Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
Ref: I. O. KristjanssonŠportni Park Aluminij, Kidričevo · 2,600 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinlowMiss
Qualifying — two-legged tieLeg 1 of 2
Aggregate:
Dinamo Tirana 4 1 Aluminij
Advances:
Dinamo Tirana

Match recap

Aluminij and Dinamo Tirana drew 1–1 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.

Fipster’s pre-match call

Predicted

2-1 Aluminij win

Actual

1–1

✗ Missed

Outcome probability

Aluminij 35%Draw 33%Dinamo Tirana 32%

This second qualifying round fixture between Aluminij and Dinamo Tirana promises a tight contest, with both sides eager to progress further in the competition. The previous meeting ended in a draw, setting the stage for a closely fought battle.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

Dinamo Tirana's superior scoring form

Dinamo Tirana averages 1.9 goals per game vs Aluminij's 0.5, indicating stronger attack

Form Momentummedium

Ruben Silva-Richards' creative surge

Ruben Silva-Richards has 2 assists in last 5 games, showing strong recent form

Tactical Advantagemedium

Aluminij's defensive struggles at home

Aluminij conceded in all recent home games, vulnerable to Dinamo Tirana's attack

Head To Head Factormedium

Dinamo Tirana scored first in last meeting

Dinamo Tirana opened scoring in last fixture vs Aluminij, setting tone for match

The context

Aluminij have played two matches in this competition so far, without a win, scoring once and conceding four. Dinamo Tirana, on the other hand, have a more extensive record with eight matches played, winning three, drawing three, and losing two, scoring 13 goals and conceding seven. Their last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw, showing how evenly matched these teams can be.

Analysis

Dinamo Tirana have demonstrated a stronger attacking threat, averaging nearly two goals per game compared to Aluminij's half a goal. Ruben Silva-Richards stands out for Dinamo Tirana with his recent creative form, providing two assists in the last five games. However, Aluminij's defensive vulnerabilities at home could be a concern, though they have shown resilience by scoring against Dinamo Tirana in their previous meeting. The match could hinge on key moments from players like Ruben Silva-Richards and Aluminij's M. Vrbanec, who recently found the net against Dinamo Tirana.

Key facts

  1. 1.Aluminij have played 2 matches in this competition (W0 D1 L1, GF 1 / GA 4).
  2. 2.Dinamo Tirana have played 8 matches in this competition (W3 D3 L2, GF 13 / GA 7).
  3. 3.Previous head-to-head meeting ended in a 1-1 draw.
  4. 4.Dinamo Tirana scored first in their last meeting against Aluminij.
  5. 5.Ruben Silva-Richards has 2 assists in his last 5 games for Dinamo Tirana.
  6. 6.Aluminij have conceded in all recent home games, showing defensive struggles.

Prediction

Despite Dinamo Tirana's attacking prowess, the prediction leans towards a home win for Aluminij with a 2-1 scoreline. The model favours this outcome as the most probable, suggesting Aluminij will edge out their visitors in a closely contested match.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Aluminij

No standout top scorers flagged for Aluminij

Away — Dinamo Tirana

Ruben Silva-Richards

Ruben Silva-Richards

Attacker

Dinamo Tirana

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.16
6 played
3 starts
120 mins
~20 mins/game

The verdict

Expect a competitive encounter with Aluminij narrowly overcoming Dinamo Tirana. Key players on both sides will be crucial, but the home side's determination could see them clinch the win and advance in the competition.

Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who did Fipster predict to win Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana?
Fipster's AI model predicted Aluminij to win against Dinamo Tirana.
What score did Fipster predict for Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana?
Fipster predicted a final score of Aluminij 2–1 Dinamo Tirana.
What were the win probabilities for Aluminij vs Dinamo Tirana?
Fipster's model gave Aluminij a 35% chance of winning, Dinamo Tirana a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.