Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK
Alanyaspor held to stalemate by Erzurumspor
A goalless draw frustrates expectations in the Süper Lig clash
Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK played out a 0-0 draw, defying Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 3-0 home win. Neither side could find the net, resulting in a tight and cautious encounter that left fans waiting for a breakthrough that never came.
Outcome probability
Alanyaspor and Erzurumspor FK face off in the seventh round of the regular season, with Alanyaspor looking to build on their stronger league position and goal difference. Erzurumspor FK will need to find a way to break down a confident home side.
Match factors
Alanyaspor's midfield scoring edge
Makouta's 2 goals in last 5 and midfield scoring above league average gives Alanyaspor an attacking edge
Strong home scoring form for Alanyaspor attackers
Paolo Fernandes scores 0.5 goals per home game, above league attacker average, boosting home attack
Alanyaspor's positive scoring streak
Team has scored in last 5 games, supporting predicted 3-0 win and multiple scorers
Full squad availability boosts Alanyaspor
No confirmed injuries or doubts, ensuring strongest lineup and attacking options
Erzurumspor's reliance on Tozlu for goals
Tozlu is sole top scorer with 2 goals; limited scoring depth may hinder away chances
The context
Alanyaspor currently sit 10th in the league with 4 points from 3 games, while Erzurumspor FK languish near the bottom at 17th with just 1 point. The goal difference tells a similar story, with Alanyaspor boasting +7 compared to Erzurumspor's -7. This early-season form sets the stage for a challenging encounter for the visitors.
Key insights
G. Makouta
Alanyaspor
Makouta's 2 goals in the last 5 games give Alanyaspor a midfield scoring edge that could unsettle Erzurumspor FK.
Süper Lig 26/272 goals in last 5 games, 5 starts, 438 mins
Paolo Fernandes
Alanyaspor
Fernandes' strong home scoring form, with 1 goal in 2 home games, boosts Alanyaspor's attacking threat.
Süper Lig 26/271 goal in 2 home games, 2 starts, 135 mins
E. Tozlu
Erzurumspor FK
Tozlu is the main goal threat for Erzurumspor FK, but limited support may hinder their chances.
Süper Lig 26/272 goals in 5 games, 5 starts, 369 mins
Analysis
Alanyaspor's midfield, led by G. Makouta, has been a key source of goals, with Makouta netting twice in the last five games. Paolo Fernandes also contributes strongly at home, scoring once in two home appearances. Erzurumspor FK rely heavily on E. Tozlu for goals, but his efforts may not be enough against a well-organised Alanyaspor defence. The home side's ability to score early and maintain pressure is reflected in the predicted halftime score of 2-0.
Key facts
- 1.Alanyaspor rank 10th with 4 points from 3 games (W1 D1 L1).
- 2.Erzurumspor FK rank 17th with 1 point from 3 games (W0 D1 L2).
- 3.Alanyaspor have a goal difference of +7 compared to Erzurumspor FK's -7.
- 4.Alanyaspor average 1.33 points per game, Erzurumspor FK average 0.33.
- 5.G. Makouta has scored 2 goals in the last 5 games for Alanyaspor.
- 6.Paolo Fernandes has scored 1 goal in 2 home games this season.
- 7.E. Tozlu is Erzurumspor FK's top scorer with 2 goals this season.
Prediction
The forecast is a confident 3-0 win for Alanyaspor, with the home team expected to dominate from the outset and keep a clean sheet. The prediction aligns with the statistical advantages in points, goal difference, and attacking form, suggesting a comfortable victory for the hosts.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Alanyaspor
Away — Erzurumspor FK
The verdict
Alanyaspor's superior form and attacking options make them clear favourites to secure all three points. Erzurumspor FK will need to improve their defensive resilience and find more scoring options if they are to avoid a heavy defeat in this fixture.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 15:55 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tozlu
Yellow Card
Ovacıklı
Yellow Card
Cédric
Kaya
Hwang Ui-Jo
Gerxhaliu
Yellow Card
Elia
Yellow Card
Fernandes
Miguel Cardoso
Aksoy
Tozlu
Rodríguez
Hadërgjonaj
Yellow Card
Usluoğlu
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Samsunspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |  Gaziantep FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 |  Erzurumspor FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Alanyaspor
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3Nuno LimaD
- 5F. AlitiD
- 7İ. KayaF
- 11RuanM
- 16Hwang Ui-JoF
- 19Iván CédricF
- 20F. AksoyD
- 42G. MakoutaM
- 48Paulo VictorG
- 55B. GezekM
- 94F. HadërgjonajM
Substitutes
- 4B. ÖzyurtD
- 8E. KeskinM
- 9O. Ben AliF
- 10I. HagiM
- 12M. EliaF
- 17A. UsluoğluF
- 22Paolo FernandesM
- 23M. BayramG
- 26İ. ÇelikM
- 88Y. ÖzdemirM
Erzurumspor FK
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1E. TaşkıranG
- 4A. GerxhaliuD
- 6B. BaiyeM
- 10E. TozluF
- 15G. GiorbelidzeD
- 18N. MujakićD
- 20Miguel CardosoF
- 22M. YumluD
- 42E. OwusuM
- 53O. OvacıklıD
- 65M. RodríguezM
Substitutes
- 2F. EboseleD
- 3Y. KırtayD
- 8S. AkgünM
- 19I. DiabateF
- 23C. BayrakD
- 25Omer KaraD
- 31M. OrbanićG
- 90N. AxundzadəF
- 99M. FettahoğluF
Alanyaspor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Victor | G | 81 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fidan Aliti | D | 81 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fatih Aksoy(C) | D | 81 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ruan Pereira Duarte | M | 81 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Florent Hadergjonaj | M | 81 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Iván Cédric | F | 58 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Nuno Lima | D | 81 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Baran Ali Gezek | M | 81 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Hwang Ui-Jo | F | 58 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Gaius Makouta | M | 81 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Ibrahim Kaya | F | 58 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Paolo Fernandes | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enes Keskin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İzzet Çelik | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yusuf Özdemir | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mert Furkan Bayram | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bedirhan Özyurt | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omar Ben Ali | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meschak Elia | F | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Arda Usluoğlu | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ianis Hagi | M | 18 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Erzurumspor FK
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eren Tozlu | F | 81 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3/3 |
| Martín Rodríguez | M | 81 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Orhan Ovacıklı | D | 81 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Ertuğrul Taşkıran | G | 81 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brandon Baiye | M | 81 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Amar Gerxhaliu | D | 81 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Miguel Cardoso | F | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Mustafa Yumlu(C) | D | 81 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Guram Giorbelidze | D | 81 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Elisha Owusu | M | 81 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nihad Mujakić | D | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ömer Arda Kara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sefa Akgün | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matija Orbanić | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cengizhan Bayrak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Festy Ebosele | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mustafa Fettahoglu | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Diabaté | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yakup Kırtay | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nariman Akhundzade | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Alanyaspor to win against Erzurumspor FK.
- What score did Fipster predict for Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Alanyaspor 3–0 Erzurumspor FK.
- What were the win probabilities for Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK?
- Fipster's model gave Alanyaspor a 85% chance of winning, Erzurumspor FK a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.