Albania vs Finland

UEFA Nations LeagueMatchweek 5
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Away Winlow

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Albania and Finland face off in a League C fixture where both sides have shown solid form. With Finland holding a slight edge in goal difference and head-to-head record, this match promises a competitive battle.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
1–2
Finland Win
LOW
Confidence
Albania 32%Draw 33%Finland 35%

The context

Both teams have played four matches in this competition so far. Albania have won three and lost one, scoring eight goals and conceding three. Finland have two wins, one draw, and one loss, with nine goals scored and only two conceded. Finland currently top the standings, just ahead of Albania in second place, making this clash crucial for the group.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Finland's Midfield Dominance

Finland's midfielders like L. Walta and A. Svanbäck combine goal scoring and assisting, creating a strong attacking core.

Statistical Edgehigh

Pohjanpalo's Clinical Finishing

J. Pohjanpalo's 3 goals in 3 games and high shot accuracy give Finland a clear edge in attack.

Form Momentummedium

Asllani's Creative Influence for Albania

K. Asllani's recent assists and high minutes played indicate he is key to Albania's attacking chances.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Manaj's Away Goal Threat

R. Manaj's strong away scoring form (2 goals in 2 away games) makes him a focal point for Albania's attack.

Analysis

Finland's midfield duo, L. Walta and A. Svanbäck, have been instrumental, combining goal scoring and assists to create a potent attacking threat. Walta leads Finland with four goals in three games, while Pohjanpalo adds a consistent goal threat with three goals. Albania's R. Manaj is their top scorer with two goals and poses a real threat, especially away from home. Albania's creative spark, K. Asllani, is key to their attacking transitions. Finland's superior goal difference and previous head-to-head win give them a slight tactical advantage, but Albania's home form and attacking players ensure this will be a tight contest.

Prediction

The prediction favours a narrow away win for Finland, with a 2-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. Despite the low confidence due to limited match history between these sides, Finland's attacking midfield and clinical finishing should see them edge this encounter.

Key facts

  1. 1.Albania have played 4 matches in this competition (W3 D0 L1, GF 8 / GA 3).
  2. 2.Finland have played 4 matches in this competition (W2 D1 L1, GF 9 / GA 2).
  3. 3.Finland lead the head-to-head with 1 win from 1 meeting against Albania.
  4. 4.Finland top the League C standings with 3 points from 1 game, Albania are second with 3 points from 1 game.
  5. 5.Finland have a significantly better goal difference (+5) than Albania this season.
  6. 6.L. Walta is Finland's top scorer with 4 goals in 3 games.
  7. 7.J. Pohjanpalo has scored 3 goals in 3 games, showing strong away form.
  8. 8.R. Manaj is Albania's leading scorer with 2 goals in 3 games.

The verdict

Expect a closely contested match with Finland's attacking midfielders making the difference. Albania will fight hard, but Finland's recent form and goal-scoring prowess should secure them the three points.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Albania

R. Manaj

R. Manaj

Attacker

Albania

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.17
3 played
3 starts
186 mins
~62 mins/game
E. Muçi

E. Muçi

Midfielder

Albania

Total Goals
1
League avg: 0.17
3 played
3 starts
205 mins
~68 mins/game

Away — Finland

L. Walta

L. Walta

Midfielder

Finland

Total Goals
4
League avg: 0.17
3 played
3 starts
218 mins
~73 mins/game
J. Pohjanpalo

J. Pohjanpalo

Attacker

Finland

Total Goals
3
League avg: 0.17
3 played
3 starts
239 mins
~80 mins/game

Prediction generated 6 Oct 2026, 20:44 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win Albania vs Finland?
Fipster's AI model predicts Finland to win against Albania.
What is the predicted score for Albania vs Finland?
Fipster predicts a final score of Albania 1–2 Finland.
What are the win probabilities for Albania vs Finland?
Fipster's model gives Albania a 32% chance of winning, Finland a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.