Alaves vs Mallorca
Match recap
Alaves beat Mallorca 2–1 in their La Liga fixture. Toni Martínez and Toni Martínez scored for Alaves; Virgili replied for Mallorca. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.09 for Alaves versus 0.28 for Mallorca. Alaves sit 14th in the La Liga table while Mallorca are 18th.
Analysis
Alaves host Mallorca in what promises to be a closely fought La Liga encounter. Both sides are hovering near the relegation zone, making every point crucial as the season nears its climax.
Mallorca hold a slight edge in their head-to-head record with four wins to Alaves' two in nine meetings, but the matches tend to be low scoring, averaging just 1.4 goals per game. Both teams sit close in the league table, with Mallorca 15th and Alaves 17th, indicating a balanced contest likely to be decided by fine margins.
Alaves will rely heavily on Toni Martínez, who boasts an impressive run of seven goals in his last five games and is a key threat away from home. Meanwhile, Mallorca's Vedat Muriqi leads their scoring charts but has been less effective on the road recently. The absence of Alaves' top scorer L. Boyé due to injury and the suspension of midfielder Antonio Blanco could hamper their attacking fluidity. Midfield creativity from Carles Aleñá and defensive contributions from Víctor Parada will be vital for Alaves to maintain balance.
Prediction
Given the tight form and defensive solidity on both sides, a 1-1 draw looks the most probable outcome. The halftime score is expected to be goalless, reflecting cautious starts, with a total of four cards likely as tempers flare in this relegation battle.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Toni Martínez's Form vs Mallorca's Defense
Martínez's recent scoring streak exploits Mallorca's defensive vulnerabilities, especially away.
Alaves' Midfield Creativity Impact
Aleñá and Blanco's passing and assist rates exceed league averages, boosting attacking chances.
Absence of Key Players Affects Alaves
Boyé's injury and Blanco's suspension reduce Alaves' attacking and midfield stability.
Mallorca's Reliance on Vedat Muriqi
Muriqi leads Mallorca's scoring but recent away form is less prolific, limiting threat.
Defensive Contributions of Víctor Parada
Parada's dual role in defense and assists provides balance against Mallorca's attack.
Key Takeaways
With both teams evenly matched and fighting for survival, a draw seems the fairest result. Fans can expect a competitive game with moments of quality from key players like Toni Martínez and Carles Aleñá, but ultimately neither side will take all three points.
- Mallorca lead head-to-head with 4 wins to Alaves' 2 in 9 meetings.
- Average goals per match in their meetings is low at 1.4.
- Alaves are 17th in the league with 33 points from 31 games.
- Mallorca sit 15th with 34 points from 31 games.
- Toni Martínez has scored 7 goals in his last 5 games, showing excellent form.
- L. Boyé, Alaves' top scorer with 11 goals, is currently injured.
- Antonio Blanco is suspended, impacting Alaves' midfield stability.
- Expected total cards in the match is 4, indicating a feisty encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Alaves
Away — Mallorca
No standout top scorers flagged for Mallorca
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Boyé
Virgili
Assist: Samú Costa
Jonny
Yellow Card
Toni Martínez
Assist: Rebbach
Valjent
Yellow Card
Aleñá
Toni Martínez
Assist: Pérez
Torre
Parada
Yellow Card
Toni Martínez
Darder
Pérez
Parada
Pablo Maffeo
Mojica
Match Statistics
Alaves
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1SiveraG
- 7Angel PérezD
- 8Antonio BlancoM
- 10Carles AleñáM
- 11Toni MartínezF
- 14N. TenagliaD
- 15L. BoyéF
- 17JonnyD
- 19Pablo IbáñezM
- 21A. RebbachD
- 24Víctor ParadaD
Substitutes
- 3YusiD
- 4Denis SuárezM
- 5Jon PachecoD
- 6GuevaraM
- 9M. DíazF
- 13Raúl FernándezG
- 16V. KoskiD
- 18Jon GuridiM
- 20CalebeM
- 22I. DiabateF
- 31G. SwiderskiG
Mallorca
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 1Leo RománG
- 5Omar MascarellM
- 7V. MuriqiF
- 10DarderM
- 12Samú CostaM
- 17Jan VirgiliF
- 20Pablo TorreM
- 22J. MojicaD
- 23Pablo MaffeoD
- 24M. ValjentD
- 27David LópezD
Substitutes
- 2Mateu MoreyD
- 3Toni LatoD
- 6Antonio SánchezM
- 8Manu MorlanesM
- 9Abdón PratsF
- 11T. AsanoF
- 19Javi LlabrésF
- 25Iván CuéllarG
- 28C. RibaM
- 30J. KalumbaF
- 34J. OlaizolaD
- 39J. GarciaM
Alaves
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Boyé | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Martínez | F | 81 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ángel Pérez | D | 81 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| Nahuel Tenaglia | D | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jonny Otto | D | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Antonio Blanco(C) | M | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abderrahman Rebbach | D | 97 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3/4 |
| Antonio Sivera | G | 97 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carles Aleñá | M | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Pablo Ibáñez | M | 97 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Victor Parada | D | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Grégoire Swiderski | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Fernández | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Egoitz Muñoz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ander Guevara | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ville Koski | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mariano Diaz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denis Suarez | M | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jon Pacheco | D | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Calebe Gonçalves | M | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jon Guridi | M | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mallorca
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Mascarell | M | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Virgili | F | 97 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Leo Román | G | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Valjent(C) | D | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Darder | M | 81 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Samú Costa | M | 97 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| David López | D | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Torre | M | 70 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Pablo Maffeo | D | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Johan Mojica | D | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vedat Muriqi | F | 97 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Justin-Noel Kalumba | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Llabrés | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Takuma Asano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Sánchez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cesc Riba | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iván Cuéllar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jandro García | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Olaizola | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu Morlanes | M | 27 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mateu Morey | D | 12 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Lato | D | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Abdon | F | 16 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |