Albania vs Belarus
Albania seals solid win over Belarus
A penalty and a stoppage-time strike secure a confident home victory.
Albania secured a 2-0 victory against Belarus in the UEFA Nations League, with K. Asllani opening the scoring from the penalty spot in the 34th minute. E. Muçi then doubled the lead just after the break with a goal in stoppage time before half-time. While Fipster predicted a home win with a slightly narrower margin, the call on Albania's success was spot on.
Analysis
The upcoming clash between Albania and Belarus promises a tight contest as both teams kick off their campaign in this competition. With neither side having played a match yet, anticipation is high for a competitive encounter.
Both Albania and Belarus enter this fixture with zero points from zero games, sitting first and third respectively in the competition standings. This opening round match will set the tone for their campaigns, with each side eager to claim early bragging rights.
The probabilities for this match are finely balanced, with home win, draw, and away win all hovering around the one-third mark. However, the most likely specific outcome is a 2-1 victory for Albania, reflecting a narrow but decisive home success. The predicted total of four cards suggests a competitive and possibly feisty encounter.
Prediction
Given the data, Albania are tipped to win 2-1 against Belarus. This scoreline carries the highest probability among home win outcomes, supported by a moderate confidence level of 45%. Expect a closely fought match with Albania just edging it.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
In summary, Albania should leverage their home advantage to secure a slender victory over Belarus. While the margin is expected to be tight, the hosts are favoured to start their campaign with three points in a spirited contest.
- Albania currently rank 1st in the competition with 0 points from 0 games.
- Belarus are placed 3rd with 0 points from 0 games.
- The predicted final score is 2-1 in favour of Albania.
- The match is expected to feature around 4 total cards, indicating a competitive game.
- Probabilities for home win, draw, and away win are closely matched, reflecting an evenly poised fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Albania
Away — Belarus
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Tikhomirov
Yellow Card
Kontsevoy
Yellow Card
Asllani
Penalty
Muçi
Assist: Hysaj
Ramadani
Yellow Card
Tikhomirov
Kontsevoy
Malashevich
Yellow Card
Seferi
Gromyko
Selyava
Muçi
Manaj
Pilios
Yellow Card
Barkovskiy
Asllani
Hoxha
Volkov
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Albania | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Belarus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 |  Italy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Albania
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1E. BerishaG
- 4E. HysajD
- 6B. DjimsitiD
- 7R. ManajF
- 8K. AsllaniM
- 10E. MuçiF
- 17T. SeferiM
- 18A. IsmajliD
- 20Y. RamadaniM
- 21A. HoxhaF
- 22S. PiliosD
Substitutes
- 3M. MitajD
- 5K. QefalijaM
- 9A. MehmetiM
- 11M. UzuniF
- 12A. SherriG
- 13N. AlijiD
- 14C. ShpendiF
- 15M. KumbullaD
- 16J. ShehuM
- 19M. DakuF
- 23M. DajsinaniG
Belarus
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2K. PecheninD
- 3I. TikhomirovD
- 5V. KalininD
- 8A. SelyavaM
- 9M. EbongM
- 10V. GromykoM
- 11G. BarkovskiyF
- 18E. MalashevichM
- 20Z. VolkovD
- 21F. LapoukhovG
- 22A. KontsevoyM
Substitutes
- 1P. PavlyuchenkoG
- 4V. BocherovM
- 6R. BegunovD
- 7A. ShumanskiyF
- 12A. KudravetsG
- 13K. GomanovD
- 15E. ParkhomenkoD
- 17V. LisakovichF
Albania
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Muçi | F | 74 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| E. Hysaj | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| K. Asllani | M | 86 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| A. Ismajli | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Uzuni | F | 29 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| M. Mitaj | D | 3 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Ramadani | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Berisha | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Shehu | M | 4 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Mehmeti | M | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Pilios | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| M. Daku | F | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Hoxha | F | 87 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 4/6 |
| T. Seferi | M | 61 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Manaj | F | 74 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| M. Kumbulla | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sherri | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Shpendi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dajsinani | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Qefalija | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Aliji | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Belarus
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Volkov | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Gomanov | D | 44 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Barkovskiy | F | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| K. Pechenin | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/3 |
| M. Ebong | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 4/5 |
| V. Gromyko | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| V. Kalinin | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| A. Selyava | M | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| V. Lisakovich | F | 25 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Kontsevoy | M | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Lapoukhov | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Tikhomirov | D | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Malashevich | M | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Kudravets | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Bocherov | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Parkhomenko | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Shumanskiy | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Pavlyuchenko | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Begunov | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Albania vs Belarus?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Albania to win against Belarus.
- What score did Fipster predict for Albania vs Belarus?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Albania 2–1 Belarus.
- What were the win probabilities for Albania vs Belarus?
- Fipster's model gave Albania a 45% chance of winning, Belarus a 27% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 45% confidence — a medium-confidence call.