Alaves vs Getafe
Alaves seal commanding win over Getafe
A late flurry of goals secures a 3-0 victory for Alaves.
Alaves delivered a dominant performance against Getafe, breaking the deadlock with N. Tenaglia's strike in the 73rd minute before M. Díaz and Mikel Rodríguez added two more goals deep into stoppage time. This comprehensive 3-0 win defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a 1-1 draw, turning what was expected to be a tight contest into a one-sided affair.
Analysis
The new La Liga season kicks off with Alaves facing Getafe in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both teams have made some summer moves and will be eager to start the campaign on a positive note.
Alaves have bolstered their squad with the arrival of Miguel Rodríguez, while seeing Carlos Vicente depart. Getafe have added V. Birmančević on loan, aiming to strengthen their options upfront. This opening fixture sets the tone for both sides as they look to build momentum in the league.
The prediction leans towards a draw, with a 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome. Getafe may take an early lead by halftime, but Alaves are expected to rally and equalise in the second half. Both teams have similar goal differences from last season, suggesting a balanced contest. The match could see a handful of cards, reflecting the competitive nature of the encounter.
Prediction
Expect a 1-1 draw with Getafe leading at halftime before Alaves claw back to level the score. The game should be competitive and fairly even, with neither side dominating outright.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
As the season opener, this match offers a glimpse of what’s to come. Both teams have made strategic signings and will be eager to avoid defeat. A draw seems the fairest result, setting up an intriguing campaign ahead.
- Alaves have signed Miguel Rodríguez and lost Carlos Vicente in the summer transfer window.
- Getafe have brought in V. Birmančević on loan to strengthen their squad.
- The predicted final score is a 1-1 draw with a 42% confidence level.
- Getafe are expected to lead 1-0 at halftime before Alaves equalise.
- Both teams finished last season with similar goal differences, indicating balanced squads.
- The match is forecasted to have around four cards, suggesting a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Alaves
Away — Getafe
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Davinchi
Yellow Card
Martín
Yellow Card
Kiko Femenía
Red Card
Suárez
Yellow Card
Davinchi
Suárez
Unknown
Pérez
Martín
Rebbach
Yellow Card
Satriano
Tenaglia
Assist: Díaz
Dakonam
Yellow Card
García
Dakonam
Blanco
Yellow Card
Díaz
Díaz
Yellow Card
Goal
Assist: Díaz
Rebbach
Blanco
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 9 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Alaves
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1SiveraG
- 4Denis SuárezM
- 7Angel PérezM
- 8Antonio BlancoM
- 11Toni MartínezF
- 14N. TenagliaD
- 16V. KoskiD
- 17JonnyD
- 19Pablo IbáñezM
- 20Aitor MañasF
- 21A. RebbachM
Substitutes
- 3YusiD
- 6GuevaraM
- 9M. DíazF
- 10Carles AleñáM
- 12Hugo NovoaF
- 22Miguel RodríguezF
- 23C. BenavídezM
- 24M. DiarraD
- 27X. OlaizD
- 31G. SwiderskiG
Getafe
3-5-2Starting XI
- 2D. DakonamD
- 3DavinchiM
- 5A. AbqarD
- 6Mario MartínM
- 10M. SatrianoF
- 11Ramón TerratsM
- 13David SoriaG
- 17Kiko FemeníaM
- 21Andrés GarcíaF
- 23O. MangalaM
- 24Z. RomeroD
Substitutes
- 1J. LetáčekG
- 4S. SazonovD
- 9Borja MayoralF
- 15S. BoselliD
- 19E. ÜnalF
- 22J. MojicaD
- 26J. ValouD
- 28A. R. AlcantaraM
- 35Diego FerrerG
Alaves
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel Tenaglia | D | 98 | 8.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Jonny Otto | D | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abderrahman Rebbach | M | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ángel Pérez | M | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Antonio Sivera | G | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Blanco(C) | M | 94 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Denis Suárez | M | 57 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Toni Martínez | F | 98 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — |
| Ville Koski | D | 98 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Aitor Mañas | F | 57 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Pablo Ibáñez | M | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Grégoire Swiderski | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Novoa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Rodríguez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Benavídez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carles Aleñá | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ander Guevara | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moussa Diarra | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Xanet Olaiz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mariano Díaz | F | 41 | 9.3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Youssef Enriquez | D | 33 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Getafe
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Soria | G | 98 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Orel Mangala | M | 98 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Ramón Terrats | M | 98 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Djené(C) | D | 81 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Martín | M | 66 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zaid Romero | D | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| Abdel Abqar | D | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davinchi | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Martín Satriano | F | 73 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Andrés García | F | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Kiko Femenía | M | 42 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Diego Ferrer | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jiří Letáček | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johan Mojica | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Borja Mayoral | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enes Ünal | F | 53 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Saba Sazonov | D | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Risco | M | 32 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sebastián Boselli | D | 17 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean Ives Valou | D | 25 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Alaves vs Getafe?
- Fipster's AI model predicted a draw between Alaves and Getafe.
- What score did Fipster predict for Alaves vs Getafe?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Alaves 1–1 Getafe.
- What were the win probabilities for Alaves vs Getafe?
- Fipster's model gave Alaves a 29% chance of winning, Getafe a 29% chance, and a 42% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 42% confidence — a low-confidence call.