Alaves vs Osasuna Prediction & Lineups

La LigaMatchweek 4

Sunday, September 6, 2026 at 05:30 PM GMT+1

OsasunaOsasuna

Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz · 19,840 cap

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Home Winhigh

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The new season kicks off with Alaves facing Osasuna in what promises to be a closely fought encounter. Both sides have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive match as they look to start their campaigns on a positive note.

Predicted Scoreline

Pre-Match

1–0

Half-time1–0

Alaves Win

HIGH

Confidence

Alaves 67%Draw 17%Osasuna 16%

The context

Alaves have welcomed Miguel Rodríguez into their ranks while seeing Víctor Parada depart, aiming to strengthen their squad depth. Osasuna, meanwhile, have bolstered their defence with the arrival of Diego Rico but have lost Víctor Muñoz and Javi Galán. These changes could influence the tactical approaches and balance of both teams as they seek early momentum.

Key facts

1.Alaves have signed Miguel Rodríguez and lost Víctor Parada ahead of the new season.
2.Osasuna have added Diego Rico but lost Víctor Muñoz and Javi Galán during the summer.
3.Alaves and Osasuna finished last season with similar points but differing goal differences (-12 vs -6).
4.The predicted scoreline is 1-0 in favour of Alaves, with the goal expected in the first half.
5.Four cards are expected in the match, indicating a competitive and physical game.

Analysis

The prediction leans towards a home win for Alaves, with a 1-0 scoreline being the most probable outcome. The first half is expected to see Alaves take the lead, maintaining that advantage through disciplined defending. Both teams have similar goal differences from last season, but Alaves' home advantage and summer reinforcements give them a slight edge. The match is also expected to be competitive, with around four cards likely, reflecting a keenly contested battle.

Prediction

Expect Alaves to clinch a narrow 1-0 victory, scoring early and holding firm against Osasuna's attempts to equalise. The halftime scoreline of 1-0 aligns with the fulltime prediction, suggesting a controlled and tactical game from the hosts.

The verdict

This season opener sets the tone for both teams, with Alaves looking to capitalise on their summer additions and home advantage. Osasuna will be eager to respond but may find it tough to break down a resolute Alaves side. Fans can anticipate a tight, tactical affair with a slim margin separating the sides.