Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-Qadisiyah snatch win with last-gasp strike
T. Reijnders seals a dramatic victory deep into stoppage time.
In a tight Pro League encounter, Al-Qadisiyah FC secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Al Taawon thanks to T. Reijnders' decisive goal in the sixth minute of added time. The match was a tense affair with no goals until that dramatic late moment. Fipster's high-confidence prediction for an away win proved spot on, accurately forecasting the final scoreline.
Outcome probability
As the regular season rolls on, Al-Qadisiyah FC face off against Al Taawon in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both sides have had their moments, but recent form and league standings suggest a tight match with a slight edge to the visitors.
Match factors
Al-Qadisiyah's superior scoring form
Al-Qadisiyah averages 2.56 goals per game vs Al Taawon's 0.44, indicating strong attacking edge
Retegui's scoring threat vs weak defense
Retegui's 5 goals in 8 games pose a major threat to Al Taawon's leaky defense conceding 15 goals in 8 matches
Al-Qadisiyah's winning streak and scoring consistency
Al-Qadisiyah has won 7 of 9 games, scoring in all last 5 matches, showing strong momentum
Creative midfield duo Abu Al Shamat and Quiñones
Abu Al Shamat's 4 assists and Quiñones' 3 assists provide key creativity and link-up for Al-Qadisiyah attack
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have no confirmed absences, so full squads expected, maintaining usual tactical setups
The context
Al-Qadisiyah FC currently lead the league with 22 points from 9 games, boasting a strong goal difference of +14. In contrast, Al Taawon sit near the relegation zone with just 3 points from 8 matches and a goal difference of -12. Their head-to-head record is fairly balanced, with Al-Qadisiyah holding a slight advantage in wins over 15 meetings.
Key insights
Mateo Retegui
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Top scorer with 5 goals in 8 games, including 5 in last 5 matches, making him a constant threat.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 appearances, 0.625 goals/game
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Leading assister with 4 assists in 9 games, creative force with strong passing and set-piece duties.
Pro League 26/274 assists in 9 appearances, 0.444 assists/game
J. Quiñones
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Consistent scorer and assister, with 4 goals and 3 assists in 8 games, key in attack.
Pro League 26/274 goals and 3 assists in 8 appearances
Analysis
Al-Qadisiyah's attacking prowess is clear, averaging 2.56 goals per game compared to Al Taawon's 0.44. Mateo Retegui, the league's top scorer with 5 goals in 8 appearances, poses a significant threat to Al Taawon's leaky defence, which has conceded 15 goals in 8 matches. The creative duo of Mohammed Abu Al Shamat and J. Quiñones provide ample service, combining for 7 assists this season. Al Taawon will need to tighten up defensively and find a way to contain these key players if they hope to avoid defeat.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Qadisiyah FC lead the league with 22 points from 9 games (W7 D1 L1).
- 2.Al Taawon have 3 points from 8 games (W0 D3 L5), near relegation.
- 3.Al-Qadisiyah FC have a goal difference of +14; Al Taawon have -12.
- 4.In 15 head-to-head matches, Al-Qadisiyah FC have 7 wins, Al Taawon 6, with 2 draws.
- 5.Mateo Retegui is the league's top scorer with 5 goals in 8 games.
- 6.Al-Qadisiyah FC have scored in all of their last 5 matches.
- 7.Al Taawon have conceded 15 goals in 8 matches.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a narrow away win for Al-Qadisiyah FC, with a predicted scoreline of 1-0. The visitors are expected to take the lead by halftime and hold on for the win. The match is also likely to see around three cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Taawon
No standout top scorers flagged for Al Taawon
Away — Al-Qadisiyah FC
The verdict
In summary, Al-Qadisiyah FC's superior form, goal-scoring ability, and key player performances make them favourites to edge out Al Taawon in this fixture. While the home side will fight hard, the visitors' consistency should see them secure all three points.
Prediction generated 17 Oct 2026, 19:57 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Muteb Al Mufarrij
Hendi
El Bahraoui
Mohammed Al Qahtani
Abdullah Al Salem
Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi
Al Haleel
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Reijnders
Assist: Bonsu Baah
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Abha | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Al Taawon
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1MailsonG
- 5Z. BelaïdD
- 7Mohammed Al KuwaykibiM
- 9A. Hamed AllahF
- 16Faris Al GhamdiM
- 18A. El MahdiouiM
- 32Muteb Al MufarrijD
- 40Ibrahim MahnashiD
- 47Y. El BahraouiM
- 70A. HendiD
- 88M. PetkovD
Substitutes
- 4Nasser Al HaleelD
- 6Mohammed Bassam Al HurayjiD
- 8P. GuiagonF
- 10N. BajramiM
- 17Mohammed Al AqelF
- 23Rakan Al TulayhiM
- 30Abdullah Al JadaniG
- 45Mohammed Al SaediM
- 93Awn Al SaluliD
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1K. CasteelsG
- 2Mohammed Abu Al ShamatM
- 4Jehad Abdullatif AhmD
- 5J. WeiglM
- 8N. NándezD
- 9Abdullah Al SalemF
- 14T. ReijndersM
- 15Mohammed Al QahtaniM
- 17G. ÁlvarezD
- 22C. Bonsu BaahM
- 33J. QuiñonesF
Substitutes
- 7Turki Al AmmarM
- 10Musab Al JuwayrM
- 12Yasir Al ShahraniD
- 18Abdulmalik Al-JaberM
- 27E. HoussaM
- 28Ahmed Al KassarG
- 32M. ReteguiF
- 35A. Al SiyahiM
Al Taawon
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mailson | G | 90 | 8.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rakan Al Tulayhi | M | 44 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Ibrahim Mahnashi | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nasser Al Haleel | D | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Z. Belaïd | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Petkov | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi | M | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| Muteb Al Mufarrij | D | 7 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Awn Al Saluli | D | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. El Bahraoui | M | 46 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji | D | 76 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| N. Bajrami | M | 11 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Hamed Allah | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| A. Hendi | D | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. El Mahdioui | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faris Al Ghamdi | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Guiagon | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Aqel | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Saedi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Jadani | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Qadisiyah FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Reijnders | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1/1 |
| C. Bonsu Baah | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3/6 |
| N. Nández | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Álvarez | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jehad Abdullatif Ahm | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Weigl | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Mohammed Abu Al Shamat | M | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| K. Casteels | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Musab Al Juwayr | M | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Al Qahtani | M | 58 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Turki Al Ammar | M | 2 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Quiñones | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | — |
| M. Retegui | F | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Salem | F | 58 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Al Siyahi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulmalik Al-Jaber | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Houssa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al Kassar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yasir Al Shahrani | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Qadisiyah FC to win against Al Taawon.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Taawon 0–1 Al-Qadisiyah FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Taawon vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
- Fipster's model gave Al Taawon a 2% chance of winning, Al-Qadisiyah FC a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.