Alaves vs Barcelona
Match recap
Alaves beat Barcelona 1–0 in their La Liga fixture. Diabate scored for Alaves. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.66 for Alaves versus 0.59 for Barcelona. Alaves sit 14th in the La Liga table while Barcelona are 1st.
Analysis
As the La Liga season nears its climax, Alaves host Barcelona in a match that promises to highlight the gulf in class between the two sides. With Barcelona chasing yet more points to cement their top spot, this fixture looks set to be a showcase of their attacking prowess.
Alaves sit precariously in 18th place with just 37 points, struggling to keep their heads above water. Meanwhile, Barcelona lead the league with 91 points and a formidable goal difference of +60. The visitors have been in scintillating form, averaging 2.60 points per game compared to Alaves' 1.06, making them clear favourites.
Barcelona's attacking depth is impressive, with Lamine Yamal leading the charge as top scorer and assist provider. Despite some injury concerns, their firepower remains potent. Alaves, on the other hand, face difficulties with key attackers like Toni Martínez questionable and Lucas Boyé sidelined. Defensively, Alaves have been leaky at home, conceding in every recent match, which bodes ill against Barcelona's clinical forwards.
Prediction
We predict a 3-1 victory for Barcelona, reflecting their dominance and superior squad quality. The away side's ability to control possession and create chances should see them comfortably outscore Alaves, who will likely manage a consolation goal through their top scorer if fit.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Barcelona's Superior Offensive Depth
Barcelona's multiple high-scoring attackers and creative midfielders provide diverse goal threats against Alaves' struggling defense.
Alaves' Key Attackers Injured
Alaves missing top scorers Toni Martínez (questionable) and Lucas Boyé (injured) weakens their goal-scoring potential significantly.
Barcelona's Passing and Possession Control
Barcelona's defenders and midfielders have higher passing accuracy and volume, enabling better control and chance creation.
Barcelona's Strong Recent Form
Barcelona is on a 5-game scoring streak with high win percentage, indicating strong momentum heading into the match.
Alaves Defensive Vulnerabilities
Alaves concedes in every recent home game and has low clean sheet percentage, making them vulnerable to Barcelona's attack.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect Barcelona to continue their winning streak with a confident away win. Alaves will fight hard but ultimately fall short against a side brimming with talent and momentum.
- Barcelona lead La Liga with 91 points and a +60 goal difference.
- Alaves are 18th with 37 points and a -13 goal difference.
- Barcelona average 2.60 points per game; Alaves average 1.06.
- Alaves have conceded in every recent home game, showing defensive frailty.
- Lamine Yamal is Barcelona's top scorer with 16 goals this season.
- Toni Martínez is Alaves' top scorer with 12 goals but is a doubt due to injury.
- Barcelona have a strong recent form with a 5-game scoring streak.
- Alaves have a poor home record, increasing their vulnerability.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Alaves
Away — Barcelona
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Diabate
Assist: Blanco
Rashford
Yellow Card
Bardghji
Cubarsí Paredes
Casadó
Diabate
Suárez
Balde
Parada
Rebbach
Yellow Card
Bernal
João Cancelo
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 | 86 |
| 13 |  Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -14 | 43 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 |  Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | -8 | 43 |
Match Statistics
Alaves
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1SiveraG
- 4Denis SuárezM
- 7Angel PérezD
- 8Antonio BlancoM
- 11Toni MartínezF
- 14N. TenagliaD
- 16V. KoskiD
- 18Jon GuridiM
- 21A. RebbachD
- 22I. DiabateF
- 24Víctor ParadaD
Substitutes
- 3YusiD
- 5Jon PachecoD
- 6GuevaraM
- 9M. DíazF
- 10Carles AleñáM
- 13Raúl FernándezG
- 17JonnyD
- 19Pablo IbáñezM
- 20CalebeM
- 23C. BenavídezM
- 27E. Munoz
- 34A. Manas
Barcelona
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3Alejandro BaldeD
- 5Pau Cubarsí ParedesD
- 9R. LewandowskiF
- 14M. RashfordM
- 17Marc CasadóM
- 19R. BardghjiM
- 20Dani OlmoM
- 22Marc BernalM
- 23J. KoundéD
- 25W. SzczęsnyG
- 36Álvaro Cortés MoyanoD
Substitutes
- 2João CanceloD
- 4R. AraújoD
- 6GaviM
- 7Ferran TorresF
- 8PedriM
- 13Joan GarcíaG
- 15A. ChristensenD
- 18Gerard MartínD
- 24Eric GarcíaD
- 33Eder AllerG
- 42X. EspartD
- 43Tomás MarquésM
Alaves
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Guridi | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4/5 |
| Ville Koski | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abderrahman Rebbach | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Nahuel Tenaglia | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | 64 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Antonio Blanco(C) | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Victor Parada | D | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Sivera | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ángel Pérez | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Denis Suárez | M | 64 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Martínez | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jonny Otto | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Egoitz Muñoz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calebe Gonçalves | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Pacheco | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carles Aleñá | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mariano Díaz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssef Enriquez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ander Guevara | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Fernández | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Ibáñez | M | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Carlos Benavídez | M | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Mañas | F | 26 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Barcelona
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Cortés | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jules Koundé | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Marc Bernal | M | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Wojciech Szczęsny | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pau Cubarsí | D | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Casadó | M | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Alejandro Balde | D | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Marcus Rashford | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 3/6 |
| Roony Bardghji | M | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/6 |
| Dani Olmo | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| Robert Lewandowski(C) | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Tomás Marqués | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eder Aller | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andreas Christensen | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronald Araújo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric García | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gerard Martín | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joan García | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Gavi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Xavi Espart | D | 28 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Pedri | M | 28 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| João Cancelo | D | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |