Alverca vs Santa Clara
Alverca and Santa Clara share spoils in draw
Late goals from Vivaldo Semedo and Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos settle a tight Primeira Liga clash.
Alverca and Santa Clara played out a 1-1 draw in the Primeira Liga, with Vivaldo Semedo putting the home side ahead after the break before Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos equalised late on for Santa Clara. The result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the match was tighter than expected.
Outcome probability
As the new season kicks off, Alverca and Santa Clara prepare to face off in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both sides have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an intriguing battle.
Key facts
- 1.Alverca have released Sandro Lima ahead of the new season.
- 2.Santa Clara have transferred out Serginho, Gabriel Batista, and Gabriel Silva.
- 3.Santa Clara have a better goal difference (-9) than Alverca (-17) from last season.
- 4.The predicted scoreline is 1-2 in favour of Santa Clara.
- 5.Halftime is expected to see Santa Clara leading 0-1.
- 6.Around four cards are expected in the match.
- 7.This is the fourth round of the regular season.
- 8.Away wins have a combined probability of 0.69, dominating other outcomes.
The context
Alverca enter this match having released Sandro Lima, while Santa Clara have seen the departures of Serginho, Gabriel Batista, and Gabriel Silva through transfers. These changes could influence the dynamics as both teams look to start their campaigns positively.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Alverca
Away — Santa Clara
Analysis
Santa Clara hold a slight edge in goal difference compared to Alverca, suggesting a marginally more robust defensive record last season. The prediction leans towards an away win, with Santa Clara expected to take an early lead by halftime and maintain their advantage despite Alverca's efforts to respond. The match is also anticipated to be moderately physical, with around four cards likely to be shown.
Prediction
The forecast is for Santa Clara to win 2-1, with the halftime scoreline at 0-1. This suggests a tight contest where the visitors strike first and hold on, while Alverca manage to pull one back but fall short of an equaliser.
The verdict
This season opener sets the tone for both teams, with Santa Clara looking to build momentum from a positive start. Alverca will need to address their defensive vulnerabilities and capitalise on home opportunities if they are to turn the tables in future encounters.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Zoubdi
Fernandes
Yellow Card
Sorriso
Tiago Ribeiro
Ian Luccas
Vivaldo Semedo
Assist: James
Paciência
Lopes
Vivaldo Semedo
Chissumba
André Vidigal
José Luís Rocha Tavares
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
Assist: Torrão
Figueiredo
Yellow Card
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  GIL Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Alverca
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2ZoubdiM
- 4Y. BojangD
- 7André VidigalM
- 9Vivaldo SemedoF
- 12I. JamesD
- 14S. BaseyaD
- 22FigueiredoM
- 25Ian LuccasM
- 31Mateus OliveiraG
- 35RayanM
- 55Francisco ChissumbaM
Substitutes
- 6D. GuiM
- 8Vasco MoreiraM
- 11C. NuozziF
- 15I. JulianD
- 18Z. KassaryM
- 19M. Essimi AtebaF
- 20Diogo Filipe Spencer MarquesD
- 21Sergi GómezD
- 27Toni TamaritF
- 91JhonatanG
- 93Zé RafaelM
Santa Clara
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Lucas FrançaG
- 2Diogo CalilaD
- 5Guilherme RomãoD
- 6Pedro FerreiraM
- 8José Luís Rocha TavaresM
- 9Gonçalo PaciênciaF
- 20Tiago RibeiroM
- 21Emanuel FernandesD
- 70Vinícius LopesM
- 99SorrisoM
Substitutes
- 10Brenner Lucas Gonçalves SantosF
- 11Welinton TorrãoF
- 12NenecaG
- 17João VasconcelosM
- 18A. DuarteF
- 22VitinhoM
- 42Lucas SoaresD
- 73Léo JacóF
Alverca
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivaldo Semedo | F | 74 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| I. James | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Bojang | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateus Oliveira | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Gómez | D | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Baseya | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Francisco Chissumba | M | 75 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/5 |
| M. Essimi Ateba | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zoubdi | M | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ian Luccas | M | 63 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Figueiredo | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Vasco Moreira | M | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Vidigal | M | 75 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques | D | 69 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Nuozzi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Tamarit | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Gui | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Kassary | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Rafael | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jhonatan | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Julian | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Santa Clara
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos | F | 27 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Tiago Ribeiro | M | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Welinton Torrão | F | 19 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Vinícius Lopes | M | 71 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/4 |
| Pedro Ferreira | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Vitinho | M | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Léo Jacó | F | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Paciência | F | 71 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Emanuel Fernandes | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| José Luís Rocha Tavares | M | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Diogo Calila | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Guilherme Romão | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Sorriso | M | 63 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| Lucas França | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Duarte | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neneca | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Vasconcelos | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Soares | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Alverca vs Santa Clara?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Santa Clara to win against Alverca.
- What score did Fipster predict for Alverca vs Santa Clara?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Alverca 1–2 Santa Clara.
- What were the win probabilities for Alverca vs Santa Clara?
- Fipster's model gave Alverca a 10% chance of winning, Santa Clara a 79% chance, and a 11% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 79% confidence — a high-confidence call.