Anderlecht vs PAOK

UEFA Europa League3rd Qualifying Round
Full Time
32
HT: 11
Ref: S. SozzaLotto Park, Bruxelles (Brussel) · 28,063 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinhighHit
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 2 of 2Decisive leg
First leg:
PAOK 0 1 Anderlecht
Aggregate:
Anderlecht 4 2 PAOK
Advances:
Anderlecht

Match recap

Anderlecht beat PAOK 3–2 in their UEFA Europa League fixture.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Appropriate✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
21
HT 1–0
Final Result
32
HT 1–1
86%Excellent
A
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review14 Aug 2026

Outcome probability

Anderlecht 85%Draw 8%PAOK 7%

The 3rd Qualifying Round fixture between Anderlecht and PAOK promises a competitive encounter, with both sides showing solid form in this competition. Anderlecht's recent unbeaten streak and home scoring prowess set the stage for a closely fought match.

Match factors

Form Momentumhigh

Anderlecht's Consistent Scoring Streak

Anderlecht have scored in their last 3 matches, showing strong attacking momentum at home with an average of 3 goals per game.

Form Momentumhigh

PAOK's Recent Winning Form

PAOK have won their last 2 matches with an average of 2.5 goals scored, indicating strong offensive form away from home.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Home Advantage Boost for Anderlecht

Anderlecht score more at home (3 goals per game) compared to away (1 goal), enhancing their chances to secure a win at home against PAOK.

Statistical Edgemedium

PAOK's Defensive Vulnerability Away

PAOK concede on average 2 goals per away game, which Anderlecht can exploit given their strong home scoring record.

The context

In this competition, Anderlecht have played three matches without defeat, scoring five goals and conceding two. PAOK have also played three matches, winning two but losing one, with five goals scored and three conceded. Their previous head-to-head meeting saw Anderlecht claim victory, adding a psychological edge.

Key facts

  1. 1.Anderlecht have played 3 matches in this competition (W2 D1 L0, GF 5 / GA 2).
  2. 2.PAOK have played 3 matches in this competition (W2 D0 L1, GF 5 / GA 3).
  3. 3.Anderlecht won the only previous head-to-head meeting against PAOK.
  4. 4.Anderlecht are unbeaten in their last 3 cup matches, including a 1-0 away win vs PAOK.
  5. 5.Anderlecht average 3 goals per game at home in recent matches.
  6. 6.PAOK concede an average of 2 goals per away game in this competition.
  7. 7.The most likely halftime score is 1-0 to Anderlecht.
  8. 8.The predicted fulltime score is Anderlecht 2, PAOK 1.

Analysis

Anderlecht's attacking momentum at home is impressive, averaging three goals per game in recent matches. PAOK, while strong offensively away, concede an average of two goals per away game, a vulnerability Anderlecht can exploit. The statistical edge leans towards Anderlecht, who have also maintained an unbeaten run in recent cup matches, including a 1-0 away win against PAOK.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeAnderlecht

No standout risk players flagged for Anderlecht

AwayPAOK

A. Živković

A. Živković

Midfielder

PAOK

Discipline (Y+R*3)
3
4 played
0 mins

Prediction

The most probable outcome is a home win for Anderlecht with a 2-1 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-0 in favour of Anderlecht, aligning with their strong start tendencies. This prediction is supported by the aggregated probabilities and recent form data.

The verdict

Expect a tightly contested match with Anderlecht leveraging their home advantage and recent form to secure a narrow victory. PAOK will pose a threat but may struggle to contain Anderlecht's attacking flair on their turf.