Alaves vs Athletic Club
Match recap
Athletic Club beat Alaves 4–2 in their La Liga fixture. Blanco and Tenaglia scored for Alaves; Robert Navarro, Sancet, Nico Williams, and Nico Williams replied for Athletic Club. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.49 for Alaves versus 0.92 for Athletic Club. Alaves sit 14th in the La Liga table while Athletic Club are 12th.
Analysis
As the La Liga season nears its climax, Alaves host Athletic Club in what promises to be a tightly contested fixture. Both teams have much to play for, and a draw seems the most likely outcome.
Alaves sit 16th with 36 points, fighting to avoid relegation, while Athletic Club are comfortably mid-table in 10th with 41 points. Both sides have had mixed fortunes this season, making this match crucial for momentum.
Alaves rely heavily on Toni Martínez, their top scorer with 11 goals and strong recent form, especially at home. However, injuries to key attackers like Lucas Boyé weaken their firepower. Athletic Club also face attacking challenges with injuries to Gorka Guruzeta and Nico Williams. The midfield creativity of Carles Aleñá for Alaves could be pivotal in unlocking chances.
Prediction
The forecast is a 1-1 draw, with a goalless first half expected before both teams find the net in the second. The match is likely to be competitive with around four cards shown, reflecting the intensity and stakes involved.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Key attackers missing for Alaves
Lucas Boyé and Abderrahman Rebbach are injured/suspended, reducing attacking options.
Toni Martínez's scoring form stands out
Martínez's goal rate and recent form exceed league averages, making him primary scoring threat.
Alaves' creative midfield presence
Carles Aleñá's assist and passing stats suggest he will be crucial in creating chances.
Alaves scoring streak at home
Alaves have scored in last 4 home games, indicating offensive momentum at home venue.
Athletic Club missing key attackers
Gorka Guruzeta and Nico Williams are injured, weakening Athletic's attacking options.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a balanced game with both sides sharing points. Alaves' home advantage and Toni Martínez's form will be key, but Athletic Club's resilience should ensure they leave with a point.
- Alaves are 16th in La Liga with 36 points from 33 games (W9 D9 L15).
- Athletic Club are 10th with 41 points from 33 games (W12 D5 L16).
- Toni Martínez is Alaves' top scorer with 11 goals and strong recent form.
- Lucas Boyé is injured, reducing Alaves' attacking options.
- Athletic Club's Gorka Guruzeta and Nico Williams are injured, weakening their attack.
- Carles Aleñá leads Alaves in assists with 4 this season.
- Alaves have scored in their last 4 home games, showing offensive momentum.
- The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Alaves
Away — Athletic Club
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Jauregizar
Yellow Card
Blanco
Assist: Pérez
Toni Martínez
Yellow Card
Penalty cancelled
Gómez
Williams
Robert Navarro
Assist: Nico Williams
Jauregizar
Ibáñez
Yellow Card
Guruzeta
Yellow Card
Blanco
Yellow Card
Suárez
Ibáñez
Tenaglia
Assist: Rebbach
Diabate
Gorosabel
Sancet
Assist: Yuri
Nico Williams
Yellow Card
Nico Williams
Assist: Guruzeta
Nico Williams
Assist: Guruzeta
Nico Williams
Aleñá
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Alaves
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1SiveraG
- 4Denis SuárezM
- 7Angel PérezD
- 8Antonio BlancoM
- 11Toni MartínezF
- 14N. TenagliaD
- 17JonnyD
- 19Pablo IbáñezM
- 21A. RebbachD
- 22I. DiabateF
- 24Víctor ParadaD
Substitutes
- 3YusiD
- 5Jon PachecoD
- 6GuevaraM
- 9M. DíazF
- 10Carles AleñáM
- 13Raúl FernándezG
- 16V. KoskiD
- 18Jon GuridiM
- 20CalebeM
- 31G. SwiderskiG
Athletic Club
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Unai SimónG
- 2GorosabelD
- 5YerayD
- 9I. WilliamsM
- 10Nico WilliamsM
- 11Gorka GuruzetaF
- 14Aymeric LaporteD
- 17YuriD
- 18Mikel JauregizarM
- 20Unai GómezM
- 30Alejandro RegoM
Substitutes
- 3Dani VivianD
- 4Aitor ParedesD
- 6Mikel VesgaM
- 7Álex BerenguerF
- 8Oihan SancetM
- 12Jesús AresoD
- 16Ruíz de GalarretaM
- 19A. BoiroD
- 22Nico SerranoF
- 23Robert NavarroM
- 25Urko IzetaF
- 27Álex PadillaG
Alaves
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Blanco(C) | M | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Nahuel Tenaglia | D | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Toni Martínez | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Abderrahman Rebbach | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Pablo Ibáñez | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | 73 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Denis Suárez | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Ángel Pérez | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Victor Parada | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jonny Otto | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Antonio Sivera | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Egoitz Muñoz | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mariano Díaz | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raúl Fernández | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ville Koski | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Pacheco | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calebe Gonçalves | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Mañas | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssef Enriquez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Grégoire Swiderski | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ander Guevara | M | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Carles Aleñá | M | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jon Guridi | M | 28 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
Athletic Club
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Williams | M | 89 | 8.9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Alejandro Rego Mora | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Unai Gómez | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Yeray Álvarez | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Yuri Berchiche | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Andoni Gorosabel | D | 73 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Aymeric Laporte | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gorka Guruzeta | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Unai Simón | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Jauregizar | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iñaki Williams(C) | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Álex Berenguer | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Vivian | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Vesga | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Urko Izeta | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aitor Paredes | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Serrano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Padilla | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oihan Sancet | M | 45 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Robert Navarro | M | 45 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta | M | 45 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Areso | D | 17 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Adama Boiro | D | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |