Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha
Match recap
Al Taawon and Al-Fayha drew 0–0 in their Pro League fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.61 for Al Taawon versus 0.83 for Al-Fayha. Al Taawon sit 17th in the Pro League table while Al-Fayha are 14th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
0-1 Al-Fayha win
Actual
0–0
Outcome probability
This Saudi Professional League fixture sees Al Taawon face off against Al-Fayha in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both sides have struggled for consistent form, but Al-Fayha's recent attacking edge could prove decisive.
Match factors
Al-Fayha’s Lázaro as primary goal threat
Lázaro leads Al-Fayha with 3 goals and strong home form, likely focal point in attack against a struggling Al Taawon defense
Al Taawon’s low scoring and defensive struggles
Al Taawon averages only 0.4 goals per game and concedes 1.7, indicating offensive and defensive weaknesses exploitable by Al-Fayha
Al-Fayha’s recent scoring consistency
Al-Fayha has scored in 4 of last 5 matches, showing better attacking momentum than Al Taawon’s drought
Al Taawon’s El Mahdioui controls midfield
El Mahdioui’s high passing accuracy and volume provide midfield stability, but limited goal threat reduces offensive impact
The context
Al Taawon currently sit 16th in the league with just three points from seven games, having yet to register a win this season. Meanwhile, Al-Fayha are slightly better placed at 12th with seven points from eight matches. Historically, these teams have met 17 times, with Al Taawon winning seven, Al-Fayha three, and seven draws.
Key insights
Lázaro
Al-Fayha
Lázaro leads Al-Fayha with 3 goals and strong home form, making him the primary attacking threat against Al Taawon.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 8 games, 0.375 avg per game
- A
Ashraf El Mahdioui
Al Taawon
El Mahdioui controls midfield with high passing accuracy (91%) and volume, providing stability despite limited offensive output.
Pro League 26/2791% passing accuracy, 74.9 passes per game
Analysis
Al-Fayha's attacking threat is spearheaded by Lázaro, who has netted three goals this season, all at home, making him a key player to watch. Al Taawon, on the other hand, have struggled offensively, averaging just 0.4 goals per game and conceding 1.7, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Midfield maestro Ashraf El Mahdioui offers stability for Al Taawon but lacks the cutting edge to turn possession into goals. Al-Fayha's recent scoring consistency, with goals in four of their last five matches, suggests they have the momentum to edge this one.
Key facts
- 1.Al Taawon are 16th with 3 points from 7 games (W0 D3 L4).
- 2.Al-Fayha are 12th with 7 points from 8 games (W1 D4 L3).
- 3.In 17 meetings, Al Taawon have 7 wins, Al-Fayha 3, and 7 draws.
- 4.Al Taawon average 0.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season.
- 5.Lázaro leads Al-Fayha with 3 goals, all scored at home.
- 6.Al-Fayha have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches.
- 7.Ashraf El Mahdioui has a 91% passing accuracy and averages 74.9 passes per game.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Al-Fayha with a 1-0 scoreline. The model suggests Al-Fayha will likely take an early lead and maintain it throughout, reflecting a scenario where their attacking prowess and defensive resilience outmatch Al Taawon's struggles.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Taawon
Away — Al-Fayha
The verdict
In summary, expect a tight match where Al-Fayha's sharper attack and steadier defence make the difference. Al Taawon will need to find more offensive spark to avoid another defeat, but the signs point to a narrow victory for the visitors.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Al-Deqeel
Yellow Card
Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji
Yellow Card
Dorley
Fahad Majed Alhubayshi
Bajrami
Lázaro
El Bahraoui
Al-Harthi
Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi
Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji
Semedo
Ziyad Al Sahafi
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Abha | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Al Taawon
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1MailsonG
- 6Mohammed Bassam Al HurayjiD
- 7Mohammed Al KuwaykibiM
- 9A. Hamed AllahF
- 10N. BajramiM
- 18A. El MahdiouiM
- 19O. DorleyM
- 32Muteb Al MufarrijD
- 47Y. El BahraouiM
- 88M. PetkovD
- 93Awn Al SaluliD
Substitutes
- 11Fahad Al RashidiF
- 12Turki Al JaadiD
- 14Saif RashadF
- 17Mohammed Al AqelF
- 20Bassem Al-AriniF
- 23Rakan Al TulayhiM
- 27Adeeb Al Hassan
- 39Abdul Rahman Al GhamdiG
- 70A. Hendi
Al-Fayha
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 5Hugo MouraM
- 7Nawaf Al-HarthiF
- 10F. SakalaF
- 15Paulo OliveiraD
- 17LázaroM
- 21Ziyad Al SahafiD
- 22Mohammed Al BaqawiD
- 30Alfa SemedoM
- 43Fahad Majed AlhubayshiM
- 52O. MosqueraG
- 77R. Enad
Substitutes
- 1Abdulraoof Al-DeqeelG
- 2Mukhir Al RashidiD
- 6Ali Al HussainM
- 9Malek Al AbdulmanamF
- 14Mansor Al BesheM
- 24Ahmed BamasudD
- 35S. GanvoulaF
- 47Mohammed Al DowaishD
Al Taawon
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marin Petkov | D | 90 | 8.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5/6 |
| Ashraf El Mahdioui(C) | M | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Awn Al-Saluli | D | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Muteb Al-Mufarrij | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mailson | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Younes El Bahraoui | M | 73 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 3/6 |
| Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi | M | 84 | 7.3 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Bassam Al-Hurayji | D | 84 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nedim Bajrami | M | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Oscar Dorley | M | 66 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Abderazak Hamdallah | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Turki Al-Jaadi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adeeb Al Hassan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fahad Al-Rashidi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al-Ghamdi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rakan Al-Tulayhi | M | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Abdulrahman Hendi | M | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saif Rashad Mohamed | F | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Aqal | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| Bassem Al-Arini | F | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Al-Fayha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Mosquera | G | 90 | 9.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfa Semedo | M | 86 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Al Baqawi(C) | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Paulo Oliveira | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Rayan Enad | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lázaro | M | 73 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Nawaf Al-Harthi | F | 78 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Hugo Moura | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Fashion Sakala | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 4/5 |
| Fahad Majed Alhubayshi | M | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Ziyad Al-Sahafi | D | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Malek Al Abdulmonam | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulraouf Al-Duqayl | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Silvère Ganvoula | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mokher Al-Rashidi | D | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Bamasud | D | 17 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mansor Al-Beshe | M | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Ali Al Hussain | M | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Al Dowaish | D | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Fayha to win against Al Taawon.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Taawon 0–1 Al-Fayha.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha?
- Fipster's model gave Al Taawon a 21% chance of winning, Al-Fayha a 57% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 57% confidence — a medium-confidence call.