Alverca vs Casa Pia
Alverca and Casa Pia share the spoils
A balanced encounter sees Silvi and Ian Luccas trade goals for a 1-1 draw.
Casa Pia took the lead through Silvi's first-half strike, but Alverca responded after the break with Ian Luccas leveling the score. The match ended in a well-contested 1-1 draw, exactly as Fipster tentatively predicted. A fair result for both sides in this Primeira Liga clash.
Outcome probability
Alverca and Casa Pia face off in what promises to be a closely contested match in the Regular Season - 11. Both teams have shown moments of promise this season, but neither has managed to pull decisively ahead in their recent encounters.
Match factors
Alverca's attacking trio in good scoring form
Camara, Semedo, and Chiquinho have combined for 8 goals this season, providing multiple scoring threats
Diogo Spencer's assist rate outperforms defender average
With 3 assists in 9 games, Spencer's creativity from defense is a key asset for Alverca
Vivaldo Semedo showing improved recent form
Semedo scored in 2 of last 5 matches, indicating rising confidence and impact
Casa Pia relies on Henrique Araújo for goals and assists
Araújo has scored and assisted recently, key to Casa Pia's attacking chances
Lawrence Ofori's high minutes and creativity
Ofori leads Casa Pia in minutes and contributes assists, pivotal in midfield creativity
The context
Alverca currently sit 10th in the league with 11 points from 9 games, boasting a better goal difference and points-per-game ratio than Casa Pia, who are 17th with 7 points from 10 games. Historically, Alverca have the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, winning two of the three matches played, but the encounters have been relatively high-scoring affairs, averaging 3.7 goals per game.
Key insights
- D
Dawda Camara Sankharé
Alverca
Camara's 3 goals in the last 5 games make him a key threat for Alverca's attack.
Primeira Liga 26/273 goals in 5 games, 61 avg mins/game
Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques
Alverca
Spencer's 3 assists this season highlight his creative influence from defence.
Primeira Liga 26/273 assists in 9 games, 48 avg mins/game
Vivaldo Semedo
Alverca
Semedo's recent scoring form, with goals in 2 of the last 5 matches, adds firepower to Alverca's attack.
Primeira Liga 26/273 goals in 9 games, 41 avg mins/game
Henrique Araújo
Casa Pia
Araújo's recent goal and assist contributions are vital for Casa Pia's offensive efforts.
Primeira Liga 26/271 goal in 10 games, 57 avg mins/game
Lawrence Ofori
Casa Pia
Ofori's high minutes and assist potential make him a pivotal creative force in midfield.
Primeira Liga 26/271 assist in 10 games, 86 avg mins/game
Analysis
Casa Pia are predicted to take an early lead, with the most probable halftime score being 0-1. However, Alverca's attacking trio, including Dawda Camara Sankharé who has netted 3 goals in his last 5 games, are expected to respond and level the score by fulltime. Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques' creativity from defence, with 3 assists this season, will be crucial for Alverca's attacking play. Casa Pia will rely on Henrique Araújo's recent goal and assist contributions to maintain pressure. The match is expected to be competitive with a total of around three cards, reflecting a spirited but controlled contest.
Key facts
- 1.Alverca are 10th in the league with 11 points from 9 games (W3 D2 L4).
- 2.Casa Pia are 17th with 7 points from 10 games (W2 D1 L7).
- 3.Alverca have a significantly better goal difference than Casa Pia this season.
- 4.In 3 head-to-head meetings, Alverca have won 2, Casa Pia 1, with no draws.
- 5.Head-to-head matches average 3.7 total goals (7 for Alverca, 4 for Casa Pia).
- 6.Alverca's Dawda Camara Sankharé has scored 3 goals in his last 5 games.
- 7.Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques leads Alverca with 3 assists this season.
- 8.Casa Pia's Henrique Araújo has contributed both goals and assists recently.
Prediction
The match is forecasted to end in a 1-1 draw, with Casa Pia leading at halftime before Alverca equalise later on. This balanced outcome reflects the close probabilities between an away win and a draw, with the prediction favouring a stalemate given the teams' current form and historical encounters.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Alverca
Away — Casa Pia
The verdict
Expect a tight and entertaining match where both sides find the net but neither can claim all three points. Alverca's home resilience and Casa Pia's early threat should make for a compelling contest that ends evenly matched.
Prediction generated 2 Nov 2026, 22:12 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ian Luccas
Yellow Card
Rosas
Yellow Card
Silvi
Assist: Araújo
Gui
Yellow Card
Chiquinho
Yellow Card
Livolant
Chissumba
Gui
Ian Luccas
Assist: Chiquinho
Camara
Figueiredo
Pauwels
Silvi
Chiquinho
Araújo
Match Statistics
Alverca
3-4-3Starting XI
- 4Y. BojangD
- 6D. GuiM
- 10ChiquinhoF
- 12I. JamesD
- 19D. CamaraF
- 20Diogo Filipe Spencer MarquesM
- 21Sergi GómezD
- 22FigueiredoF
- 25Ian LuccasM
- 31Matheus MendesG
- 55Francisco ChissumbaM
Substitutes
- 3J. MartínezD
- 7André VidigalF
- 8Vasco MoreiraM
- 9Vivaldo SemedoF
- 11C. NuozziF
- 14S. BaseyaD
- 23André PauloG
- 26Matheus FrançaF
- 27Toni TamaritF
- 35RayanM
- 93Zé RafaelM
Casa Pia
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1P. SequeiraG
- 3KalyD
- 9Henrique AraújoF
- 16SilviM
- 18GeraldesD
- 24S. PérezM
- 29J. LivolantF
- 43David SousaD
- 70João Pedro Seno Luís RêgoM
- 75Pedro RosasD
- 77B. PauwelsF
Substitutes
- 4João GoulartD
- 8Gabi PereiraM
- 10RochinhaF
- 11M. El BoukammiriF
- 17E. MaurinF
- 19K. PrietoF
- 44Felipe SilvaD
- 59Abdu DafeM
- 80L. OforiM
- 90CassianoF
- 95Ivan MandićG
- 98JPM
Alverca
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Luccas | M | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| André Vidigal | F | 33 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Y. Bojang | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Gómez | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus França | F | 23 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Chiquinho | F | 82 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/5 |
| Matheus Mendes | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. James | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| C. Nuozzi | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vivaldo Semedo | F | 23 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Camara | F | 67 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Rayan | M | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Francisco Chissumba | M | 57 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Gui | M | 58 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Figueiredo | F | 67 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 |
| S. Baseya | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Martínez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Tamarit | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Rafael | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Paulo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vasco Moreira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Casa Pia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silvi | M | 72 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| David Sousa | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| P. Sequeira | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Pérez | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Henrique Araújo | F | 82 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Kaly | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. El Boukammiri | F | 35 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| J. Livolant | F | 55 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| B. Pauwels | F | 71 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| L. Ofori | M | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cassiano | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rosas | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Geraldes | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rochinha | F | 19 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ivan Mandić | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabi Pereira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Goulart | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdu Dafe | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JP | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Prieto | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipe Silva | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Maurin | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Alverca vs Casa Pia?
- Fipster's AI model predicted a draw between Alverca and Casa Pia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Alverca vs Casa Pia?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Alverca 1–1 Casa Pia.
- What were the win probabilities for Alverca vs Casa Pia?
- Fipster's model gave Alverca a 32% chance of winning, Casa Pia a 31% chance, and a 37% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 37% confidence — a low-confidence call.