having found the net in their last two matches and maintaining a clean sheet in their last home game. Their average of one goal scored and 0.5 conceded per game, coupled with a 50% clean sheet rate, suggests a solid home performance edge. Both teams have full squads available, ensuring tactical stability and no key player absences to influence the outcome.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Ararat-Armenia
Away — Sparta Praha
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for Ararat-Armenia with a halftime lead of 1-0 and a fulltime score of 2-1. This scoreline reflects the highest aggregated probability and aligns with the teams' recent form and defensive solidity. Expect a competitive match with around four cards shown, indicating a lively but controlled contest.
The verdict
All things considered, Ararat-Armenia look poised to claim a narrow victory in this group stage fixture. Their home form and recent results give them the edge, but Sparta Praha will no doubt provide stern resistance. A 2-1 scoreline seems the most fitting outcome for this encounter.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
No recent fixture data
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Guddal
Assist: Karabec
Guddal
Mercado
Assist: Alcócer
Bruno Wilson
Assist: Sandro Lima
Serobyan
Yellow Card
Benny
Braut Brunes
Sochurek
Mercado
Karabec
Vydra
Assist: Jurásek
Serobyan
Oliveira
Ryneš
Zidane Banjaqui
Sandro Lima
Grigoryan
Yellow Card
Muradyan
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 35 |  AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Ararat-Armenia
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2Hugo OliveiraM
- 11Zidane BanjaquiF
- 16E. GrigoryanD
- 19K. MuradyanM
- 43Bruno WilsonD
- 47A. MalisD
- 70BennyM
- 77A. SerobyanF
- 91Sandro LimaF
- 98João BravimG
Substitutes
- 1A. NersesyanG
- 5Luís FelipeD
- 7Z. ShaghoyanF
- 8J. BalantaM
- 9A. EloyanM
- 10A. AmbartsumyanM
- 14Bruno PereiraD
- 17M. CarlierM
- 20A. TeraM
- 25A. NdourF
- 95FrançaF
Sparta Praha
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2M. SuchomelD
- 6T. GuddalD
- 7J. AlcócerF
- 10A. KarabecM
- 11M. RynešD
- 14J. Braut BrunesF
- 17J. MercadoF
- 22L. Mbe SohD
- 28R. MacekM
- 38H. SochurekM
- 44J. SurovčíkG
Substitutes
- 3P. KadeřábekD
- 5Santiago EnemeM
- 15V. VitályosD
- 18A. IrvingM
- 21J. GrimaldoF
- 26P. VydraM
- 27E. SinghatehM
- 29M. VojtaF
- 30J. ZelenýD
- 31M. JurásekM
- 47K. HegyiG
- 54L. FrancG
Ararat-Armenia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artur Serobyan | F | 72 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | 2/3 |
| Sandro Lima | F | 80 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Bruno Wilson | D | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Zidane Banjaqui | F | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Hugo Oliveira | M | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| João Bravim | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bernardo Dias | M | 58 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Karen Muradyan(C) | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandros Malis | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Edgar Grigoryan | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bruno Pereira | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alioune Ndour | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luís Felipe | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alwyn Tera | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arman Nersesyan | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maxence Carlier | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Balanta | M | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Carlos França | F | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Armen Ambartsumyan | M | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arayik Eloyan | M | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Zhirayr Shaghoyan | F | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sparta Praha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal | D | 90 | 8.5 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| John Mercado | F | 69 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 5/6 |
| Matěj Ryneš | D | 80 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Roman Macek | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Adam Karabec(C) | M | 69 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 2/2 |
| Hugo Sochurek | M | 61 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 3/3 |
| Jonatan Braut Brunes | F | 61 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Josimar Alcócer | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3/7 |
| Jakub Surovčík | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loïc Mbe Soh | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Martin Suchomel | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lukas Franc | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Vitályos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Krisztián Hegyi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Eneme | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ebrima Singhateh | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joao Grimaldo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pavel Kadeřábek | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matěj Jurásek | M | 21 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Andy Irving | M | 21 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrik Vydra | M | 29 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Jaroslav Zelený | D | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matyáš Vojta | F | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Ararat-Armenia to win against Sparta Praha.
- What score did Fipster predict for Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Ararat-Armenia 2–1 Sparta Praha.
- What were the win probabilities for Ararat-Armenia vs Sparta Praha?
- Fipster's model gave Ararat-Armenia a 85% chance of winning, Sparta Praha a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.