Ararat-Armenia vs Celje
Ararat-Armenia edge Celje in tight contest
França's second-half strike seals a narrow win after Serobyan levels penalty opener.
Celje took an early lead through S. Sešlar's penalty at 21 minutes, but Ararat-Armenia fought back with A. Serobyan equalising before the break. França then clinched the victory with a decisive goal in the 70th minute, securing a 2-1 win. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved a bit more competitive than anticipated.
- Aggregate:
- Ararat-Armenia 2 3 Celje
- Advances:
- Celje
Analysis
The upcoming 3rd Qualifying Round match between Ararat-Armenia and Celje promises a tactical battle, with Ararat-Armenia tipped to edge out a 2-0 victory. Both teams have shown glimpses of attacking prowess, but the home side's recent form and goal-scoring consistency give them the upper hand.
In this competition, Ararat-Armenia have played four matches, winning two and scoring seven goals, while Celje have drawn both of their two matches, netting four goals. This sets the stage for a clash where Ararat-Armenia's attacking momentum meets Celje's resilience.
Ararat-Armenia's strong home scoring streak is a key factor, having scored in all recent home games and kept clean sheets, which suggests defensive solidity. Sandro Lima stands out as a consistent goal threat with three goals in the last four matches, including two at home. Celje's midfielders, such as M. Kvesić and Fernando Medeiros, have contributed goals recently, but the visitors may struggle to break down Ararat-Armenia's defence. Both teams have full squads available, so expect a competitive match with Ararat-Armenia likely to control the tempo.
Prediction
The prediction confidently favours a home win for Ararat-Armenia with a 2-0 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-0, reflecting a steady start before doubling the lead in the second half. The forecast carries an 85% confidence level, supported by a 75% probability of a home win and the highest individual scoreline probability at 22%. Expect four cards in total, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Ararat-Armenia's strong home scoring streak
Ararat-Armenia has scored in all recent home games, leveraging home advantage effectively
Sandro Lima's consistent goal threat
Sandro Lima scored 3 goals in last 4 matches, showing strong finishing form
Celje's midfield scoring contributions
Celje's midfielders like Kvesić and Medeiros have scored recently, keeping team competitive
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups possible
Ararat-Armenia's defensive solidity at home
Ararat-Armenia has kept clean sheets in recent home games, likely to limit Celje's scoring
Key Takeaways
In summary, Ararat-Armenia's attacking edge and defensive strength at home should see them through against a resilient Celje side. With key players like Sandro Lima and K. Muradyan in form, the home team looks set to secure a comfortable 2-0 victory and advance confidently in the competition.
- Ararat-Armenia have played 4 matches in this competition with 2 wins and 7 goals scored.
- Celje have played 2 matches with 2 draws and 4 goals scored.
- Ararat-Armenia have scored in all recent home games, showing strong home form.
- Sandro Lima has scored 3 goals in the last 4 matches, including 2 at home.
- Celje's midfielders have contributed goals but face a tough defensive challenge.
- Prediction confidence is high at 85% for a 2-0 home win.
- Expected halftime score is 1-0, aligning with the full-time prediction.
- Four total cards are predicted, indicating a competitive match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Ararat-Armenia
Away — Celje
No standout top scorers flagged for Celje
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal
Penalty
Goal
Yellow Card
Unknown
Yellow Card
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Goal
Unknown
Yellow Card
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Ararat-Armenia
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2Hugo OliveiraD
- 11Zidane BanjaquiM
- 16E. GrigoryanD
- 17M. CarlierM
- 19K. MuradyanM
- 43Bruno WilsonD
- 47A. MalisD
- 77A. SerobyanM
- 91Sandro LimaF
- 98João BravimG
Substitutes
- 1A. NersesyanG
- 5Luís FelipeD
- 6M. AyvazyanM
- 7Z. ShaghoyanM
- 8J. BalantaM
- 9A. EloyanF
- 14Bruno PereiraD
- 20A. TeraM
- 25A. NdourF
- 90P. AyongoF
- 95FrançaM
Celje
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1Žan-Luk LebanG
- 2P. ŠirvysD
- 4D. HrkaM
- 6A. TutyškinasD
- 8M. KvesićM
- 10S. SešlarM
- 11M. AvdyliM
- 13Papa Mustapha DanielM
- 19M. ZabukovnikM
- 25V. TushaM
- 47A. KučysF
Substitutes
- 3D. VukliševičD
- 7B. VerbičM
- 12L. KolarG
- 17A. KotnikF
- 20A. DionkouD
- 23Ž. FrelihG
- 27I. ĆalušićD
- 33L. KoútrisD
- 77M. IvanšekM
- 91Y. DukulyM
- 94R. PožegM
- 99M. PoplatnikF




