Alaves vs Osasuna
Alaves storm past Osasuna in goal fest
L. Boyé's hat-trick powers Alaves to a commanding 5-2 victory.
Alaves delivered a dominant performance against Osasuna, with L. Boyé starring by netting a hat-trick including goals at 27', 51', and 68'. Despite A. Budimir's efforts for Osasuna with two goals, including a penalty at 64', Alaves maintained control and sealed the win with a late goal from Pablo Ibáñez at 90'. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an Alaves win was spot on, though the actual scoreline was far more emphatic than the modest 1-0 forecast.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Alaves facing Osasuna in what promises to be a closely fought encounter. Both sides have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive match as they look to start their campaigns on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Alaves have signed Miguel Rodríguez and lost Víctor Parada ahead of the new season.
- 2.Osasuna have added Diego Rico but lost Víctor Muñoz and Javi Galán during the summer.
- 3.Alaves and Osasuna finished last season with similar points but differing goal differences (-12 vs -6).
- 4.The predicted scoreline is 1-0 in favour of Alaves, with the goal expected in the first half.
- 5.Four cards are expected in the match, indicating a competitive and physical game.
The context
Alaves have welcomed Miguel Rodríguez into their ranks while seeing Víctor Parada depart, aiming to strengthen their squad depth. Osasuna, meanwhile, have bolstered their defence with the arrival of Diego Rico but have lost Víctor Muñoz and Javi Galán. These changes could influence the tactical approaches and balance of both teams as they seek early momentum.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Alaves
Away — Osasuna
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a home win for Alaves, with a 1-0 scoreline being the most probable outcome. The first half is expected to see Alaves take the lead, maintaining that advantage through disciplined defending. Both teams have similar goal differences from last season, but Alaves' home advantage and summer reinforcements give them a slight edge. The match is also expected to be competitive, with around four cards likely, reflecting a keenly contested battle.
Prediction
Expect Alaves to clinch a narrow 1-0 victory, scoring early and holding firm against Osasuna's attempts to equalise. The halftime scoreline of 1-0 aligns with the fulltime prediction, suggesting a controlled and tactical game from the hosts.
The verdict
This season opener sets the tone for both teams, with Alaves looking to capitalise on their summer additions and home advantage. Osasuna will be eager to respond but may find it tough to break down a resolute Alaves side. Fans can anticipate a tight, tactical affair with a slim margin separating the sides.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Boyé
Assist: Díaz
Díaz
Assist: Sivera
Budimir
Assist: Moi Gómez
Boyé
Assist: Aleñá
Bretones
Yellow Card
García
Boyomo
Moi Gómez
Rebbach
Yellow Card
Budimir
Penalty
Boyé
Assist: Pérez
Aleñá
Díaz
Rebbach
Jonny
Yeboah
Yellow Card
Boyé
Arguibide
Ibáñez
Assist: Pérez
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 |  Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 |  Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Alaves
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 1SiveraG
- 7Angel PérezM
- 8Antonio BlancoM
- 9M. DíazF
- 10Carles AleñáM
- 14N. TenagliaD
- 15L. BoyéF
- 16V. KoskiD
- 17JonnyD
- 19Pablo IbáñezM
- 21A. RebbachM
Substitutes
- 2N. ValentiniD
- 3YusiD
- 4Denis SuárezM
- 6GuevaraM
- 12Hugo NovoaF
- 13A. GiménezG
- 20A. ManasF
- 22Miguel RodríguezF
- 23C. BenavídezM
- 24Selu DialloM
- 27X. OlaizD
Osasuna
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1Sergio HerreraG
- 7MoncayolaM
- 8Iker MuñozM
- 9Raúl GarcíaF
- 14Rubén GarcíaM
- 16Moi GómezM
- 17A. BudimirF
- 22F. BoyomoD
- 23Abel BretonesD
- 24CatenaD
- 27Íñigo ArguibideD
Substitutes
- 6Lucas TorróM
- 11Kike BarjaF
- 13Aitor FernándezG
- 15Diego RicoD
- 18Raul MoroF
- 20R. Del CastilloM
- 21Jonathan DubasinF
- 26Mauro EchegoyenM
- 29Asier OsambelaM
- 35U. SantosD
- 48R. YeboahD
Alaves
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Boyé | F | 85 | 9.4 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 0/1 |
| Angel Pérez | M | 90 | 8.6 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4/4 |
| M. Díaz | F | 71 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Pablo Ibáñez | M | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Antonio Blanco | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| N. Tenaglia | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Jonny | D | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Carles Aleñá | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Manas | F | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Yusi | D | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Miguel Rodríguez | F | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Koski | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| X. Olaiz | D | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denis Suárez | M | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Sivera | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Rebbach | M | 71 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| N. Valentini | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Selu Diallo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Giménez | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Novoa | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guevara | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Benavídez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Osasuna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Budimir | F | 90 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 6 | 5 | — | 1/1 |
| Moi Gómez | M | 60 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Raul Moro | F | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Jonathan Dubasin | F | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Iker Muñoz | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Raúl García | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Moncayola | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergio Herrera | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rubén García | M | 60 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Boyomo | D | 60 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Asier Osambela | M | 5 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Catena | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Íñigo Arguibide | D | 85 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| R. Yeboah | D | 30 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abel Bretones | D | 90 | 5.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mauro Echegoyen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Rico | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Santos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Del Castillo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kike Barja | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Torró | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Fernández | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Alaves vs Osasuna?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Alaves to win against Osasuna.
- What score did Fipster predict for Alaves vs Osasuna?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Alaves 1–0 Osasuna.
- What were the win probabilities for Alaves vs Osasuna?
- Fipster's model gave Alaves a 67% chance of winning, Osasuna a 16% chance, and a 17% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 67% confidence — a high-confidence call.