Alverca vs SC Braga
SC Braga snatch narrow win at Alverca
Pau Victor's quickfire double secures Braga's comeback after a penalty opener.
Alverca took an early lead through Chiquinho's penalty at 27 minutes, but SC Braga responded strongly after the break with Pau Victor scoring twice in quick succession at 50 and 57 minutes to clinch a 2-1 victory. The match shaped up as a tight contest with Braga overturning the deficit to claim all three points. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline was a bit off.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Alverca facing SC Braga in what promises to be an intriguing clash. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, with Braga bolstering their ranks and Alverca adjusting after some departures. This match will set the tone for their campaigns ahead.
Key facts
- 1.SC Braga finished 4th last season, Alverca 11th.
- 2.Braga have a better goal difference (45 goals) than Alverca.
- 3.Braga's points per game (1.74) surpass Alverca's (1.15).
- 4.Alverca released Sandro Lima over the summer.
- 5.Braga signed Diogo Travassos, Bernardo Fontes, and Gabriel Silva.
- 6.Braga lost R. Zalazar and L. Horníček in the transfer window.
- 7.Predicted halftime score is 0-1 in favour of Braga.
- 8.Four total cards are expected in the match.
The context
Alverca enter this fixture having released Sandro Lima, while SC Braga have strengthened their squad with the arrivals of Diogo Travassos, Bernardo Fontes, and Gabriel Silva. Braga also saw the departures of R. Zalazar and L. Horníček. These changes suggest Braga have aimed to enhance their attacking and defensive options, potentially giving them an edge in this opener.
Analysis
Looking at the broader picture, SC Braga hold a notable advantage in league standing and goal difference from last season, finishing 4th compared to Alverca's 11th place. Braga's points per game also outshine Alverca's, indicating a more consistent performance level. The prediction models strongly favour an away win, with a 3-1 scoreline the most probable outcome. The halftime score is expected to be 0-1, reflecting Braga's likely early control. Additionally, the match is anticipated to be competitive with around four cards shown, hinting at a spirited contest.
Prediction
We expect SC Braga to secure a 3-1 victory over Alverca. Braga's summer signings and superior previous season form suggest they will control the game and convert their chances effectively. Alverca may get on the scoresheet but will struggle to contain Braga's attacking threat.
The verdict
This season opener sets the stage for Braga to assert themselves early in the campaign, while Alverca will look to build from this experience. Fans can anticipate an engaging match with Braga likely to come out on top by a clear margin.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Chiquinho
Penalty
Bajrami
Yellow Card
Ian Luccas
Yellow Card
Diego Rodrigues
Bajrami
Travassos
Victor
Assist: Tıknaz
Rayan
Vivaldo Semedo
Victor
Dorgeles
Victor
Yellow Card
Ian Luccas
Figueiredo
Tıknaz
Gómez
Gabri Martínez
Yellow Card
Lagerbielke
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Alverca
3-4-3Starting XI
- 4Y. BojangD
- 9Vivaldo SemedoF
- 10ChiquinhoF
- 12I. JamesM
- 14S. BaseyaD
- 21Sergi GómezD
- 22FigueiredoF
- 25Ian LuccasM
- 27Toni TamaritM
- 31Matheus MendesG
- 35RayanM
Substitutes
- 6D. GuiM
- 7André VidigalM
- 8Vasco MoreiraM
- 11C. NuozziF
- 15I. JulianD
- 17S. MerhegF
- 18Z. KassaryM
- 19D. CamaraF
- 20Diogo Filipe Spencer MarquesD
- 91JhonatanG
- 93Zé RafaelM
SC Braga
3-4-3Starting XI
- 2Víctor GómezM
- 6Vitor CarvalhoD
- 7Diogo TravassosM
- 8João MoutinhoM
- 10Pau VictorF
- 14G. LagerbielkeD
- 20M. DorgelesF
- 31Bernardo FontesG
- 34E. TıknazM
- 44A. BajramiD
- 50Diego RodriguesF
Substitutes
- 9Fran NavarroF
- 12Tiago SáG
- 16Tomás MarquésM
- 17J. MiloševićF
- 19J. WindF
- 22Sergio BarciaD
- 26B. Arrey-MbiD
- 37A. BarišićD
- 77Gabri MartínezF
- 78João CarvalhoG
Alverca
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Baseya | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Gui | M | 37 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Chiquinho | F | 90 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 3/4 |
| Matheus Mendes | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Gómez | D | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. James | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Bojang | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Nuozzi | F | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Figueiredo | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| D. Camara | F | 37 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Vidigal | M | 19 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan | M | 53 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Kassary | M | 19 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Luccas | M | 71 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vivaldo Semedo | F | 53 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Toni Tamarit | M | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| I. Julian | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Rafael | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jhonatan | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vasco Moreira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Merheg | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
SC Braga
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Victor | F | 90 | 8.7 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/3 |
| E. Tıknaz | M | 83 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Vitor Carvalho | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| João Moutinho | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Dorgeles | F | 64 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 6 | — |
| Diogo Travassos | M | 46 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Sergio Barcia | D | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Rodrigues | F | 46 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Fran Navarro | F | 44 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Milošević | F | 7 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Bernardo Fontes | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Lagerbielke | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Tomás Marqués | M | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Víctor Gómez | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gabri Martínez | F | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| A. Bajrami | D | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| B. Arrey-Mbi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Carvalho | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Barišić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Sá | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Wind | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |


